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2022 Mares Hurdle

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  • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post

    It is bonkers, that Queen's Brook is now best priced 4/1, and the horse that beat her last time, Burning Victory is 10/1!

    No matter how easily people think QB would beat BV if they met again, that's a huge price discrepency between the two!

    Most people will be on both, at bigger, of course - but still.... when they crossed the line that day, could anyone really say they think 4/1 for the 2nd, and 10/1 for the winner would be the correct prices?!
    Agree with all of that. If Gordon hadn't have said a word, or won the race last year with Black Tears, what price would Queens Brook be on merit? 10/1? Maybe 12/1? 4/1 is very short IMO. Setting aside the obvious dangers at the top of the market, I'd have horses like Heaven Help Us and even Indefatigable as much better betting propositions than QB, not just because they are ahead of QB on ratings, but because they are proven over obstacles at Cheltenham and literally 4 and 5 times the price! QB may well improve and win, but shes a terrible price IMO. Well done to those on at bigger. If she were 10's which is what I think she deserves to be on merit then I'd back her, but I can't be having her at that price. I can see why people think she might reverse the form with BV, but I'm not buying it. QB was under pressure long before BV that day and everyone has decided QB will come on massively for the run, but BV who by Willie's admission had 'plenty of condition', won't. Now the formers jumping looks better I'd have her off levels to uphold that form with QB, but the market tells me I'm wrong with BV out to 10/1! I could have QB all wrong and I'll happily be wrong, but I think TMSG will beat her well.

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    • Just need Bet365 to hit 4/1 on TMSG this morning. May as well collect on the winner and get the risk free bet in the Ballymore.

      *Now out to 4s with Bet365
      Last edited by DenmanSacre; 15 March 2022, 08:19 AM.

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      • I got TMSG for this and I'm just confused more than anything with this huge gamble on Queens Brook. I just don't see how it can win this, unless I'm missing something?

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        • Originally posted by Nathaniel99999 View Post
          I got TMSG for this and I'm just confused more than anything with this huge gamble on Queens Brook. I just don't see how it can win this, unless I'm missing something?
          Yeah not sure where the money is coming from, especially when burning victory (who beat her last time out) is drifting.

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          • Originally posted by Nevertoolate View Post

            Yeah not sure where the money is coming from, especially when burning victory (who beat her last time out) is drifting.
            It's been pretty obvious to me that BV has been assumed by the market as 2nd maybe 3rd choice given bookings.

            Whereas everything's been said to make it look like QB will be brought to her prime for this and back to level weights.

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            • F****ng sick!

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              • Very unlucky for TMSG. What an odd run race, turned into a proper mess.

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                • Originally posted by FinalFurlong91 View Post

                  Tmsg, queens brook, maries rock are the 3 I can see benefitting from a strong pace to aim at
                  Id have had the first 3 if tmsg hadn't got brought down

                  Was a top ride from nico

                  Tmsg was absolutely cruising, iv won but I'm still a but gutted as tmsg was one of my biggest fancies of the week

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                  • Sickening but you take those chances when you're held up. Maries Rock looked the winner jumping the last and picked up off the bridle well.

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                    • TMSG looked unlucky but too far out to say where she would finish. Marie's Rock outstayed Queen's Brook. Hendo to be champion trainer?

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                      • Betfair have settled my antepost bet on maries rock on the exchange as a loser

                        Anyone else had the same?

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                        • Originally posted by FinalFurlong91 View Post
                          Betfair have settled my antepost bet on maries rock on the exchange as a loser

                          Anyone else had the same?
                          Really are dropping a few bollocks at moment aren't they if that is the case. Mine seemed to settle ok

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                          • Originally posted by KickOnMyCockers View Post

                            Really are dropping a few bollocks at moment aren't they if that is the case. Mine seemed to settle ok
                            It took an hour and I eventually received the money and yes the site has gone to the dogs imo in the last 6 months

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                            • Has it been confirmed TMSG is ok? Couldn’t hear anything whilst at the course

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                              • Originally posted by FinalFurlong91 View Post

                                It took an hour and I eventually received the money and yes the site has gone to the dogs imo in the last 6 months
                                Sky struggling as well, still not received my winnings for the double for Marie’s winning at Warwick and today.
                                Anyone else having issues?

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