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2019 Grand National

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  • In light of all the brilliant recent info on here from 7T & Pads i've added a few more I feel are overpriced.

    Leaves me with...

    Tiger Roll 9/2 win
    Vintage Clouds 18/1 e/w
    Jury Duty 33/1 e/w
    Monbeg Notorious 80/1 e/w
    Last edited by SeanRock; 26 March 2019, 11:19 AM.

    Comment


    • Im looking forward to seeing 7T league table always informative. FWIW this is my effort. I use trends 5pts for hitting a trend. Its been successful in finding big priced place horses but hasnt yet nailed a big price winner, gone down to 55pts:

      70 pts -
      Anibale Fly
      Jury Duty

      65 pts -
      Yala Enki
      Dounikos
      Rases De Teillee
      General Principle

      60 pts -
      The Storyteller
      Min Rocco
      Magic of Light
      Sandymount Duke
      Ultra gold
      Ms Parfois
      Singlefarmpayment
      Vintage Clouds
      Walk in the mill
      Bless the wings

      55 pts
      Bristo De MAi
      Tiger Roll
      Don poli
      Blaklion
      Lake View Lad
      Pleasent Company
      Shattered Love
      Rock the Kasbah
      A Toi Phil
      Folsom Blue
      Isleofhopendreams
      Shantou Village
      The Young master

      Comment


      • Do we know if Anibale Fly is an intended runner yet?

        Comment


        • Hi Billy

          A couple of extra criteria have been added this year. The par score this year is 85+. The winner should come from this group if it continues to work.

          My scoring system incorporates the following criteria

          Age
          Chase Runs
          Most runners faced in a Chase where won or placed
          Furthest Distance Won a Chase
          Furthest Distance Placed in a Chase
          Won or placed in a Chase over 28f + with 14+ runners?
          Number of career falls/unseats
          Hurdle run during season?
          Number of runs pre Boxing Day
          Number of runs post Boxing Day
          Number of runs in the last two seasons
          Number of career starts over 3 miles +
          Highest Chase RPR in last two seasons
          Won or placed at Aintree (any course)?
          3rd attempt or more?


          Horse/Score
          General Principle 100
          Abolitionist 95
          Anibale Fly 95
          Dounikos 95
          Folsom Blue 95
          Tiger Roll 95
          Vintage Clouds 95
          Bless The Wings 90
          Lake View Lad 85
          Magic Of Light 85
          Ramses De Teillee 85
          Yala Enki 85
          Blaklion 82.5
          One For Arthur 80
          The Storyteller 80
          Pleasant Company 77.5
          A Toi Phil 75
          Ballyoptic 75
          Minella Rocco 75
          Monbeg Notorious 75
          Ms Parfois 75
          Rathvinden 75
          Rock The Kasbah 75
          Ultragold 75
          Valtor 75
          Singlefarmpayment 70
          Step Back 70
          Sub Lieutenant 70
          Walk In The Mill 70
          Go Conquer 65
          Outlander 65
          Pairofbrowneyes 65
          Sandymount Duke 65
          Shattered Love 65
          Tea For Two 65
          Warriors Tale 65
          Bristol De Mai 60
          Captain Redbeard 60
          Daklondike 60
          Don Poli 60
          Jury Duty 60
          Mala Beach 60
          Regal Encore 60
          Noble Endeavor 55
          Valseur Lido 55
          Alpha Des Obeaux 50
          Isleofhopendreams 50
          Mall Dini 50
          Blow By Blow 45
          Livelovelaugh 30
          Up For Review 30
          Last edited by Seven Towers; 28 March 2019, 06:16 PM.

          Comment


          • Added pairofbrowneyes to my shortlist today.
            What score does that get seven T ?
            noticed it's not listed.

            Comment


            • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
              Wounded on Don Poli.

              Can't take that as a positive

              I hope he wins though now more than ever
              The scenes when JP buys him (and sends him to Edna).
              Last edited by mayo; 27 March 2019, 08:48 AM.

              Comment


              • Thats great 7T thanks for that always like to cross reference my bets with your top list, its usually a good way to make money!!! Best of luck and thanks again. Dont suppose you could tell me what the stamina score on the conduit mares profile is for the following please:

                Anibale Fly
                Jury Duty
                Yala Enki
                Dounikos
                Rases De Teillee
                General Principle
                The Storyteller
                Min Rocco
                Magic of Light
                Sandymount Duke
                Ultra gold
                Ms Parfois
                Singlefarmpayment
                Vintage Clouds
                Walk in the mill
                Bless the wings

                Comment


                • Bristol De Mai confirmed as running in the Bowl rather than the National

                  Comment


                  • 11st 5lb might be a stretch now for the Tiger.

                    Comment


                    • When I was at Cheltenham I was chatting to someone with connections to the Elliott stable and they were convinced that Keith Donoghue would be getting the ride on Tiger Roll in the Grand National.

                      They said if Keith can do the weight then he'll get the ride. He can do 11st 5lb so it'll be interesting to see if he gets the leg up.

                      Comment


                      • ....continues to be very dry up here in Liverpool. It must put in doubt the participation of Ms Parfois given the remarks of its trainer, but the ground will be watered and the turf is always lush and safe at Aintree.

                        Comment


                        • Davy will ride Tiger Roll surely

                          Comment


                          • Originally posted by FaugheenTheMachine View Post
                            Do we know if Anibale Fly is an intended runner yet?
                            ....apparently so;

                            Last edited by Eggs; 27 March 2019, 03:10 PM.

                            Comment


                            • Originally posted by FaugheenTheMachine View Post
                              Davy will ride Tiger Roll surely
                              Not what I was told FTM. This person was adamant it'd be KD.

                              Comment


                              • Davy a little out of favour with Gigginstown at the moment (again) ?

                                Didn't get a plum book of rides at this years festival by any stretch from those connections.

                                Comment

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