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The Troytown is difficult IMO. The Jam Man is the most likely winner if he can jump as well as he can hurdle. There are second season chasers that could be off good marks like Elwood and then there are the likes of Fitzhenry and Portmore Lough who came second and third in this last year. However, I'm going to go for Plan Of Attack who is a year younger than Fitzhenry and is hopefully still improving and better than his current mark of 139. He ran well in some of the big handicaps last year was reported to have been struck into and not liking the ground when he disappointed last time out so I'm taking a chance at the 14s available with 6 places.
Looks one of the most difficult betting races I've seen for a while.
The Elliott horses are all dangerous, and then the other entries all have some form of chance.
It's 100% a NO BET RACE.
So I've backed
Elmwood 2pt 12-1
Dounikos 0.5ptew 66-1 6places
Looks one of the most difficult betting races I've seen for a while.
The Elliott horses are all dangerous, and then the other entries all have some form of chance.
It's 100% a NO BET RACE.
So I've backed
Elmwood 2pt 12-1
Dounikos 0.5ptew 66-1 6places
Haha yes Q I love it! Proper trappy little affair but fuck it.
Saver on Roaring Bull @ 65's. Him mugging Fitzhenry last year still brings a lump to my throat
All over Shattered Love tomorrow, won the race last year (albeit against a weaker field),2/2 at the track, has form figures of 221211 with heavy in the description and all her main market rivals will all want further. Although not exactly life changing 2/1 is a very decent price
Apologies, think I put this in the wrong section - so copied it here.
The Paddy Power tomorrow is a tricky one to work out with so many fancied horses at the top of the handicap - and many of them having their first run of the season.
Add to that the weather forecast - Cheltenham is expected to get almost half an inch of rain before racing tomorrow.
I love Happy Diva to bits and reckon she'll finish in the first six but I can't quite see her winning off this mark - although she does have the advantage of a decent prep run and loves Cheltenham.
But 14-1 doesn't quite do it for me. I'll almost certainly regret it.
So I've gone way left-field and stuck 1pt each way on Domaine De Lisle at 55-1 with PP boost.
He also had a prep run 3 weeks ago over hurdles at Cheltenham. It wasn't great and I didn't even dare watch a re-run because I knew it would put me off backing him!!!
But he has done most of his winning on soft ground which is very likely tomorrow.
His trainer Sean Curran has had 2 winners this week.
And if you look back to last season when DDL ran up a hat-trick of chase wins over a similar distance (on soft, soft, heavy) he is clearly no mug when conditions suit.
The last of those victories was in the 47k Bet365 Chase at Ascot in January when DDL had Happy Diva (giving 6lbs) 9 lengths back in 4th and Kildisart (giving 13lbs) tailed off in sixth.
That was off a 6lbs lower mark but DDL is only a seven-year-old so you would hope there is improvement to come. The fact that he had a prep over hurdles shows the stable have obviously made this race an early season target.
DDL seems to be a hold-up merchant who stays on well over this trip - it's just a question of whether it's in his own time or to mount a challenge!!! But Sean Bowen's in the saddle and if he's in with a chance at the last there are few young jockeys around who can get more out of a horse in a finish in my view.
And if he finishes 6th I'll be a very happy bunny and better off than if I'd had an each way bet on the Diva and she winds up second.
*I'm probably going to feel pretty stupid reading this back at 2.30pm tomorrow.
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