Announcement

Collapse

Fat Jockey Patrons

Fat Jockey is a horse racing community focused on all the big races in the UK and Ireland. We don't charge users but if you have found the site useful then any support towards the running costs is appreciated.
Become a Patron!

You can also make a one-off donation here:
See more
See less

Irish Grand National - Monday 5 April 2021

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • #31
    archie

    Not sure what price she'll be on the day, but with Blackmore on you'd think she'll be a little shorter?

    Betfred at 40s 6places if you want your owners bet they are probably best at the moment.

    Comment


    • #32
      Originally posted by jack1092 View Post
      archie

      Not sure what price she'll be on the day, but with Blackmore on you'd think she'll be a little shorter?

      Betfred at 40s 6places if you want your owners bet they are probably best at the moment.
      Cheers, Jack. I don't usually back my own horses as I get enough of a kick from seeing them run.

      We've had no word since declaration but it's easy to see how she could be well handicapped. It's a big ask after so long out but she's usually dropped out and hunted round so Rachael doesn't need to give her a hard race if she senses that she's getting tired.

      Comment


      • #33
        Originally posted by archie View Post

        Cheers, Jack. I don't usually back my own horses as I get enough of a kick from seeing them run.

        We've had no word since declaration but it's easy to see how she could be well handicapped. It's a big ask after so long out but she's usually dropped out and hunted round so Rachael doesn't need to give her a hard race if she senses that she's getting tired.
        You''d imagine since she's been entered up a few times now since early March she'd be fit enough given who trains her. Mind you 3m5 is a different kettle of fish.

        I'd be shocked if she's not half the 40s on offer at the very least.

        Comment


        • #34
          Originally posted by jack1092 View Post

          You''d imagine since she's been entered up a few times now since early March she'd be fit enough given who trains her. Mind you 3m5 is a different kettle of fish.

          I'd be shocked if she's not half the 40s on offer at the very least.
          Getting chopped across the board.

          Comment


          • #35
            Originally posted by jack1092 View Post

            You''d imagine since she's been entered up a few times now since early March she'd be fit enough given who trains her. Mind you 3m5 is a different kettle of fish.

            I'd be shocked if she's not half the 40s on offer at the very least.
            Incredibly well handicapped on the form with Kettle but the distance has to be a massive issue ? Rachel's booking is very eye-catching though. I can see why there's money for her.

            Comment


            • #36
              RWF my main dart in this & was my only antepost bet; latest exhibition a bit of a wild card was surprised to see him in here think he’ll really appreciate the quicker ground, backed him this morning. Fitzhenry & Ten Ten are my two ‘lively outsiders’ and I’ll probably back with extra places on the day

              Comment


              • #37
                Originally posted by ToniC View Post
                RWF my main dart in this & was my only antepost bet; latest exhibition a bit of a wild card was surprised to see him in here think he’ll really appreciate the quicker ground, backed him this morning. Fitzhenry & Ten Ten are my two ‘lively outsiders’ and I’ll probably back with extra places on the day
                Sky and Betfred, Paddy are 7 and 6 places already.

                Comment


                • #38
                  Opposites Attract my dart here.

                  Disappointed in December when a well beaten 4th behind Longhouse Poet, RWF and the Big Dog having gone off favourite.

                  Finished ahead of the former two and 2.5L behind Latest Exhibition off level weights last October. Hoping there's more to come from him.

                  Comment


                  • #39
                    Plumbed for Brace Yourself e/w at 25/1

                    He showed plenty of promise in bumpers before injury blighted him for a season. Has slowly been coming to hand for Noel this year. Only finished 7l down on Latest Exhibition off levels albeit when the top weight failed to fire at Punchestown. He's got over a stone swing on the fav on Monday & had a lovely prep over course & distance LTO! Has form on better ground & just felt he was the value shout in an obviously competitive field.

                    Comment


                    • #40
                      Originally posted by Shergar View Post
                      Opposites Attract my dart here.

                      Disappointed in December when a well beaten 4th behind Longhouse Poet, RWF and the Big Dog having gone off favourite.

                      Finished ahead of the former two and 2.5L behind Latest Exhibition off level weights last October. Hoping there's more to come from him.
                      He was taking my eye too Shergar but decided to take a chance on Brace Yourself!

                      Comment


                      • #41
                        Originally posted by Lobos View Post

                        Incredibly well handicapped on the form with Kettle but the distance has to be a massive issue ? Rachel's booking is very eye-catching though. I can see why there's money for her.
                        Youd think the distance will be the potential stumbling block! She's won up to 3 miles already though and havign had a Leinster National entry, i'm guessing WPM is happy to keep her to staying trips....3m5 will be interesting though lol

                        Comment


                        • #42
                          I've got sucked in with Latest Exhibition 7/1 with 6 places. Thought he'd be a fair bit shorter than that and struggling to see many negatives.

                          Comment


                          • #43
                            Originally posted by jack1092 View Post

                            Youd think the distance will be the potential stumbling block! She's won up to 3 miles already though and havign had a Leinster National entry, i'm guessing WPM is happy to keep her to staying trips....3m5 will be interesting though lol
                            Interestingly, none of the top 3 in the betting have won at 3 miles or further.

                            While the form with PTKO is eye-catching, she also has hurdles form with Agusta Gold that reads well. The long absence is clearly a worry. She's never shown much on the gallops so we can't be sure that she will be fit enough. The other concern is purely a personal one that, being on the small size, she's likely to jump better at courses that have easier fences than Fairyhouse.

                            Comment


                            • #44
                              Originally posted by archie View Post

                              Interestingly, none of the top 3 in the betting have won at 3 miles or further.

                              While the form with PTKO is eye-catching, she also has hurdles form with Agusta Gold that reads well. The long absence is clearly a worry. She's never shown much on the gallops so we can't be sure that she will be fit enough. The other concern is purely a personal one that, being on the small size, she's likely to jump better at courses that have easier fences than Fairyhouse.
                              Yep Archie valid concerns! Frank Hickey the PP trader who priced the race up was very against her on the podcast.......funny how they opened a big price and are now 12s....


                              Worth a go at the price anyway regardless. I'm adding Off You Go, his Leopardstown win has worked out very well and his dam is closely related to Shutthefrontdoor an Irish National winner himself! He finished his last race very strongly + Minella Times is fancied for the English National.

                              Comment


                              • #45
                                Just been given a crazy stat for the Irish National. The last 10 winners have all had different trainers. Taking that into account and the fact that most of those winners have carried around 10-06, whilst I won't be betting on the race myself, Opposites Attract meets both those stats at a huge price. In his first chase race he was 3rd behind Latest Exhibition at levels beaten just 2 1/2 lengths and he's fully 18lbs better off Monday. He's also beaten The Big Getaway this season.
                                Last edited by Lobos; 3 April 2021, 12:53 PM.

                                Comment

                                Working...
                                X