Originally posted by ryanh97
View Post
1) we know by mid-Jan what the fall out from Xmas is (if its horrific then that could torpedo Cheltenham)
2) the Oxford vaccine is approved (without it the Pfizer one is logistically too tough to get done in time)
3) a clear scalable route to market is identified for the Oxford vaccine (obviously one depends on the other)
We could really do with the post xmas fallout not being disastrous, but I just don't see it. I see carnage from the 2nd. Big spike around 15th - 20th December, putting public health officials on high alert and the NHS under more pressure. 20th - 30th will be everyone seeing each other, lots completely ignoring government advice. By mid Jan, we will be at 500+ deaths a day and the media will be blaming xmas, young people etc for not obeying the rules.
Comment