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Brown Advisory Plate 2018

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  • #76
    Been looking over this again since my original pick probably won't run and noticed that Ballotin is entered under a pretty nice weight. Been on him the two times he's ran since Phillip Hobbs got him from France, a nice win and 2nd under a heavy weight. I feel he's pretty unexposed, goes well on any ground on the basis of his French form plus David Maxwell will take off 7lbs. I'm gonna go in at 25/1

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    • #77
      Originally posted by Faugheen_Machine View Post
      Having looked at last years entries, number 80 in the weights (Katachenko) got a run in this last season so I've got little doubt that RDS and Bouvreuil get in.
      Very few horses were named directly when Nick Luck quizzed the handicapper yesterday. Katachenko was mentioned

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      • #78
        Originally posted by luisgarciaisgod View Post
        Been looking over this again since my original pick probably won't run and noticed that Ballotin is entered under a pretty nice weight. Been on him the two times he's ran since Phillip Hobbs got him from France, a nice win and 2nd under a heavy weight. I feel he's pretty unexposed, goes well on any ground on the basis of his French form plus David Maxwell will take off 7lbs. I'm gonna go in at 25/1
        Luis - David Maxwell taking 7lb off wouldn't be a plus for me, he is fully deserving of a 7lb claim imo.

        David Maxwell is living the dream though. Having the opportunity to ride your own horses at the Cheltenham Festival - it must be some feeling!

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        • #79
          Originally posted by Faugheen_Machine View Post
          Luis - David Maxwell taking 7lb off wouldn't be a plus for me, he is fully deserving of a 7lb claim imo.

          David Maxwell is living the dream though. Having the opportunity to ride your own horses at the Cheltenham Festival - it must be some feeling!
          He's certainly no Paul Carberry but his strike rate actually isn't the worst. Wouldn't put me off tbh.

          Comment


          • #80
            Ive just backed my 10th horse in this race! A record for me but it took that many to be confident I now have the winner. 10pts staked altogether, anything from 16pts - 22pts back. Have upped the ante this year across the board. If I did that for every race then as long as one out of two races you get the winner you’re pretty much breaking even. In reality I’d be expecting to hit three out of four handicap races if backing 10 horses in each

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            • #81
              Originally posted by SeanRock View Post
              Said as much on the first page Jono! But haven’t backed any of O’Learys yet...
              As you did Sean - I hadn't read that - clearly you were ahead of me with this idea. Despite not backing anything yet do you have any particular fancy out of that group?

              On Tycoon Prince,

              Following the weights being published: with De Plotting Shed getting 143 and into the Novices Handicap Chase on Day 1 with Davy onboard, i'm more confident that this will be the race that he lines up in (only other option is the Grand Annual)

              33/1 Taken.

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              • #82
                Tycoon Prince is definitely one Im interested in jono... but I have backed him NRNB for the Grand Annual.

                His best form appears to be over 2m?

                Could General Principle be the one for this race?!
                Last edited by Can't Catch Me; 2 March 2018, 03:53 PM.

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                • #83
                  Originally posted by jono View Post
                  As you did Sean - I hadn't read that - clearly you were ahead of me with this idea. Despite not backing anything yet do you have any particular fancy out of that group?

                  On Tycoon Prince,

                  Following the weights being published: with De Plotting Shed getting 143 and into the Novices Handicap Chase on Day 1 with Davy onboard, i'm more confident that this will be the race that he lines up in (only other option is the Grand Annual)

                  33/1 Taken.
                  Attribution is the Gigginstown runner that stands out to me at the minute. Has form on decent ground racing outside of handicap company. But iv backed The Storyteller for this, may have a saver on Attribution...

                  Comment


                  • #84
                    Originally posted by Can't Catch Me View Post
                    Tycoon Prince is definitely one Im interested in jono... but I have backed him NRNB for the Grand Annual.

                    His best form appears to be over 2m?

                    Could General Principle be the one for this race?!
                    The Grand Annual won't obviously have anyone like Footpad (or Petit Mouchoir) in the race but I think TP was completely taken off his feet last time out over 2 miles(1). I can see the Grand Annual resulting in a similar outcome if he were to go there as it's always run at an incredibly quick pace. I have a slight negative for him for any festival handicap in regards to a big field (largest field size has been 10 runners apart from his run at Aintree in 2016 - PU/22) as well and I think in such a field size, going at that speed it'll all be too much for him. They were pretty keen to go up in trip over hurdles without wasting too much time. Clearly so far he is yet to live up to the promise expected of him from his bumper days (which is another reason why I feel he could have more to come) and I've felt like they have deliberately gone down the 2 mile route with a step up in trip the plan for the Spring Festival handicaps.

                    General Principle (40/1) did take my eye, with a similar path that Empire of Dirt took - top 3 mile staying handicap chases like the Troytown, Paddy Power Chase. And he did step back in trip and ran in the same race Empire of Dirt ran in before winning this race. I think he's been slightly disappointing though myself where as Empire of Dirt was coming into form as the season progressed. GP ran a great prep over hurdles to get him into the Troytown spot on. Going off 6/1 2nd fav he was well beaten 31 lengths and finished a similar distance back over Christmas. A slightly better performance followed at the Dublin racing festival but he was still well beaten by Last Goodbye who could reoppose. Now Last Goodbye won that receiving 11lbs from GP that day (and the jockey was claiming 7lb) and if they raced here again, the weights are well reversed with Gp this time getting 9lb so that is a huge swing in the weights so you could see a case why he could reverse form between the pair on that basis. I'm just not quite sure he's shown as much promise as expected and I can't find too many excuses for him..?? Am I right in thinking they've said soft ground is best for him too?

                    Comment


                    • #85
                      Last Goodbye gets a very strong mention by Rory Delargy in the FFP.

                      He also says it is a race to look for outsiders historically because there is a lot of luck because of where they start from.

                      Worth listening to, not something I'd factor in to my bets though personally

                      Comment


                      • #86
                        Originally posted by Toffees View Post
                        King's Socks had a few entries over the next few days but has been declared for a graduation chase in Kempton tomorrow. He was a top Juvenile hurdler in France, could be interesting here. Although he only raced on soft or heavy in France so Spring ground would be an unknown. He was short enough in the betting for the Betvictor in 2017 (as a four year old) but picked up an injury. Does anybody know what the injury was? He hasn't been seen since...
                        The 2nd and 3rd from Kings Socks listed hurdle win (May 2016) both won in France today.

                        Comment


                        • #87
                          Gordon elliot
                          The storyteller goes here.
                          https://scooby91horseracingtips.com/
                          Use code "FJ" in your sign up name for bonus content!

                          Comment


                          • #88
                            Originally posted by Scooby91 View Post
                            Gordon elliot
                            The storyteller goes here.
                            Beat me to it scooby

                            Comment


                            • #89
                              Originally posted by Scooby91 View Post
                              Gordon elliot
                              The storyteller goes here.
                              Where are the Elliott running plans being taken from?

                              Comment


                              • #90
                                Originally posted by kinloch brae View Post
                                Where are the Elliott running plans being taken from?
                                Preview night
                                https://scooby91horseracingtips.com/
                                Use code "FJ" in your sign up name for bonus content!

                                Comment

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