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Yep, well done Zach.
Good news and bad news though.
As I think the prize money she won means she's probably way out of your league now.
Depends how much Zach stands to win from his roll ups doesn't it?! it
Ps - I know we don't talk of actually money on here but he could be a secret 18yo millionaire in six months now
Depends how much Zach stands to win from his roll ups doesn't it?! it
Ps - I know we don't talk of actually money on here but he could be a secret 18yo millionaire in six months now
Only a small stake player as a student so doubt it but then again it is my first time doing antepost
John Rahm to be Top European points scorer in the Ryder cup at 7/2 looks a good price to use as a roll up. Can see only Rahm and McIlroy being guaranteed to play all 5 sessions. Now to decide which horses?
Attempting Geocentric 4/1 (2.10 Ayr tomorrow) with The Bosses Oscar 20/1 (Sky - no cashout) for a 104/1 roll up.
Reasoning:
- 5lb pull at weights with the colts.
- Seems to race prominently, which could be an advantage here (pace angle is uncertain so it could be a negative)
- Saw at 6f pretty well last time, after winning maiden over 5f - stiff 5f at Ayr could be perfect
- The horse she beat in her maiden has since won a 5f Nursery off 80
- Trainer in super form and 1-4 at track in last five years.
- 2/3 of her FULL brothers recorded RPRs of 100+ at the end of their 2yo seasons - these were their peak RPRs throughout their careers and achieved at 5f and 6f distances.
- If we assume natural progression within her RPRs, it's not unreasonable to think she can perform to approx 102-108 RPR (last run was 98, first run was 87), which I don't think any of the fillies will beat. The colts would struggle to give 5lbs to that kind of performance, with possibly only Project Dante able to.
Last edited by Odin; 16 September 2021, 08:26 PM.
Reason: Reasoning added
Trying Dhabab in the mill reef tomorrow with TBO in a roll up, form lines very strong with native trail and masekela whom in recent runs have beat point lonsdale and bayside boy whom beat reach for the moon at Doncaster
Starting to think you could use Ronaldo to score anytime every week....
Pretty sure it's Ronaldo's fault as to why 1st goalscorer odds took a real tumble back in the late 2000s. He had a mad run where he was 1st goalscorer in a lot of matches in one season that even I, as a Liverpool fan, cottoned on and started betting it to happen every week. Then the odds went from 3 or 4/1 to evens and that was that.
News overnight in the US that Monomoy Girl has been retired so won't be running in the Breeders Cup Distaff.
Most bookies have removed her from the market except for B365, so I've done loads of doubles on the following two horses with multiple Cheltenham selections:
Letruska 5/2 - Unbeaten this year and goes there a strong favourite on ratings.
(7/4 elsewhere)
Malathaat 13/2 - this years Kentucky Oaks winner
(11/2 and as low as 4/1 elsewhere)
Also added some 4-folds along with:
USA (Ryder Cup) and
Dhawan (Top IPL Batsman)
Which gives a boost of 10/1 (Letruska) and 22/1 (Malathaat) to the Cheltenham selections.
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