Tony McCoy tips thread

[mayo]

Suppose we should give the champ his own thread too...

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/horseracing/9827831/Cape-Tribulation-looks-the-type-to-spring-a-surprise-in-the-Argento-Chase-at-Cheltenham.html

Cape Tribulation looks the type to spring a surprise in the Argento Chase at Cheltenham - Telegraph

It goes without saying that I cannot see Sprinter Sacre (1.50) being beaten in the Victor Chandler Chase, but that is not really telling you much as I see he is around 1-4. The ground is not ideal, but his brilliance and the lack of serious opposition should see him home.

However, it would not surprise me is there was a bit of a shock in the Argento Chase. Tidal Bay has clearly had a little problem, the ground will be against Grands Crus and Imperial Commander may be rusty. Therefore it may be worth taking a chance on Cape Tribulation. He won here last March and won a decent race easily in the heavy at Wetherby.

Last Shadow (12.10) ran pretty well at Doncaster when fourth and a few people thought he was eye-catching. He needs to improve tons, however, and is not good enough to beat either Irish Saint or Rolling Star.

John’s Spirit (12.40) has a very good chance at a decent price. He is an improving sort and the drop back in trip from three miles will help enormously.

I fell off Nadiya De La Vega (1.15) last time and before that she was third in the Paddy Power Gold Cup. She does not have much in hand as far as her rating is concerned, but she will love the conditions.

The Neptune Investment Hurdle (3.00) has a small but intriguing field. It will be regarded by many as match between the Coneygree and The New One. However, although At Fishers Cross takes a big step up in class he is pretty smart and they will have perform near their best to beat him.

Mr Watson (4.10) is a challenge for me as I am trying to get down to 10st  3lbs. Obviously I wouldn’t do that on a no hoper and he has a good chance in a competitive race, but my wasting is more borne out of the fact that after a week off you are driven to desperate things.

I do not expect Binocular to beat Hurricane Fly tomorrow. He was lame after Cheltenham last year, so came back in late this season and the weather would not have aided his preparation, but he needs a race.

[mayo]

His lowest weight in last year was 10 4 according to PJA site

Mr Watson 5/1 with www.fatjockey.com/visit/stanjames at time of posting

[mayo]

Steve Hughes likes mr Watson too

Cheltenham 4.10: MR WATSON (7-2 Totesport, Betfred, Sportingbet) and HIS EXCELLENCY (ew 14-1 general)
It might be taking a chance with Mr Watson giving this horse’s wayward tendencies, but the application of a hood had a massive positive effect when he won his first race under rules at Plumpton last time and Jonjo O’Neill’s gelding could turn out to be a blot on the handicap.

He was very well fancied on his first run for the yard at Market Rasen but pulled too hard having been held up and ran out of puff late on. That race came only a few days after he unseated AP McCoy going to the start and then kicked his jockey for good measure. He then gave the champ a torrid time here last month, when almost running out passing the stands, yet sticking on nicely to finish a close fifth against a field of high class novices. His energy was channelled far better with the headgear on at Plumpton and the fact McCoy is aiming to do 10-3 looks to be a big clue.

At the odds His Excellency offers each-way value having built up a decent record here over fences this season. A winner of a novice event in October, he hit the front close home in a handicap at the last meeting only to get outfought close home. He is a tricky ride, but is suited by hold up tactics and with a likely fast pace and a big field to weave through, this race could be ideally suited for him. He is 8lbs lower rated over hurdles, so looks worth a go at this contest.

[Yeehaa]

ap knew

[Rhinestone Cowboy]

top tipping from tony ...denis got lucky IMO

[Lester]

Yep.....three tips win from th champ. Good judge

[Rhinestone Cowboy]

I do not expect Binocular to beat Hurricane Fly tomorrow. He was lame after Cheltenham last year, so came back in late this season and the weather would not have aided his preparation, but he needs a race.

You were told

[Lester]

Hurricane Fly still looks the one to beat in the Champion Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
Originally I would have been going to Sandown to ride Darlan in the Contenders Hurdle on Saturday but we will now have to wait until Doncaster on Monday to find out if Darlan is improving as we hope and whether he warrants his position as second favourite behind Hurricane Fly for the Champion Hurdle.
Darlan, who won a slightly farcical Christmas Hurdle on his only start this season, has got to step up but he is only six years old so you would hope there is plenty of improvement still there and Rock On Ruby and Countrywide Flame would provide a good test for him.
But after last Sunday’s Irish Champion Hurdle I have no doubt that Hurricane Fly will be the horse to beat in the Champion Hurdle at the Chelntenham Festival.

He was very impressive at Leopardstown and he has set the bar for hurdlers this season, even though you could argue that his opposition has been slightly lacking.
Binocular, who finished third there, never runs particularly well first time out.
He normally improves for a run and he needs to improve a lot if he is to provide any sort of competition for Hurricane Fly.
Instead of Sandown I am off to Ffos Las where Oscara Dara (2.05) is my main ride in the William Hill Welsh Champion Hurdle.
He won well last time at Kempton but has gone up a stone in the weights since so has a lot more on his plate.
The ground at Ffos Las in mid-January was probably the deepest I have ever ridden on.
I dare say it is something to do with the fact that it is new ground combined with unfeasible amounts of rain this winter.
It was not unsafe and we all went pretty steady but it is very specialist and not many horses can handle it.
Oscara Dara should not mind it and the track will suit him.
The one to beat would be Taneko Emery who is owned by Dai Walters, who built the track, and, one imagines, has been laid out for this by David Pipe.
Mister W K (1.30) won a bumper well and should take all the beating in the novice hurdle.
The Bear Trap (3.45) is another I have high hopes for. He won very easily over course and distance last time so conditions should hold no fear for him.
Consigliere looks like he is in good form but I am optimistic.
On the other hand I am very unconfident of Titchwood (4.20) in the maiden hurdle.
He won a bumper at Ffos Las but is no superstar and might be best avoided.
Internationalapeal (4.50) has experience and will go on the ground but he has Heath hunter to beat.
The last time I went to Ffos Las I took Mark Pougatch, the Radio 5 Live presenter, with me for a programme which is going out this Tuesday at 7.30 called A Different Breed; The Life Of A Jump Jockey.
He came schooling with me at Brendan Powell’s first thing and finished his day with a meal cooked for him Chez McCoy. He wanted to ask me questions about racing, as a passionate Arsenal fan, I was keener to ask him all about football.








He performed about as well as he always does first time but I was disappointed he could not get past Thousand Stars for second.

[Morning Glory]

Oscara Dara should not mind it and the track will suit him.
2nd last

The one to beat would be Taneko Emery who is owned by Dai Walters, who built the track, and, one imagines, has been laid out for this by David Pipe. 3rd

Mister W K (1.30) won a bumper well and should take all the beating in the novice hurdle. 7th

The Bear Trap (3.45) is another I have high hopes for. He won very easily over course and distance last time so conditions should hold no fear for him. 2nd

[mayo]

Tony latest

Tony McCoy: I have a good chance of winning my third Betfair Hurdle on My Tent Or Yours

He won very easily on better ground at Huntingdon next time, however and if the ground does not ride too bad then I will be optimistic he can join Copeland and Get Me Out of Here, my previous winners of the race.

He’s not thrown in, but there again nothing appears to be that well-treated and he is at least open to improvement. He has been quite keen in his races and the strong pace will suit him and may help him to progress.

The dangers look to be Cotton Mill, who is well-fancied, and Swing Bowler, the unbeaten and improving daughter of one of my favourite horses of all time, Lady Cricket.

I begin my day elsewhere, however, having taken the view that, with no rides in the early races at Newbury, I just might as well go to Warwick as sit in the weighing room watching it on television. I take two rides there starting with Open Day (12.55), who has an excellent chance. He was a good second to Dark Lover at Cheltenham last time and that form looks solid in the context of this race. Ma Filleule (1.30) is useful at this level and should also go close.

My next ride is in a helicopter and I should arrive at Newbury in good time to ride Edgardo Sol (3.00). Without Simonsig the race suddenly looks a lot more open and winnable. I rode Edgardo Sol when he was third to Sizing Europe in a decent race at Leopardstown and he has good solid form. It would not be the biggest surprise of all time if he ran very well, even though I imagine Ruby Walsh had the pick of the Nicholls pair when siding with Shooters Wood. Mind you he wouldn’t be the first jockey to pick the wrong one.

Seedling (4.10) won a Lingfield bumper well and Charlie Egerton does well with this type of event, but this race is something else altogether, one of the better bumpers of the season in which Pure Science will take all the beating.

I would expect Silviniaco Conti to win the Denman Chase and am firmly in the Sir Des Champs camp in the Irish Hennessy at Leopardstown. He did not jump very well in the Lexus when he was a fast finishing fourth behind Tidal Bay and I believe he will outstay Flemenstar.

It has not been the best week of my life and I would rather not talk about the loss of Darlan, our promising Champion Hurdle hope, at Doncaster on Monday. It is still very raw. It was compounded for the boss, J P McManus, later in the week when Like A Butterfly, one of the best mares he has ever owned, died of colic shortly after giving birth to a foal by Yeats. She won the 2002 Supreme Novices’ Hurdle with Charlie Swan on board but I rode her in her last three races winning the Power Gold Cup and the Mildmay Novice Chase at Aintree.

[1833]

Did McCoy call tricast in betfair there ? #respect

[Yeehaa]

Did McCoy call tricast in betfair there ? #respect

YEP

Pos Dist Horse Trainer Age Weight Jockey SP
1st 3 My Tent Or Yours (IRE) N J Henderson 6 11-2 A P McCoy 5/1f
Took keen hold held up in close touch on inside and always travelling well, went 2nd on bit before 2 out, led between last 2, 4 lengths ahead last, kept on strongly flat, easily £5000-£900(x3) £2000-£360(x4)
2nd 5 8 Cotton Mill J P Ferguson 6 10-12 Jack Quinlan (3) 9/1
Always prominent, travelling well and every chance 2 out, not pace of winner between last 2, kept on to 2nd at the last, stayed on run-in but never going pace to trouble easy winner opened 8/1
3rd 1¼ 15 Swing Bowler D Pipe 6 10-1 T J Murphy 8/1
Prominent, led 2nd, ridden and joined 2 out, headed between last 2, soon outpaced and no chance with easy winner, one pace in 3rd from the last

Tote Win £5.10 Tote Place £2.20 £3.30 £1.90 £4.30 Straight Forecast £44.46 Exacta £58.80 Trifecta £382.40 Swingers 1&2 £15.80, 2&3 £12.10, 1&3 £7.60

[Old Vic]

Had a go at trying to figure out his Cheltenham rides http://www.fatjockey.com/cheltenham-...2013-Rides-128 .

[Morning Glory]

Betfair Hurdle winner My Tent Or Yours is like David Beckham

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/horseracing/9873881/Betfair-Hurdle-winner-My-Tent-Or-Yours-is-like-David-Beckham.html

Many people have suggested the Champion Hurdle might be on the agenda after his runaway victory in that handicap, but we have not spoken about that yet.

To me, the novice route is the logical path, but who knows what the future holds – just ask Paul Nicholls who, on Tuesday, was saying he thought Tidal Bay had a great chance in the Grand National and on Wednesday he found out the horse would not be running at Aintree after picking up an injury. You can never say for sure that a horse will get to the Festival intact – I cannot say that I will either, for that matter.

This sport is all about taking it day by day. But, getting back to My Tent Or Yours, I can say that physically he has all the attributes of a top class racehorse. He is good looking, he is athletic, he is the perfect model – he is a bit of a David Beckham really.

I always liked Darlan and had great hopes for him but I do not like comparing horses, nobody in racing really does. My Tent Or Yours has the chance to establish his own reputation and identity and he is well on the way to doing that.

As I said here, I was worried about the ground before last week’s race but as everybody saw he went through it well enough. He is a very exciting young jumper and will go to Cheltenham with high expectations. If he runs up to the Newbury form, I will be delighted.

For a novice to win a competitive handicap the way he did was quite exceptional. He definitely has a huge future and I cannot wait to get aboard him again. J P has plenty of novices – he also has Jezki in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle – and we must not forget that Binocular is a previous Champion Hurdler and remains very much on course for this year’s race.

During the week, the John Smith’s Grand National weights were unveiled. Personally, I was interested to see what weight Sunnyhillboy and Colbert Station were given, but that said, I have not even thought about what I might ride at Aintree. It is too far away.

As usual, I am not in a rush to make any decision about a big race ride and there will be no pressure on me to do so. J P is a great race-reader and I would rather listen to him, frankly. If he said ride this or that, then I would. But he will probably leave the choice to me.

Winning the Grand National was one of the great highlights of my career. I know I have said that I would not want to continue riding if I was not champion – so you can judge what the title means to me – but Don’t Push It’s win in the 2010 National is something I will always remember vividly.

Obviously, it would be great to win another one. But you have to have the right weight – and above all, the right horse – for Aintree. That is never easy.

You may have noticed that I do not often get down to 10st 4lb to ride. However, I am going to give it a go to partner The Bear Trap (3.15) at Ascot today. I managed 10st 3lb on Mr Watson at Cheltenham three weeks ago and it was worth it that time. Let’s hope there is a similar outcome here.

I was a bit disappointed that he got beat last time, but that said, I’m happy that there is still improvement in him.

My other ride is in the bumper on Captain Cutter (5.00). This horse won nicely for John Magnier at Ascot and since then has changed owners and now runs for J P McManus. Red Sherlock won by a mile at Towcester and is the one to beat.

[mayo]

AP in the Tele http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/hor...ig-things.html

Kempton's Racing Plus Chase should show us if Wyck Hill is destined for big things
I didn’t know too much about the purchase of Wyck Hill by my boss J P McManus, but as a chaser this nine year-old has plenty going for him.
I hope we find out more during Saturday's Racing Plus Chase (3.50) at Kempton Park as he has entries in both the Betfred Gold Cup and the John Smith’s Grand National.

As most who follow the jumping game know, J P likes to buy ready-made horses that show enough potential to indicate they can win bigger races later on. Wyck Hill, trained by David Bridgwater, is typical of that policy in that he is relatively-unexposed and has won his last two races.

On the most recent of those outings Wyck Hill beat the Venetia Williams-trained Katenko, who went on to win at Sandown Park and Cheltenham and is being aimed at the Gold Cup. You might argue that Katenko has improved, but our fellow is just as likely to be on the upgrade too.

Wyck Hill is a 25-1 chance for the National and I have often been asked whether the Racing Plus Chase is a good trial for the Aintree race. I always answer 'what race is a good trial for Aintree?’ In my opinion there is really no right answer to that question.

The fact is a National horse can take almost any route and with Wyck Hill it would be nice if he could collect the Racing Plus along the way. In a very open race today, he is one to consider strongly, but I think Paul Nicholls’ Rolling Aces is the one we all have to beat while Nigel Twiston-Davies’ Same Difference is well-weighted.



The National is still a long way off, and Sunnyhill Boy and Colbert Station are very much in my personal equation. It will be interesting to see if Wyck Hill can join them.

My other rides at Kempton have place chances. Mickelson (1.30) ran well on the all-weather at Lingfield Park last time and might be better going right-handed; God Of The Kop (4.25) is stepping up in trip in a competitive handicap hurdle and Carlton Jack (5.00) was bought by J P after wining a bumper for Mick Easterby at Catterick Bridge. This will be tougher.

I was interested to hear Nicky Henderson’s comments about Binocular earlier in the week. He said he schooled him and that he was “electric”. Nicky is right in that the best barometer to Binocular is to school him over a few flights, so I am very encouraged to hear this news.

Binocular will gallop after racing at Kempton today. It will be an important day out for him and I believe Long Run and Bobs Worth are coming down too. At this stage before Cheltenham, it is all about getting them out. The fine-tuning starts now. A couple of years back, we took Binocular to Kempton to gallop on the all-weather and it was a waste of time. He’s on turf today, but always remember he’s a better horse with hurdles in front of him.

On Sunday, I am very much looking forward to riding Defy Logic in the paddypower.com Novice Hurdle at Naas (3.35). He has won his last two and looks a good type.