Originally posted by quevega
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Upgrading the Fat Jockey forum!: https://www.crowdfunder.co.uk/p/fatjockeyforum
We're looking to upgrade the 'hosting CPU' so I've set up a crowdfunding project.
I would love it if you could donate using the link below to access my project page. Any contribution large or small will be hugely appreciated. Thank you.
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Hello Fat Jockeys,
Upgrading the Fat Jockey forum!: https://www.crowdfunder.co.uk/p/fatjockeyforum
We're looking to upgrade the 'hosting CPU' so I've set up a crowdfunding project.
I would love it if you could donate using the link below to access ... See more
Upgrading the Fat Jockey forum!: https://www.crowdfunder.co.uk/p/fatjockeyforum
We're looking to upgrade the 'hosting CPU' so I've set up a crowdfunding project.
I would love it if you could donate using the link below to access ... See more
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Champion Hurdle 2020
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Originally posted by Lobos View PostThe winning time wouldn't suggest it was slow. KD outstayed Aramon for me.
My memory is that both that race and the juvenile one was pretty steadily run for quick ground although the 4yr old race was slower I know.
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Originally posted by Lobos View PostThink the speedier types just fell away up the hill because of the soft ground and as you say the staying types fought out the finish. When I say 'fact' I mean it was a fact that Mullins said he was only switched to the Supreme because of the Soft ground. If the ground was Good/Soft that day we wouldn't be having this debate.
When you now have other more pressing evidence to go on. Like his Punchestown run and the collateral form.
Knowing full well that the ground will be Gd to Sft at worst on day one of the festival
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Originally posted by quevega View PostBut you appear to be still forming your betting thought process (at least in part) on trainer musings prior to the 2019 festival.
When you now have other more pressing evidence to go on. Like his Punchestown run and the collateral form.
Knowing full well that the ground will be Gd to Sft at worst on day one of the festival
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Originally posted by Lobos View PostI'm not a fan of Punchestown. You often get strange results there after a long season. The way this year is going he will probably get the deep ground in the Churdle but I still say, on G/S he'll be vulnerable to quicker types.
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Originally posted by charlie View PostI agree that whilst beating Fakir D'oudariries by 2.75L doesn't prove he's CH class, but his career is no doubt in front of him and he's done all that's been asked of him to date well. He jumps hurdles slickly and I'd like to see more of the same today.
Today will be one of those races where if he bolts up people will say he's beaten relatively little (and rightly so) with a view to the CH and we haven't learnt a whole lot. If he gets beat then he'll be written off for the CH (and rightly so).
His price after winning today will be ridiculous - which doesn't mean he can't win or that he can't improve a lot - it just means he's priced as if he's already better than he should be.
I can't prove that's right but that's why I don't want him onside.... 16/1 that you're on might look a fair price later on today, but I don't want to back it now before I see it - and by the time I've seen it he'll be 8/1 when he should be 16/1
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Originally posted by Lobos View PostFor me the CH is there for the taking this year. Literally anything could come out of the woodwork and win it. I might be alone here but I don't like KD at all. If it comes up deep ground on the Tuesday then I'd give him a squeak. On Good/Soft he'll lack the pace for a CH.
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It's such a light market though.
It looks like a market where you might need to think right outside of the box (outside of the van that the box is in).
If we get one or two injuries or poor form at the top of the market we could get something pop up.
What price was Buvuer D'air at this stage when he was novice chasing.
Or Annie Power the year she won (i know some backed it)
Off top of my head...
it's hard to think of much, but BDD, Honeysuckle, Laurina and even City Island
might back honeysuckle actually, if she wins on debut.
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Originally posted by quevega View PostIt's such a light market though.
It looks like a market where you might need to think right outside of the box (outside of the van that the box is in).
If we get one or two injuries or poor form at the top of the market we could get something pop up.
What price was Buvuer D'air at this stage when he was novice chasing.
Or Annie Power the year she won (i know some backed it)
Off top of my head...
it's hard to think of much, but BDD, Honeysuckle, Laurina and even City Island
might back honeysuckle actually, if she wins on debut.
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