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Just been given a crazy stat for the Irish National. The last 10 winners have all had different trainers. Taking that into account and the fact that most of those winners have carried around 10-06, whilst I won't be betting on the race myself, Opposites Attract meets both those stats at a huge price. In his first chase race he was 3rd behind Latest Exhibition at levels beaten just 2 1/2 lengths and he's fully 18lbs better off Monday. He's also beaten The Big Getaway this season.
Interesting, although it's an odd year with everything being in the handicap proper, isn't 10:6lb the bottom weight this year ?
Nonetheless throwing darts at 33/50s shots in this hasn't been a bad strategy...
Disappointed in December when a well beaten 4th behind Longhouse Poet, RWF and the Big Dog having gone off favourite.
Finished ahead of the former two and 2.5L behind Latest Exhibition off level weights last October. Hoping there's more to come from him.
Main bet for me is Latest Exhibition but I agree with you on Opposites Attract and he is my other dart at much bigger odds. I'm hoping the better ground will suit and if he can just jump a little better I think he will run a big race.
Main bet for me is Latest Exhibition but I agree with you on Opposites Attract and he is my other dart at much bigger odds. I'm hoping the better ground will suit and if he can just jump a little better I think he will run a big race.
Based on that first run of the season he'd be mile's clear of Latest Exhibition. If only it was that easy eh ??
As you'd expect, the long priced winners tend to be when the going is soft. When it's good or good to yielding it's a different story.
Also get a lot of strange results at the end of every season. The smaller yards need the odd win to carry them through to the following year and time and time again the results go for them. Share and share alike. One big family.
Run Wild Fred, The Big Dog and Robin De Carlow for me.
The first 2 have obvious claims imo and RDC with Rachael on, is interesting, but as Archie says fitness may be against her. Was worth a poke at the price.
I find this race like many big Irish Chase handicaps a mind field but I’ll be backing all the novice horses who bypassed Cheltenham which looks like the top 3 in the betting
Run Wild Fred, The Big Dog and Robin De Carlow for me.
The first 2 have obvious claims imo and RDC with Rachael on, is interesting, but as Archie says fitness may be against her. Was worth a poke at the price.
Cant imagine a Mullins horse will want for fitness regardless of the amount of time out. The distance is the only negative from where I'm sitting.
If anyone is backing Latest Exhibition in this then you surely have to have a saver on Opposites Attract. Has the beating of the fav based on his first Novice Chase run this season. The disparity in odds is silly.
Willie Mullins was among the winners again at Fairyhouse on Sunday and he provides a guide to his Easter Monday team including a horse who 'could be thrown in'.
Five for me in the race (suckered in with the extra places). All each way (6/7 places):
- Latest Exhibition 5/1
- Run Wild Fred 10/1
- Escaria Ten 16/1
- Scoir Mear 40/1
- Mortal 150/1
I’ve had a few quid on Run Wild Fred like many but, and I’m not sure if he’s been mentioned in this thread, my main play is Fitzhenry.
Well fancied for last season Kim Muir he looks to have been trained this year for a big late season National and is now 5lb lower.
Ran well in the Leinster National when making a mistake 2 out but stayed on well after, at 28/1 he looks the forgotten horse...
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