Originally posted by Istabraq
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2022 Gold Cup
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I actually think Galvin is a very fair price.
He has shown everything you want in a gold cup horse, and is in the form of his life at just the right age. I’d have him at about 7/2 AP so the 6’s is decent and as solid an EW play as you could hope for.
Who else in the race has better credentials for placing? Possibly APT but I’m not a big fan of returning horses and Galvin has already beat him and is a bigger price.
Stands out to me, you’ll never get an EW price on the day - more likely 2/1 - 5/2.
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Originally posted by Middle_Of_March View PostStill a long way to go but if you had had to have a bet right now in this, who would it be? That’s on current prices and ignoring all bets already placed
He beat APT and ABP fair and square last season, having had an equally poor prep on the lead up to the festival. At his best, I think he's the best horse in the race so he's a win only bet for me. He either wins or bombs out completely imo
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Originally posted by Milbear0 View PostI actually think Galvin is a very fair price.
He has shown everything you want in a gold cup horse, and is in the form of his life at just the right age. I’d have him at about 7/2 AP so the 6’s is decent and as solid an EW play as you could hope for.
Who else in the race has better credentials for placing? Possibly APT but I’m not a big fan of returning horses and Galvin has already beat him and is a bigger price.
Stands out to me, you’ll never get an EW price on the day - more likely 2/1 - 5/2.
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Originally posted by FinalFurlong91 View PostIl eat my hat if galvin goes off favourite
Only way he goes off fav for me is injuries to other horses and/or Gordon having an absolute stormer of a week
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Originally posted by ComplyOrDie View Post
Melon @ 66/1.
Done a write up previously as to why. but even based on the run at Christmas, he has 5 1/4 lengths to find with Galvin but is 11x his price and nearly 15x the price of A Plus Tard.
He just got jostled for position as Galvin came out wide and Patrick seemed to give it up, but was then ridden again. Janidil went past him at the last (or 2nd last,can't remember), but Melon battled back past him and, although I don't have the times of the finishers, visually he looked to be staying on as well as the winner at the line. The extra 2f may well suit, based on the visuals he gave.
Disclaimer: There may be a fair bit of bias in this post as I have him in a double with Tornado Flyer from the King George, however my points still stand
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Originally posted by Faugheen_Machine View Post
I was thinking about this today while listening to a podcast and, for me, it has to be Minella Indo at 10/1.
He beat APT and ABP fair and square last season, having had an equally poor prep on the lead up to the festival. At his best, I think he's the best horse in the race so he's a win only bet for me. He either wins or bombs out completely imo
So far he has run somewhat lacklustre at Down Royal (finishing upsides delta work again - similar to the Irish gold performance last year) and subsequently pulled up at Kempton looking like he has no interest in the game.
It’s a big stretch for me to consider him the best value selection considering his best run this year matches his worst from last year. HdB has a problem on his hands. If his next run matches his Kempton performance Rachel may find her choice of gold cup rides narrowed to one.
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Originally posted by Milbear0 View Post
I seem to be the only person that sees Minella Indo as a busted flush this season. I see the argument that his prep wasn’t ideal last year before going on to win at Cheltenham but two facile wins then a fall - which clearly showed in his subsequent 4th place run in the Irish gold cup is a sub-ideal prep, not equally poor to this season.
So far he has run somewhat lacklustre at Down Royal (finishing upsides delta work again - similar to the Irish gold performance last year) and subsequently pulled up at Kempton looking like he has no interest in the game.
It’s a big stretch for me to consider him the best value selection considering his best run this year matches his worst from last year. HdB has a problem on his hands. If his next run matches his Kempton performance Rachel may find her choice of gold cup rides narrowed to one.
Yep - I totally see the point and that's why I don't see him as an each way bet. He's 10/1, the current gold cup champion, and that is far too big for a horse with festival form that reads 121.
I'd be hoping Jack got the ride anyway tbh, he got a great tune out of MI last season
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Originally posted by Faugheen_Machine View Post
Yep - I totally see the point and that's why I don't see him as an each way bet. He's 10/1, the current gold cup champion, and that is far too big for a horse with festival form that reads 121.
I'd be hoping Jack got the ride anyway tbh, he got a great tune out of MI last season
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Has anyone cashed out on Eklat De Rire or do people still think he might have a chance or at least placing? I've seen no more entries for him and I'm thinking I can cash out at a profit still and put my money else where. Any thoughts people?
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Originally posted by Maxfield View PostHas anyone cashed out on Eklat De Rire or do people still think he might have a chance or at least placing? I've seen no more entries for him and I'm thinking I can cash out at a profit still and put my money else where. Any thoughts people?
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