Originally posted by Middle_Of_March
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2022 Grand National
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Given that the phrase 'if he jumps round' is the key, each way wouldn't the option that I'd be looking at.
Cloth Cap is, self-evidently, well handicapped but 4/1 is very skinny for a horse that hasn't been over these fences before. I'd have thought that he wins well or fails to complete.
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"If he jumps round" not the biggy it used to be. Remember the last renewal where there were 38 horses still in contention at fence 18 of the 30?!
Looks like an average of around 10-12 runners that get caught out by the fences these days.
Not so sure that 4/1 is as skinny as it looks at first sight.
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Originally posted by Moby123 View Post
If that's your thinking then start smashing up the place on Betfair 4 place market at around 15/8, if it gets round you shouldn't be needing the extra places and lower fraction anyway....it's better than you'll get at the bookies , and do the win on Betfair too as bound to be higher..
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Re Cloth Cap, we don't know how well he is handicapped v the Irish horses. The Irish Absolutely decimated the rest at the festival . I personally think they'll dominate the places in the GN as well with Burrows Saint leading the way.
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Hes definitely well in but I cant have him as a 162 horse at all
Think that is as inflated as royale pagailles mark
Somewhere in the mid 150s probably much more realistic as to his actual level of ability
Off 148 if he gets into a jumping rhythm when not given an easy lead like the last twice he looks to have a knocking chance
Still firmly aboard the burrows saint train though and hoping townend is fully fit by next saturday
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