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Champion Hurdle 2021

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  • Originally posted by Quevega View Post

    Not that good a price is it ?

    He's 13/2 to win Saturday as it stands.
    If he does win, and unlikely to batter them is he ?
    What price does he go ?
    4-1 would be the lowest, and 5 or 6 to 1 more likely IMO.
    I'd say 4's so on that basis 40's is very good.

    Comment


    • Originally posted by Lobos View Post

      I'd say 4's so on that basis 40's is very good.
      No it's not.

      Comment


      • Originally posted by Quevega View Post

        No it's not.
        13/2 and 4/1 double is better than 40/1 ??

        Comment


        • Originally posted by Lobos View Post

          13/2 and 4/1 double is better than 40/1 ??
          No..........
          Not on the basic sums. 37.5 vs 41 (definitely not very good)

          But not backing the special is a much smarter way of backing Saint Roi, if you're that way inclined (like his chances in both)
          There is not much value, if any in the 40-1, and that's assuming he goes 4-1, which is not a given, it's your best guess.
          He could be a lucky winner for a start, or win by a very small margin.
          And then there's the NRNB side of things to consider.

          Obviously he could go shorter than 4-1.
          Just doubt he would, personally.
          But not out of the question.


          Comment


          • Originally posted by Quevega View Post

            No..........
            Not on the basic sums. 37.5 vs 41 (definitely not very good)

            But not backing the special is a much smarter way of backing Saint Roi, if you're that way inclined (like his chances in both)
            There is not much value, if any in the 40-1, and that's assuming he goes 4-1, which is not a given, it's your best guess.
            He could be a lucky winner for a start, or win by a very small margin.
            And then there's the NRNB side of things to consider.

            Obviously he could go shorter than 4-1.
            Just doubt he would, personally.
            But not out of the question.

            Good points. Already covered him in Churdle but worth pointing out for others that haven't and perhaps still fancy him to finally come good.

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            • ...the 16-1 Sky offer for Saldier to finish 1st 3 ICH/CH states ‘3 places’ despite only 6 runners in ICH.

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              • Originally posted by Eggs View Post
                ...the 16-1 Sky offer for Saldier to finish 1st 3 ICH/CH states ‘3 places’ despite only 6 runners in ICH.
                I think that was always likely Eggs and what made this such good value.
                Dandrew99 put it up and I jumped in despite having decent singles already on Saldier and he's in numerous multiples so the place is important anyway, I really didn't need to have this 16/1 press but it just stood out as massive value...

                Comment


                • Originally posted by Eggs View Post
                  ...the 16-1 Sky offer for Saldier to finish 1st 3 ICH/CH states ‘3 places’ despite only 6 runners in ICH.
                  Does it state 3 places for both races?

                  I'm not too sure on the one that's there, they may settle it as standard place terms in the ICH?

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                  • Saturday 1st May 2021

                    Sat14:25
                    Saldier to place in the Irish Champion Hurdle & Champion Hurdle (3 places) @ 16/1


                    National Hunt Special Doubles
                    Ante Post Special Doubles Season 2020/21 (NRNB does not apply)

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                    • Just pasted from open bets.

                      As ante post rules apply I assume 3 places apply to both elements...

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                      • Originally posted by Istabraq View Post
                        Just pasted from open bets.

                        As ante post rules apply I assume 3 places apply to both elements...
                        Mhmm, fingers crossed.

                        I dabbled with it myself and now I'm wondering. Will stop me having any more on anyway

                        Comment


                        • Originally posted by Istabraq View Post

                          I think that was always likely Eggs and what made this such good value.
                          Dandrew99 put it up and I jumped in despite having decent singles already on Saldier and he's in numerous multiples so the place is important anyway, I really didn't need to have this 16/1 press but it just stood out as massive value...
                          When I put it up I assumed it meant 3 places in each. I do have something I was going to get onto sky about anyway so I might give them a message just for clarification.

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                          • Just confirmed with Sky that it is 3 places for each race

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                            • Originally posted by Dandrew99 View Post
                              Just confirmed with Sky that it is 3 places for each race
                              Brill, thanks Dan.

                              Comment


                              • Originally posted by Dandrew99 View Post
                                Just confirmed with Sky that it is 3 places for each race
                                Great work mate.
                                Have to say I’d have been asking the question of Sky if he’d finished 3rd on Saturday, the bet was put up (last week ?) when ante post terms apply and there were 8+ entered...

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