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Cheltenham 2023 - Early fancies

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  • FinalFurlong91
    replied
    Originally posted by Zachx02 View Post

    Allegorie De Vassy, looks made to go over a fence
    Her getting injured would put me off at this stage

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  • Zachx02
    replied
    Originally posted by FinalFurlong91 View Post
    The mares chase looks there for the taking next year
    Allegorie De Vassy, looks made to go over a fence

    Leave a comment:


  • taylorch1990
    replied
    Originally posted by FinalFurlong91 View Post
    The mares chase looks there for the taking next year
    Agree hard to fancy Elimay next season she's been flat all year and how she won this year's race I'll never know.

    Leave a comment:


  • FinalFurlong91
    replied
    The mares chase looks there for the taking next year

    Leave a comment:


  • Exar Essay
    replied
    Originally posted by OffTheBridle View Post
    Gentlemansgame had a decent run today. Did anyone hear anything about him going chasing next year?
    Yes. I posted the full quote in The Giant Bolster's diary, but it was along the lines of "he'll probably take a fence next year".

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  • OffTheBridle
    replied
    Gentlemansgame had a decent run today. Did anyone hear anything about him going chasing next year?

    I noticed that Mouse Morris ran alpha des obeaux in the punchestown champion stayers hurdle as a 6 six year old as well and finished a 10 length 3rd in it in 2016. He then went on to finish 4th in the Brown advisory the following March.
    This could be a similar route for Gentlemansgame. I think he could have a good chance in the BA. He was prominent through out today and stayed the full 3 miles.

    Leave a comment:


  • Istabraq
    replied
    Originally posted by Exar Essay View Post
    Would be one for the Ryanair Hurdle if it existed.
    People have been banned for far less…

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  • Monty's Pass
    replied
    Odin

    Yeah safe to say that ground is important for him from what you've laid out above, possibly not the strongest form for KD with Ashdale Bob in behind but given the way TDC got up to get the better of him over 2m5 last time going through the line nicely I'd have fancied his chances today even with the different ground and would be interesting to find out which was the reason he was pulled, you'd imagine they'd have run him on that ground if he was sound being the final outing of the season but if it was the ground that's a bit disconcerting if it's basically Heavy or Non-runner for him - or disconcerting for me should I say having backed him for next year

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  • Odin
    replied
    Monty's Pass

    No info regarding respiratory issue for TDC, but the following are facts regarding ground. He's been a non-runner due to it in valuable races the last twice. He hasn't run on it since his debut bumper. After his navan win on heavy in Feb, his trainer said 'this ground seems to be important'. Probably a fair conclusion can be drawn with regards to his preferences based on those.

    Agree with your comments re: flooring porter and kd. Buzz I thought had a chance last year but my understanding is that horses rarely come back with same ability from pelvis injuries like the one he has so very much a watching brief there for me

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  • Monty's Pass
    replied
    [QUOTE=Odin;n373409]I love it when we have differences of opinion!

    Also Flooring porter is still my idea of the most likely winner

    Agree with that and 7's is pretty fair for a dual Stayers hurdle winner at this stage although I don't see him going unbeaten en route to Cheltenham so theres a chance he could hit double figures (however briefly) next season. Willie saying TNG and Cocooner both going chasing must mean he still has the faith KD is good enough to win if on song, maybe we only see him over Christmas between now and March? I was never a big fan of Buzz and who knows how he'll be after a serious injury although recovery sounds like it's going well so far. I wanted to see Thedevilscoachmen at 3m and although Mark jumped off it was to ride a last time out grade 1 winner which is perfectly fair enough but I'm hopeful he'd side with the youngster going forward, indecently I'd heard he was withdrawn due to ground but also read it was a respiratory issue? Can anyone confirm? Thanks.

    There's a couple at prices that could go there with a big chance but as you say FP is still the most likely winner Imo.

    Leave a comment:


  • Odin
    replied
    I love it when we have differences of opinion!

    To expand on my thoughts, the 10s and 12s are value if, and only if, my thought that he left his season behind in the galmoy proves right. Otherwise, he's just a 'glorified staying' 2m4f to 2m6f horse and I agree they don't tend to win the stayers. I'd say though, Willie has got some excellent novice staying hurdlers though so if KD is still his number one dart next year it would be a big statement.

    Also Flooring porter is still my idea of the most likely winner
    ​​​​​​
    Edit: We also have to remember that I'm comparing 10/1 KD to 9/4 facile Vega (supreme) when I talk about value or lack of it

    Leave a comment:


  • FinalFurlong91
    replied
    Originally posted by Exar Essay View Post
    Didn’t do it for me. Would be worried he’d not get the hill again. Tired on the run in. Would be one for the Ryanair Hurdle if it existed.
    Couldn't agree more

    He's a 2 and a half miler who just barely stays 3miles from what I can see

    Not the type that usually wins a Stayers hurdle

    Leave a comment:


  • Exar Essay
    replied
    Didn’t do it for me. Would be worried he’d not get the hill again. Tired on the run in. Would be one for the Ryanair Hurdle if it existed.

    Leave a comment:


  • Istabraq
    replied
    Originally posted by Odin View Post
    and actually think 10/1 is still decent value
    888 go 14s and some 12s out there in places (Sky and Lads from memory)…

    Leave a comment:


  • Odin
    replied
    Originally posted by HoldenTheReins View Post

    As expected but Ashdale Bob being so close probably won't work out to be good form
    KD travelled really nicely through the race and into the lead even though he looked fairly average from the last to the line. I'm happy to put it down to him still feeling the effects of the galmoy run for now and actually think 10/1 is still decent value

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