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Daily National Hunt Racing Tips

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  • My two so far

    2:30
    Any news 100/30
    3:40
    Faivoir 5/2

    Reading his stable tour olly Murphy is very sweet on go dante in the last and expects it to “make up into a very smart hurdler”

    Comment


    • 2.30 - Fidelio Vallis
      3.40 - Faivoir
      4.15 - Art Approval

      Trixie today for interest

      Comment


      • 4:15
        Captain Morgs 11/2

        Has to be well handicapped
        Beat annual invictus (now rated 136)
        Close second to ajero (now rated 137)
        Second to shang tang (now rated 134)

        Runs off 125 today and if nicky has him back to the form he was in at the start of last season will take plenty of beating

        4:50
        Redford Road 7/1

        Grade 2 winning hurdler who has fallen to a mark of 127 because of jumping issues

        Giving him one more chance to show he can jump better, if he does he’s thrown in on hurdles form

        Comment


        • 3:05 - Sirah Du Lac
          3:40 - Faivoir
          4:30 - Art Approval
          4:50 - Redford Road

          Small Yankee to make things interesting while watching. Not too confident on any of them as I fear some of the Irish horses might be dropped in.

          Comment


          • just leaving to go to the course now (stopping in Bishops Cleeve on route) , bets put on yesterday

            13.55 - Camprond, Mars Harper S/F
            14.30 - Any News
            15.05 - Dragon Bones
            15.40 - Faivoir
            16.15 - Art Approval Mullaghmore Wave
            16.50 - Debden Bank Fact of the Matter (EW)
            17.25 - Go Dante - took the 5-2 on this, which disappeared very quickly !


            TBH i will just be glad to be back at the home of racing

            Comment


            • Just the one wild swing for me this weekend:
              Clemencia in the 4.15 at 28/1
              Both times he's stayed on his feet at Cheltenham, he's been placed. Step up in trip today looks like it should suit.
              5th in a Fred Winter which has produced some decent horses who have run well in handicaps since - Langer Dan, Tronador, Thyme White, Night Edition etc
              Hoping enough rain has got into the ground for him and I do think the front 4 in the market are the right ones.

              Edit - Couldnt have gone better

              Also done an ew lucky 15 for interest (sky limited me to 71p per line ​​​​​​)
              Madera Mist today
              Nordic Combined
              Cool Mix
              Sky Pirate
              Last edited by Captain Chris; 22 October 2021, 04:26 PM.

              Comment


              • The 1.55 is a good example of a small field and GB v Ireland. Yes Camprond won the Persian War well and that race has been won by some good horses in the past.
                But before that he looked one paced in the finish and has jumped poorly in soft ground (has won on VSft on the flat in France)
                Mars Harper has a lower level of form but has won on similar ground and distance and seemed to improve on his last run. Elliott must think it worth while to bring him over.
                MH seems better value here.

                edit: Thought the ground would be soft but it looks like good. Still had my doubts about Camprond but he seems to like this longer trip but with only one serious opponent what did we learn?
                Last edited by Supermaster; 22 October 2021, 02:06 PM.

                Comment


                • Just a small Patent today for me
                  Bardenstown Lad - connections from last year help and with nice form, managed to get 5/1 yesterday and seems lots of market confidence for him

                  Captain Morgs - as mentioned by others he just seems too well handicapped to ignore

                  Marquis Of Carabas - probably ready into it too much but seems odd Derek's over for one ride only, relying on him being wound up after a long time off though

                  Comment


                  • 2.30
                    I've been impressed by Fidelio Vallis this summer. Third Time Lucki has v good hurdle form but is untried over fences. Sir Tivo seems overpriced
                    Selection: Fidelio Vallis

                    edit:
                    FV's jumping let him down - jumping right
                    Third Time Lucki was first time lucky over fences: 20/1 for the Arkle!
                    Last edited by Supermaster; 22 October 2021, 02:52 PM.

                    Comment


                    • 16:50 - Madera Mist, backing those that have ran here before, particularly at the April meet.
                      So will also be added in last years winner Bermeowho ran extremely well in April despite being 13lbs out of the weights

                      Comment


                      • Just seen Skelton has been booked on Dragon Bone
                        Really like this horse last night when reviewing the card, but was concerned about the jockey. Now I'm not. Backing

                        Comment


                        • 3.05 3m novices hurdle - quite a few with good winning form and festival chase winner Siruh de lac reverting to hurdles - interesting race
                          I prefer Calagogo of the Irish challengers. Dragon Bones has potential but is still running green in her races

                          Selection: Calagogo
                          Outsider: Siruh de Lac

                          edit:
                          Good run by Dragon Bones - no wandering around this time
                          The market was right about the best Irish challenger though their form was hard to compare. I wonder which of these we'll see in March.
                          Last edited by Supermaster; 22 October 2021, 03:17 PM.

                          Comment


                          • 3.40 I could make a case for all these so prefer Torn and Frayed at a bigger price - another interesting race!

                            Comment


                            • Dal Horrisgle may use his flat speed to good effect in the 4.15

                              Comment


                              • In the vain of finding a winner this afternoon:
                                Boughtbeforelunch/Carnet de Stage/Madera Mist in the 4.50
                                Last edited by Supermaster; 22 October 2021, 04:48 PM.

                                Comment

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