2023 Antepost Flat Racing

[Jrow]

The lincoln next week
Looking at the last 10 years there seems to be a sweet spot rating of between 99-102, with the majority of horses being aged 4 and 5 having their first run of the season. In 2013 when this didnt apply, no horses fitted the above criteria.
* I have discounted Totally Charming and Emporio as they ran in the Irish Lincoln yesterday
Which leaves 5 horses
Saga
Atrium
Great Max
Awaal
Empirestateofmind

Ive read that Great Max may be going else where so leaves us with potentially 4 on the list.

With further confirmation bias of the stats all of the 4 year olds that won in the last 10 years were rated 99 or 100. Which leaves only Atrium standing from the 4 year olds

but my pick here is Empirestateofmind
5 year old, rated 99, first run of season and looks like its improving

[Jrow]

3 horses left who fit the last 10 year trends

Atrium
Awaal
Empirestateofmind

I have already backed Atrium and Empirestateofmind earlier this week and will leave it at that

[FinalFurlong91]

Iv backed 3 last week or so

atrium 12s
Al mubhir 8s
Saver wanees 10s

All unexposed 4yos rated high 90s that won their last 3yo start and come here fresh

All drawn 10 or higher so hopefully high is the place to be drawn

Al mubhir been very strong in the market since haggas won the Irish Lincoln and will love the soft ground

I'm finding it's worth reading the price wise tips on the ante post races not because of his tips but because you get to read several quotes from trainers on what is likely to run and if the race has been the target for a while. You also get the trends for the race in the article too which always help to narrow down selections in these handicaps

Going currently soft/heavy in places

[Benjy23]

Backed Empirestateofmind at 20s and Migration at 25s. Both each way with the extra places.

Be disappointed if neither can finish in the first 6 or 7

Think Kings Lynn might be a bet in the 6f race earlier on the card but welcoming opinions...

[parimutuel]

BURGLAR (Cracksman) Loved the way he finished his debut race at Lingfield in February and have taken 40/1 for the Derby before he runs again tomorrow.

[Eggs]

…Hills have a number of ‘win today’ & Derby/1,000 gns offers for tomorrows racing in Ireland for anybody who thinks a classic winner might be on show.

[Benjy23]

Backed Empirestateofmind at 20s and Migration at 25s. Both each way with the extra places.

Be disappointed if neither can finish in the first 6 or 7

Think Kings Lynn might be a bet in the 6f race earlier on the card but welcoming opinions...

Take a 25s winner of the first proper race to start the flat season. All down hill from here.

Bonus of placed money for the 7th as well on the other selection.

Kings Lynn a well backed loser as well. Shall we say unlucky

[Zachx02]

Anyone know what aussie sprinters might come over for the Kings stand

[FinalFurlong91]

Anyone know what aussie sprinters might come over for the Kings stand

Looks like nature strip won't be

"Nature Strip has been crowned the world's best sprinter and I guess that is questionable now whether he is at that same level," Waller said. "As champions deserve, we don't want to let him just follow them around for too long so Saturday's race is important for his career.

He didn't win that race this morning

May be retired

Coolangatta an intended runner

https://www.racingpost.com/news/inte...-afLzD4K0F3tQ/

[Zachx02]

Looks like nature strip won't be

"Nature Strip has been crowned the world's best sprinter and I guess that is questionable now whether he is at that same level," Waller said. "As champions deserve, we don't want to let him just follow them around for too long so Saturday's race is important for his career.

He didn't win that race this morning

May be retired

Coolangatta an intended runner

https://www.racingpost.com/news/inte...-afLzD4K0F3tQ/

Anything on giga kick at all, he'd be the one for me if he ran

[Sprinter Sacre]

Despite jockey bookings I've backed Denmark to win today at 3/1 and the Derby at 25/1. Alexandroupolis about half the price in both races now but I think Denmark has a great chance today. If he does win, I expect his Derby price will swap with Alexandroupolis.

[CJW]

When's Beginnings going to get a run? Missed todays trial due to ground. Anyone know when we'll see her next?

[CJW]

When's Beginnings going to get a run? Missed todays trial due to ground. Anyone know when we'll see her next?

Prix Imprudence G3, deauville on Thursday. If anyone's interested.

[FinalFurlong91]

Prix Imprudence G3, deauville on Thursday. If anyone's interested.

She has very interesting breeding being out of the excellent winter and by a Japanese sire who has produced almond eye and panthalassa

Certainly worth watching

[riccirich]

Not sure what the qualification rules are now for European horses, but I notice 365 are a clear standout at 66/1 for Vauban in the Melbourne cup. Mullins namechecked the race a few times last year for him, and I got the feeling they were minding him this season and not being too hard on him with the future in mind. That could be next years champion hurdle, or it could be a flat campaign with Melbourne as the big target.