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2023 Arkle Novices Chase
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That form line isn’t great at all, Jonbon clearly ran lbs below where we expect him to be, we all know that
my concern with Jonbon is that I think he has a low ceiling, compared to a horse like El Fab that is still lightly raced and think he could still improve on top of his DRF run
Jonbon will place, but will he win! Struggling to side with him
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Originally posted by Kevloaf View PostNow I've seen Gavin Cromwell say Grand Annual is most likely as only 1lb higher than in Ireland, I've actually taken the 20/1 NRNB for the Arkle .... in case one of the big ones misses is.
El Fabiolo
Jonbon
Dysart Dynamo
Saint Roi
Are they the only runners?
The 14/1 e/w for Saint Roi surely won't last
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Jonbon is a bit shite isn't he.
He got absolutely destroyed in the Supreme last year..... you can say he was 2nd all you like.... beaten 22L might as well be 22nd. That is being THRASED. He managed to finish 2L ahead of Kilcruit in that Supreme. Kilcruit! Kilcruit isn't even sighted in the Novice Chases this year and won't be winning a handicap either..... awful Supreme.
Constitution Hill thrashing him doesn't take away from him obviously, but he's being massively, massively over rated.
Jonbon over fences has beaten Monmiral, who got beat then by The Real Whacker and then 27L by Gerri Colombe. Is that good?
He's beaten Boothill - who since then has lost to Tommy's Oscar and Solo, and beaten a handicap hurdler Aucinrisque - is that good?
He's then beaten another handicapper easily enough in Calcio - is that good?
In what world is this horse favourite for an Arkle?! When he's up against a that Irish Arkle winner?
Maybe it's because his best piece of form is at Aintree, beating El Fabiolo .... now ignoring how 'unlucky' EF was..... based on chase form this year.... El Fabiolo just has to be clear doesn't he? I feel like Dysart Dyanamo, Banbridge and Appreicate It could have easily done the same as Jonbon so far.
Match bet.... .El Fabiolo beats Jonbon easily, doesn't he?
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Originally posted by Kevloaf View PostJonbon is a bit shite isn't he.
He got absolutely destroyed in the Supreme last year..... you can say he was 2nd all you like.... beaten 22L might as well be 22nd. That is being THRASED. He managed to finish 2L ahead of Kilcruit in that Supreme. Kilcruit! Kilcruit isn't even sighted in the Novice Chases this year and won't be winning a handicap either..... awful Supreme.
Constitution Hill thrashing him doesn't take away from him obviously, but he's being massively, massively over rated.
Jonbon over fences has beaten Monmiral, who got beat then by The Real Whacker and then 27L by Gerri Colombe. Is that good?
He's beaten Boothill - who since then has lost to Tommy's Oscar and Solo, and beaten a handicap hurdler Aucinrisque - is that good?
He's then beaten another handicapper easily enough in Calcio - is that good?
In what world is this horse favourite for an Arkle?! When he's up against a that Irish Arkle winner?
Maybe it's because his best piece of form is at Aintree, beating El Fabiolo .... now ignoring how 'unlucky' EF was..... based on chase form this year.... El Fabiolo just has to be clear doesn't he? I feel like Dysart Dyanamo, Banbridge and Appreicate It could have easily done the same as Jonbon so far.
Match bet.... .El Fabiolo beats Jonbon easily, doesn't he?
Spot on
fuck Jonplod.
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Originally posted by Kevloaf View PostJonbon is a bit shite isn't he.
He got absolutely destroyed in the Supreme last year..... you can say he was 2nd all you like.... beaten 22L might as well be 22nd. That is being THRASED. He managed to finish 2L ahead of Kilcruit in that Supreme. Kilcruit! Kilcruit isn't even sighted in the Novice Chases this year and won't be winning a handicap either..... awful Supreme.
Constitution Hill thrashing him doesn't take away from him obviously, but he's being massively, massively over rated.
Jonbon over fences has beaten Monmiral, who got beat then by The Real Whacker and then 27L by Gerri Colombe. Is that good?
He's beaten Boothill - who since then has lost to Tommy's Oscar and Solo, and beaten a handicap hurdler Aucinrisque - is that good?
He's then beaten another handicapper easily enough in Calcio - is that good?
In what world is this horse favourite for an Arkle?! When he's up against a that Irish Arkle winner?
Maybe it's because his best piece of form is at Aintree, beating El Fabiolo .... now ignoring how 'unlucky' EF was..... based on chase form this year.... El Fabiolo just has to be clear doesn't he? I feel like Dysart Dyanamo, Banbridge and Appreicate It could have easily done the same as Jonbon so far.
Match bet.... .El Fabiolo beats Jonbon easily, doesn't he?
You rate el fabiolo but you think the only horse to have beaten him( since joining wpm) is shite
If Jonbon was ridden how kilcruit was in the supreme he wouldn't have been only 2 lengths ahead of him at the end, i think you know this.
Jonbon is unbeaten over fences, you can only beat what's in front of you.
Based on chase form this year, El fabiolo is trained in ireland where the strength in depth is much greater, means it's pretty long odds on the best irish 2 miler would have better form than the best british 2 miler pre cheltenham, no?
Last edited by AaronLad; 4 March 2023, 07:23 PM.
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