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2022 Grand National

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  • #76
    Originally posted by Garrison Savannah View Post

    Might bet him in the place only market but surely he won’t be winning ?
    Really?

    Finished 2 1/2 lengths third in the Ultima last year - giving winner The Conditional 9lbs.

    Runner-up to Le Breuil in the NH Chase in 2019 - beaten half a length.

    Split Delta Work and A Plus Tard (rec 5lbs) in the grade 1 Champions Novice Chase over 3 miles at Punchestown 2 years ago.

    There's also evidence that he may be best in the spring.

    His career record in March/April reads: 3 2 2 5 2 2. Each of those races was worth a minimum of 54k apart from the last one which was his sole start in a bumper.

    Discorama's record in big fields with 18 runners minimum is also impressive: 3 8 2 1 2 1

    It's easy to say with Discorama: "He might be in the shake up but he hardly ever wins."

    And it is all a matter of opinion.

    But I'd take the each way bet at 33-1 over the 9.2 exchange place bet any day of the week.

    Comment


    • #77
      Originally posted by nortonscoin200 View Post

      Really?

      Finished 2 1/2 lengths third in the Ultima last year - giving winner The Conditional 9lbs.

      Runner-up to Le Breuil in the NH Chase in 2019 - beaten half a length.

      Split Delta Work and A Plus Tard (rec 5lbs) in the grade 1 Champions Novice Chase over 3 miles at Punchestown 2 years ago.

      There's also evidence that he may be best in the spring.

      His career record in March/April reads: 3 2 2 5 2 2. Each of those races was worth a minimum of 54k apart from the last one which was his sole start in a bumper.

      Discorama's record in big fields with 18 runners minimum is also impressive: 3 8 2 1 2 1

      It's easy to say with Discorama: "He might be in the shake up but he hardly ever wins."

      And it is all a matter of opinion.

      But I'd take the each way bet at 33-1 over the 9.2 exchange place bet any day of the week.

      ....just reminded to check a double I’d virtually forgotten about;

      Galvin 14-1 NHC/Discorama GN 40-1.

      Still sitting as open in my PP account which is a nice bonus as I cashed the 40-1 single in.
      Last edited by Eggs; 28 March 2021, 11:25 AM.

      Comment


      • #78
        Originally posted by Eggs View Post


        ....just reminded to check a double I’d virtually forgotten about;

        Galvin 14-1 NHC/Discorama GN 40-1.

        Still sitting as open in my PP account which is a nice bonus as I cashed the 40-1 single in.
        Love it, cracking bet - good luck Eggs.



        Comment


        • #79
          Originally posted by nortonscoin200 View Post

          Really?

          Finished 2 1/2 lengths third in the Ultima last year - giving winner The Conditional 9lbs.

          Runner-up to Le Breuil in the NH Chase in 2019 - beaten half a length.

          Split Delta Work and A Plus Tard (rec 5lbs) in the grade 1 Champions Novice Chase over 3 miles at Punchestown 2 years ago.

          There's also evidence that he may be best in the spring.

          His career record in March/April reads: 3 2 2 5 2 2. Each of those races was worth a minimum of 54k apart from the last one which was his sole start in a bumper.

          Discorama's record in big fields with 18 runners minimum is also impressive: 3 8 2 1 2 1

          It's easy to say with Discorama: "He might be in the shake up but he hardly ever wins."

          And it is all a matter of opinion.

          But I'd take the each way bet at 33-1 over the 9.2 exchange place bet any day of the week.
          I’m happy with my lazy assessment of he doesn’t want to get his head in front often enough - and I don’t anticipate he’s going to go to the well after 4m+

          If he wins, it’d be because he’d won by the elbow.

          Happy to agree to disagree!

          Comment


          • #80
            Me name gives it away obviously but here in Liverpool am roughly 3 to 4 miles away from the course and I’m all in on the fav at 14/1 praying for no rain haha! It’s currently been pissing down for most of today,will gladly keep you all updated up until the big day........please no more rain!!

            Comment


            • #81
              Originally posted by Garrison Savannah View Post

              I’m happy with my lazy assessment of he doesn’t want to get his head in front often enough - and I don’t anticipate he’s going to go to the well after 4m+

              If he wins, it’d be because he’d won by the elbow.

              Happy to agree to disagree!
              Discorama is a 4000pt winner for me and I do agree with you both.

              NC - I can see him running a big race as per your comments above
              GS - the long run after the last would be a huge worry if he was in with a shout.

              My shortlist is currently Cloth Cap, Kimberlite Candy, Burrows Saint, Discorama and Milan Native

              Comment


              • #82
                Looks dry between now and the National. Ideal for Cloth Cap but not so good for Kimberlite Candy and Secret Reprieve (who could still struggle to get in)

                Comment


                • #83
                  I live right behind the course. Lovely dry day very windy for drying ground

                  Comment


                  • #84
                    Originally posted by The hill View Post
                    I live right behind the course. Lovely dry day very windy for drying ground

                    ....I’m nearby & played a fair bit of football there in days gone by. Even during fine Spring weather, the pitch was always lush and ‘took a stud’.

                    I can imagine it’s fabulous & safe ground to run horses on, even in a dry spell.
                    Last edited by Eggs; 29 March 2021, 11:47 AM.

                    Comment


                    • #85
                      Watering could take place at Aintree this week to help achieve the desired good to soft ground conditions for the start of next week's Randox Grand... Read More

                      The owls are not what they seem

                      Comment


                      • #86
                        This quote is on Ben Linfoot's column from the middle of Feb:

                        Second at three Cheltenham Festivals, including in the National Hunt Chase over almost four miles, Discorama is all stamina and Nolan says he’s gearing him up for a crack at Aintree following wind surgery.
                        He said on Tuesday: “We’re pleased with him. He’s had the wind surgery, he’s back on the gallops now and he’s in the Grand National with the intention of going there.

                        “He could run before Aintree, whether it will be over hurdles or fences I don’t know. He’s not long back in, we blamed his wind for the way he ran at Cheltenham [when a disappointing fifth, beaten 39 lengths, when sent off 15/8 favourite for a handicap chase in November].

                        “Hopefully it will make a difference to him, we’ll see what happens.

                        “He went close in the four-miler and he ran two very nice races after that, he came out of it well, which they don’t always do coming out of that race.

                        “Hopefully for the owners, Tom Friel and Andrew Gemmell, we can get him to Aintree with a chance of winning.

                        “We wouldn’t be too worried if he never won again if he managed it!”

                        Discorama has been a nearly horse so far in his career, but he’s got the ability to land a big one. Off a mark of 149, 1lb higher than when he was a close-up third in last year’s Ultima at the Cheltenham Festival, it could be in the National, as he looks well weighted with the test of stamina in mind.

                        Comment


                        • #87
                          Plenty of watering going on the course today

                          Comment


                          • #88
                            ....Discorama into 16-1 with PP, still 33-1 Hills.

                            (Edit: Hills have now cut it to 25-1).
                            Last edited by Eggs; 31 March 2021, 05:33 PM.

                            Comment


                            • #89
                              Two I’ve backed for the National so far are.

                              Kimberlite Candy 14/1
                              Lord Du Mesnil 33/1

                              Like the look of Burrows Saint for WPM as well.

                              Comment


                              • #90
                                My ante post picks for this have slowly but surely all dropped out, left with Kimberlite Candy, which I took at 20s, was hoping a read through this thread would fill me with some lacking confidence

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