Betfair. Don“t Settle For Less "Fixed Brush" Handicap Hurdle Grade 3

[Guest]

NO. HORSE AGE WGT TRAINER RTF% JOCKEY OR TS RPR
1 119-01 Fox Appeal19 5 11-12 Emma Lavelle 148 147 150
2 3236-1 Trustan Times21 6 11-6 Tim Easterby 142 142 149
3 901F-8 Son Of Flicka27 8 11-6 Donald McCain55 142 143 150
4 7P912- Sunnyhillboy224 9 11-6 Jonjo O“Neill25 142 119 121
5 3P2-17 American Spin36 8 11-5 Luke Dace 141 153 152
6 081-R3 Mad Moose27 8 11-4 Nigel Twiston-Davies31 140 127 147
7 4U21- Bear“s Affair252 6 11-4 Nicky Henderson43 140 150 147
8 2U4-P1 Saphir River22 6 11-3 Lucinda Russell50 139 98 146
9 1F01-0 Cucumber Run35 7 11-3 Nicky Henderson43 139 133 150
10 1110F- Poole Master225 7 11-3 David Pipe33 139 129 155
11 507-23 Mr Moonshine20 8 11-3 Sue Smith67 139 127 150
12 2P-718 Ogee36 9 11-0 Renee Robeson50 136 123 148
13 424/11 Simarian87 7 10-13 Evan Williams53 135 54 149
14 02210/ Barafundle618 8 10-11 Jennie Candlish67 Sean Quinlan 133 — —
15 2/150- Cedre Bleu210 5 10-10 Paul Nicholls62 132 — 48
16 316P0- Knight Pass253 6 10-10 David Pipe33 132 130 153
17 5140-4 Sivola De Sivola36 6 10-10 Tom George29 132 145 153
18 131-22 Holywell27 5 10-8 Jonjo O“Neill25 130 126 148
19 232-09 Los Nadis27 8 10-8 Jim Goldie 130 145 150
20 4627-0 Arctic Court196 8 10-8 Jim Goldie 130 146 149
21 312-33 Lackamon14 7 10-8 Sue Smith67 130 — —
22 P874-F Katenko198 6 10-7 Venetia Williams67 129 — 141
23 62FP-1 Sixty Something28 6 10-2 Paul Webber50 124 147 151
24 8-2321 Katkeau156 5 10-2 David Pipe33 124 — —

[johnno]

You miised the Pipe bottom weight Hoof.


Favourites:

Katkeau (7), Holywell (10), Bears Affair (11), Knight Pass (11), Saphir River (11), Sivola de Sivola (11), Cedre Bleu (12), Poole Master (13), Barafundle (15), Fox Appeal (15), Mr Moonshine (15), Sixty Something (15), Trustan Times (15), Cucumber Run (17), Katenko (17), Lackamon (17), Simarian (17), American Spin (21), Mad Moose (21), Sunnyhillboy (21)

[postmanpat]

Saphir River will head to Saturday's valuable Don't Settle For Less "Fixed Brush" Handicap Hurdle at Haydock.

Lucinda Russell had also entered the gelding in a novice chase at the Lancashire track on Friday, and Saphir River has already competed over fences, winning very easily at Uttoxeter earlier this month.

An exciting recruit from France, Saphir River ran over hurdles at the Cheltenham and Aintree Festivals for Michael Scudamore, son of Russell's partner Peter. However, he has changed hands and now belongs to Sandy Seymour, owner of the late Albert Bartlett winner Brindisi Breeze.

"He's going to run in the hurdle - I only put him in the chase in case Big Buck's ran in the hurdle - but he's safely in the handicap now," said Russell.

"I think he's made for the fixed brush hurdles, as he was a close second in a Grade One at Auteuil.

"He jumped well on his chasing debut and can go back over fences after this."

[postmanpat]

The Fixed Brush Hurdle has attracted a much bigger field with 16 set to run in this 3 mile contest. Katkeau is 5/1 favourite and is a very popular choice as his trainer David Pipe has won this race for the past two years with fellow French imports Grands Crus and Dynaste. He has bottom weight in this handicap and has his first start in the UK having won a handicap hurdle at Auteuil on his last start.

Pipe also has Knight Pass (13/2) in the contest with stable jockey Tom Scudamore in the plate. He is a horse that goes well fresh who was a decent performer for former trainer Warren Greatrex, this is his first start for the Wellington trainer. He is bred to be a chaser, so these brush hurdles should suit him.

Tom George's Sivola de Sivola is a 6/1 shot. He has the benefit of a run under his belt this season when finishing 4th at Cheltenham and his trainer has stuck cheekpieces on him for the first time which might bring about a bit of improvement. He also looked in need of the run there and should strip fitter and another positive is the ground which he shouldn't mind.

Saphire River (13/2) is another horse who relishes testing ground. He won a Beginners' Chase for new connections at Uttoxeter last time out. He cost 280,000 Euros after he finished second in the French Champion Hurdle twelve months ago and began his British career with Michael Scudamore. He is now with Lucinda Russell and Peter Scudamore and he looks smart.

Barafundle (8/1) has also been popular in the run up to this race and it's not hard to see why. Jennie Candlish's 8 year-old has some very smart form including a second place to Grands Crus in this race 2 years ago (he is just 3lbs higher in the weights this time round).

However, he has only run twice since then. He won the week after that good run and was then off the track for 4 months before running down the field at the Cheltenham festival. This will be his first run since then and it remains to be seen what he can produce after 20 months on the sidelines.

Holywell is a 9/1 shot for Jonjo O'Neill. He is lightly raced and there could be more to come, particularly over this trip and when he goes chasing - all credentials that could see him go well here.

Of the bigger priced runners, 18/1 shot Katenko is another interesting French recruit, this time for Venetia Williams and like the favourite could be leniently weighted on his first start in Britain. He is a Grade 3 chase winner at Auteuil but is much more exposed than Pipe's runner.

It's a difficult one to call and it's anyone's guess how well handicapped the favourite it. If I was to guess I'd say he is well treated but as a result the bookmakers have taken no chances, so I think Sivola de Sivola could be a decent bet, with the Venetia Williams trained Katenko one for each way punters.

[Statto]

Three winners have been aged seven, two six and two five.
Winners have been priced between 6/4 and 25/1, including three favourites - two further favourites were placed.
Winners have carried between 10-2 and 11-12 with two defying top-weight.
Winners have been rated between 132 and 156 with five between 132 and 141.
Three winners won their preceding start, all in the current season.
Five winners had won at least a third of their starts.
Four of the winners had won over three miles, the exceptions (the last three) had yet to race over the trip.

Summary

A race in its infancy after just seven renewals, only five of which have been over the brush hurdles but there has been no winner aged older than seven so it seems reasonable to ignore those aged eight and over which rules out almost half the field.

At the other end of the spectrum, David Pipe has won the last two renewals with five year olds and French import Katkeau has been at the head of the market since the betting opened. He could turn out to be well handicapped but he's rated significantly lower than any winner of this race and it may pay to look higher up the weights in a race where class has come to the fore.

A quartet of Trustan Times, Saphir River, Knight Pass and Sivola De Sivola appeal most although none fit all of the criteria. The latter should come on for his seasonal reappearance while Knight Pass may have benefited from a change of scenery but there's already evidence to suggest that Saphir River has done so and Lucinda Russell's charge - who has been placed over three miles in France - gets the nod.


Hoof had three of these at the start of the week

[Statto]

Andy Newton Stats

7 previous runnings
7/7 – Aged between 5 and 7 years-old
7/7 – Won over at least 2 1/2m (hurdles) before
6/7 – Had between 1 and 3 previous hurdles wins
6/7 – Carried 10-10 or more
5/7 – Returned 7/1 or shorter in the betting
4/7 – Won by a French bred horse
4/7 – Having their first run of the season
3/7 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
3/7 – Won last time out
2/7 – Raced at Cheltenham last time out
2/7 – Trained by David Pipe

[Old Vic]

A quartet of Trustan Times, Saphir River, Knight Pass and Sivola De Sivola appeal most although none fit all of the criteria. The latter should come on for his seasonal reappearance while Knight Pass may have benefited from a change of scenery but there's already evidence to suggest that Saphir River has done so and Lucinda Russell's charge - who has been placed over three miles in France - gets the nod.


Hoof had three of these at the start of the week

But not the winner

[Old Vic]

2011 was a race to follow

Show all comments in runningShow all pedigrees
* * * HORSE/SP AGE WGT TRAINER/JOCKEY OR TS RPR *
*
« 1 Dynaste (FR) 7/1 5 10-13* David Pipe 141 * * »
Conor O'Farrell3
* *
*
« 2 8 Benny Be Good 20/1 8 11-4* Keith Reveley 143 * * »
James Reveley
* *
*
« 3 ¾ Synchronised (IRE) 25/1 8 11-8* Jonjo O'Neill 147 * * »
A P McCoy
* *
*
« 4 ½ Across The Bay (IRE) 16/1 7 10-7* Donald McCain 137 * * »
Henry Brooke5
* *
*
« 5 5 Cape Tribulation 25/1 7 11-11* Malcolm Jefferson 150 * * »
Denis O'Regan
* *
*
« 6 ½ Sa Suffit (FR) 14/1 8 10-10* James Ewart 135 * * »
Brian Hughes
* *
*
« 7 4½ Sunnyhillboy (IRE) 18/1 8 10-7* Jonjo O'Neill 142 * * »
Maurice Linehan10
* *
*
« 8 3 Aibrean (IRE) 25/1 7 10-6* S R B Crawford 136 * *
Mr S Crawford5
* *
*
« 9 6 Los Nadis (GER) 20/1 7 10-3* Jim Goldie 135 * * »
Lucy Alexander7
* *
*
« 10 10 Reindeer Dippin 40/1 9 10-10* Donald McCain 135 * * »
Adrian Lane
* *
*
« 11 3½ Knockara Beau (IRE) 25/1 8 11-12* George Charlton 151 * * »
Jan Faltejsek
* *
*
« 12 4½ E Major 40/1 6 10-6* Renee Robeson 131 * * »
Jimmy McCarthy
* *
*
« 13 4½ Robinson Collonges (FR) 5/1F 6 10-11* Paul Nicholls 136 * * »
R Walsh
* *
*
« 14 23 Global Power (IRE) 8/1 5 10-10* Oliver Sherwood 135 * * »
Leighton Aspell
* *
*
« 15 3¼ Rival D'Estruval (FR) 7/1 6 10-8* Pauline Robson 133 * * »
Timmy Murphy
* *
*
« 16 2¼ Kayf Aramis 22/1 9 10-10*p Nigel Twiston-Davies 135 * * »
Sam Twiston-Davies
* *
*
« 17 28 Highland Valley (IRE) 8/1 6 10-9* Emma Lavelle 134 * *
Jack Doyle
* *
*
« 18 22 Buena Vista (IRE) 50/1 10 11-6*p David Pipe 145 * * »
Johnny Farrelly
* *
*
« UR Sentry Duty (FR) 18/1 9 11-5* Nicky Henderson 149 * * »
Jeremiah McGrath5
* *
*
« PU Quartz De Thaix (FR) 28/1 7 11-3* Venetia Williams 142 * * »
Aidan Coleman
* *
*
20 ran TIME 5m 37.60s (slow by 4.60s) Total SP 127%
1st OWNER: A J White BRED: Paul Chartier TRAINER: David Pipe
2nd OWNER: John Wade
3rd OWNER: John P McManus
TOTE Tote Swingers: 1&2 £36.90, 1&3 £56.00, 2&3 £74.10 WIN £7.60 PL £2.00, £4.50, £6.30, £4.00; Ex £170.70; CSF £142.55; TRICAST £3339.46 TRIFECTA £8842.20 Pool 33,457.08 - 2.80 winning units.

[Old Vic]

Which of this lot should we follow Show all comments in runningShow all pedigrees
* * * HORSE/SP AGE WGT TRAINER/JOCKEY OR TS RPR *
*
« 1 Trustan Times (IRE) 10/1 6 11-12* Tim Easterby 142 * *
Dougie Costello
* *
*
« 2 2¾ Holywell (IRE) 10/1 5 11-0*p Jonjo O'Neill 130 * *
Richie McLernon
* *
*
« 3 4½ Sivola De Sivola (FR) 100/30F 6 11-2*p Tom George 132 * *
Paddy Brennan
* *
*
« 4 4½ Barafundle (IRE) 7/1 8 11-3* Jennie Candlish 133 * *
Alan O'Keeffe
* *
*
« 5 11 Sunnyhillboy (IRE) 33/1 9 11-5* Jonjo O'Neill 142 * *
Maurice Linehan7
* *
*
« 6 1½ Mr Moonshine (IRE) 16/1 8 11-9* Sue Smith 139 * *
Ryan Mania
* *
*
« 7 ¾ Katkeau (FR) 7/1 5 10-8* David Pipe 124 * *
Conor O'Farrell
* *
*
« 8 2¼ American Spin 10/1 8 11-11* Luke Dace 141 * *
Jamie Moore
* *
*
« 9 3 Los Nadis (GER) 33/1 8 10-11* Jim Goldie 130 * *
Henry Brooke3
* *
*
« 10 9 Lackamon 25/1 7 10-7* Sue Smith 130 * *
Jonathan England7
* *
*
« 11 7 Katenko (FR) 25/1 6 10-13* Venetia Williams 129 * *
Liam Treadwell
* *
*
« 12 24 Mad Moose (IRE) 33/1 8 11-10*b Nigel Twiston-Davies 140 * *
Sam Twiston-Davies
* *
*
« 13 24 Son Of Flicka 40/1 8 11-12* Donald McCain 142 * *
Jason Maguire
* *
*
« 14 5 Saphir River (FR) 10/1 6 11-9* Lucinda Russell 139 * *
Peter Buchanan
* *
*
« 15 19 Arctic Court (IRE) 66/1 8 11-0* Jim Goldie 130 * *
Timmy Murphy
* *
*
« PU Knight Pass (IRE) 6/1 6 11-2* David Pipe 132 * *
Tom Scudamore
* *
*
16 ran TIME 6m 8.90s (slow by 35.90s) Total SP 125%
1st OWNER: Mrs M E Armitage & Peter Armitage BRED: David Gordon TRAINER: Tim Easterby
2nd OWNER: Mrs Gay Smith
3rd OWNER: D O'Donohoe, S & P Nelson & D Silvester
TOTE Tote Swingers 1&2 £28.50, 2&3 £13.60, 1&3 £25.50 WIN £13.50 PL £2.40, £2.50, £1.60, £2.40; Ex £152.20; CSF £102.33; TRICAST £414.80 TRIFECTA £995.00 Pool: £63,908.71 - 48.16 winning tickets.