Daily Flat Racing Tips

[FinalFurlong91]

Saved me some time and effort, I'm on the 3 that FinalFurlong91 has guaranteed the winner comes from, and the well in but can't win on trends one Quevega has napped.


I haven't even watched any of their runs, looked at any other horses (bar top weight Safe Voyage, who I really, really like but 8f too far?

Kick off the flat as I mean to go on.... lazily.

Absolute certainty you're on the winner

Stats have never been wrong before have they? Hahaha

[Kevloaf]

Absolute certainty you're on the winner

Stats have never been wrong before have they? Hahaha

Exactly.

[FinalFurlong91]

Exactly.

3 certaintys in racing, French breds don't win the RSA, mullins doesn't win the champion chase and high drawm 4yos win the Lincoln

[ComplyOrDie]

I've had a nibble on an old favourite of mine, What's The Story. Taken 6 & 7 places, 28/1 & 22/1 respectively.

Will also back the one Quevega has mentioned too at 40's for small stakes.

[Lostinleith]

I've had a nibble on an old favourite of mine, What's The Story. Taken 6 & 7 places, 28/1 & 22/1 respectively.

Will also back the one Quevega has mentioned too at 40's for small stakes.

Spooky. WTS is the other one I have backed too each way at small stakes - could there be a life changing forecast on the cards Both Simon Rowlands and Lawrence Taylor (speed ratings) have put up United Front on At The Races. Still 40s available in places.

[charlie]

I’ve not looked at the draw in detail yet
but the market leaders all seem drawn low so the race
might just happen on the far side.
in which case at the prices I like the look of United Front
On his all weather form he should be shorter and he’s around 10lb better off on turf, with a good claim also.
the ground should be quick enough for a US bred and his previous turf form isn’t too bad - excuses could be made.
trainer a good northern type which can’t be bad.
45-1 Ladbroke boosted

think he’s effectively 20lb better off with Notre belle g

Great case, I'm sold. 33's EW 7 places

[ComplyOrDie]

I've also just had a bet on Revich @ 40/1 E/W for 7 places.

He finished 6th in the race last season, when anticipating the start and costing him a little bit. I'm also a sucker for returning horses in the race. Used to always back Gabrial E/W ante post in the race and he never seemed to let me down.

[archie]

I would not normally be remotely interested in the Lincoln but I have to use a bet365 free bet.

Darkness seems to be a popular choice but a friend who has had horses with O'Meara has tipped up Hortzadar ew. Same connections as Darkness. Finished third last year off a 7lb higher rating.

[Supermaster]

Given the Cheltenham lessons learned about avoiding competitive handicaps I wonder if there is better value away from the Lincoln today:
Doncaster 1.50 Mo Celita 2.25 Mostawaa
Kempton 2.05 Chichester 2.40 Moliwood/Justus/Auriferous

Mo Celita rattled off 5 in a row at the start of last season and was a creditable 4th in the Abbaye - seems overpriced to me

[Supermaster]

In the Lincoln:
Modern News, Brunch, Hortzador, Ametist, Notre Belle Bete

[Stormez]

Brunch, Rogue Bear or What’s The Story for me

[FinalFurlong91]

Just got back from the pub/rugby I see we were betrayed by stats once again

[Supermaster]

Just got back from the pub/rugby I see we were betrayed by stats once again

That was one that got away - Johan did have the all important good form in a big field competitive handicap (the Goodwood Golden Mile), was in the weight range of recent winners and had won after a long break in the past. Also I think Mick Channon can be underestimated by the racing establishment - maybe because of his non racing background.

[Supermaster]

Not sure how one picks a winner in these no form 2-y-o races (live near the heath?) but Flying Barty has nice breeding in the 1.15 at Newmarket.
Lucy Lightfoot's stable won the race last year at a high price.

edit: the simple method: Hannon!

[Supermaster]

1.50 Sprint handicaps - they take it in turns.
Course form: Popmaster/Gale Force Maya/Dancinginthewoods

edit: Phew the shortest of shortheads GFM wins 11/2