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Punchestown Festival 2022
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Fancy a small double on Mighty Potter and Envoi Allen. Don't honestly think they'll win, but could see both placing top 2. 14/1 and 16/1 respectively is very fair in my view. Even discounting the win part, still be getting about 8/1 for both to place.
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Sky had Sir Gerhard and Energumene at 9/4 and I think that might be my only bet of the day
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"I got the distinct impression Sir Gerhard needed ever inch of the Ballymore trip and I honestly think he'll struggle"
Based on what?, he pulled like a 2 miler the entire way round and almost carted himself to the front against pauls wishes
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Originally posted by Josh123 View Post
I'd consider backing him if LOKI was ridingbut there's been only very small money for him on the machine and you can still have a fiver at 28/1.
I hope it's just one of those "I know the trainers cleaning lady" tips as I had my 20 quid on De Nordener earlier...g/l
As I said, I've literally just watched a price crash (and now drift) so I've just cashed it out and will let it all play out whilst cheering yours home
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Originally posted by Odin View PostIn case anyone fancies a flyer on a horse, How's Trix is still 14/1 365 having been 80/1 last night. Is 13/2 or shorter anywhere else. Trainer and jockey have both won race in last 3 years but it's difficult to make a case for the horse itself. I've stuck in a double with Flooring Porter for some fun. I'm a sucker for these gambles, particularly in Ireland.but there's been only very small money for him on the machine and you can still have a fiver at 28/1.
I hope it's just one of those "I know the trainers cleaning lady" tips as I had my 20 quid on De Nordener earlier...g/l
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Ruby said several times before the Supreme that Sir Gerhard was all about speed but come the big day it was he who was stepped up in trip.
Paul Towned praised Dysart Dynamo and said he would gallop through a wall for you. If they were to run him in the Ballymore he would need to have been settled
which would have robbed him of his strongest asset of galloping others into submission.
Facing facts neither Sir Gerhard or Dyasart Dynamo are the next Monksfield and would have to be to be contesting next seasons Champion hurdle.
So this is their grand finale IMO before they go chasing.
Much has been said about Patrick being booked for Dysart Dynamo but that is the least of their worries.
There's not a thing wrong with the clock in Patrick's head and he's just what's needed to bring out the best in Dysart Dynamo.
This he's only riding him because he's family may be true but that takes nothing away from the wonderful record the guy has riding for his dad and others.
However what is a worry is no one knows better than Paul Townend how well or how badly he was going whenhe departed company with Dysart Dynamo
in the Supreme but on the plus side Sir Gerhard is no world beating hurdler by any stretch of the imagination.
Patrick will still set out to gallop Sir Gerhard into the ground and this time he has no crazy undulations to contend with where you get pace changes without even trying.
This course obviously suits him, Patrick is a very good horseman and if he can present him at his hurdles and get him galloping he is going to take some pegging back.
I got the distinct impression Sir Gerhard needed ever inch of the Ballymore trip and I honestly think he'll struggle, due to his lack of ability to instantly quicken, to get past Dysart Dynamo at this trip.
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Ridiculous Roll up attempt at Punchestown this week . Sir Gerhard - today , Energumene - today , De Nordener - today ,
The Nice guy - wed, American Mike - wed, Klassical Dream - thurs , Blue Lord - thurs, and Honeysuckle - fri . - 1505 - 1 odds ..
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In case anyone fancies a flyer on a horse, How's Trix is still 14/1 365 having been 80/1 last night. Is 13/2 or shorter anywhere else. Trainer and jockey have both won race in last 3 years but it's difficult to make a case for the horse itself. I've stuck in a double with Flooring Porter for some fun. I'm a sucker for these gambles, particularly in Ireland.
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Originally posted by Lobos View Post
I agree. I don't see him as a Cheltenham horse but do see Punchestown playing to his strengths more than SG who could well turn out to be a multiple festival winner.
SG has absolutely miles better form and personally i think hes more of a 2 miler than a 2 and a half miler he won the Ballymore on pure ability
I also can't see them staying over hurdles to look at constitution hill and honeysuckles arse next season and expect him to be lining up as an odds on fav in the arkle
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Originally posted by FinalFurlong91 View PostDysart dynamo runs his races the wrong way round
He's going to need to be of un de sceauxs ability to do that and win grade 1s
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Brides Hill should have a fairly easy time out in front tomorrow and would be the best bet of the day tomorrow at the prices.
SG has the better jockey and that will prove the difference if both SG and DD run to near their best.
In from the Cold finally gets decent ground over hurdles. 25s in places 5 places is a decent each way shout.
Energumene will prove too good for CPS. I love CPS but he doesn't finish his races off brilliantly and he won't shake off Energumene coming to the last.
Not much up front pace in the 3m novice chase so Bob if running to form should be good enough. Lifetime Ambition and Capodanno won well at the festival last year but Capodanno needs another summer of growth before I expect we see more improvement next season and LA hasn't particularly impressed me this season.
No idea in the other races.
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Dysart dynamo runs his races the wrong way round
He's going to need to be of un de sceauxs ability to do that and win grade 1s
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I also think CPS will keep his unbeaten record at Punchestown intact in what maybe his last race. As for Bob Ollinger I do fear for him a little. Hoping they are not coming back to the Well too soon after his injury but the tongue tie and the step up in trip does worry me.......a lot!
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I'm going for the Patrick double of DD and CPS. CPS the more confident selection for me at the second leg, so it's a nice set up.
Quite keen on Grangee in the Mares Hurdle. Surprised she's not shorter than she is. Quick return after Fairyhouse the slight concern but the return to 2 miles is a positive and best the fav and 2F at Cheltenham. Fav way too short imo, shapes like she wants heavy ground or further, no matter what they say.
Might take on BO with Miller's Bank as well. Given the Cheltenham disappointment and the tongue tie discussion above. But there's only 7 runners so it's not a very appealing each way.
On Wednesday...
That 3m novice hurdle does look a good contest. Think Daily Present could be being slightly overlooked with all the Mullins, Elliot and HDB horses in there. Quickest ground he'll have faced but 20/1 compared to Bronn at 8s looks a bit much.
Freedom to Dream looks to have a real good shout as well. Look forward to reading about him!
Might land on Clan in the big one
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