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Cheltenham November Meeting

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  • #46
    Originally posted by charlie View Post
    Punctuation looks like a great EW bet to me @ 14/1 in the big one today. Lovely profile IMO. Had a winning prep run on the flat so we know he's fit and they sorted his wind out. His form since joining FOB reads 1111(4PU)11. His only disappointments came either side of wind surgery when he was 4th (at 100/30F at Cheltenham) and PU in the Imperial Cup where he suffered interference. Can happily forgive those and he's won two on the bounce since. If you dig through his form there is plenty to suggest he's well treated off 137. Last seen over hurdles at Aintree beating Blueking D'oroux easily who is now rated 138 following his win at Cheltenham. His run beating Too Friendly at Cheltenham was eye catching as he went away from him powerfully in the closing stages and Too Friendly is rated 140, so he could easily have 5lbs + in hand. He has an action that suits soft ground which he is 4 from 4 on and I think ground suitability, course form and race fitness add up to a great each way bet at 14/1 with B365.
    Not many will like the going today, but this fella will
    Can see a typical Paddy Brennan ride, swinging him wide and powering up the hill
    Knicker will help set up the pace, question is, can he hold on on this sharper course

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    • #47
      Think Luccia is still better than her mark, just a little worried about the short duration between races, enough to put me off I think, but good luck to all that’s backed.

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      • #48
        Also, Dan does very well in the 2 mile handicaps here (County, Greatwood)

        Headache

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        • #49
          Ohhh hurdles could be missed, and a fence

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          • #50
            Backing L'Eau Du Sud as my main selection for the Greatwood
            Dan has a great record in producing horses for this race, and also for the County

            I was googling and watching back on Dans stable tour, he was still a novice heading into december 2022, but Dan didnt run him. Went over handicapping instead? He also had a entry in the The New One Graded race at Haydock, but went down the handicap route again

            5 year old, and handicapper not be able to really re-assess him. Good form against No Ordinary Joe, has plenty of soft ground form. Also mentioned going chasing but have stuck with a handicap

            Main selection: L'Eau Du Sud
            Outsider: Adadil

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            • #51
              Punctuation or Lookaway for me. Put the Cloudy Glen place money on a small reverse forecast.

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              • #52
                L'Eau Du Sud​ - so weak in the market.

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