I'm not ignoring it I'm looking for reasoning behind it. Correlation does not imply causation. The theory prior to the race was Haydock is bottomless at that time of year. That's why he drifted from antepost fav to 13/2 SP.
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Christmas Racing 2018
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Originally posted by boopa View PostI'm not ignoring it I'm looking for reasoning behind it. Correlation does not imply causation. The theory prior to the race was Haydock is bottomless at that time of year. That's why he drifted from antepost fav to 13/2 SP.
Wasn't aware of that theory or the reasoning behind the drift tbh.
I actually didn't back him, yet I had him note booked with the comments 'back @ Haydock'
I did not and do not have him down as ground dependent myself which is why I found it strange you questioning that side of it, but now I understand, however my reasoning stands that it is the course and not the ground that matters with him, though as I also suggested, maybe the time of year could also be a factor.Last edited by ComplyOrDie; 19 December 2018, 02:38 PM.
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Waiting Patiently (12/1) and Politilogue (8/1) are the two I've backed.
WP is plenty short enough given he's had no prep race but I do think he has the talent to go right to the top. Hopefully it'll be the King George / Betfair Bowl double
Politilogue's form right handed reads 1111111. The ground and course will suit. His form from Ascot reads well after Charbel's win in the Peterborough Chase. He's my best bet in this and the one to beat imo.
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Originally posted by Faugheen_Machine View Post
Politilogue's form right handed reads 1111111. The ground and course will suit. His form from Ascot reads well after Charbel's win in the Peterborough Chase. He's my best bet in this and the one to beat imo.
11/2 just seems a bit short when he hasn't proven his stamina though...
I've gone right off Might Bite. Too much of a stiff task to get him to bounce back and you can crab his win last year.... I don't think I'[ll fancy Might Bite again unless they let him MAKE ALL - and I won't know that before the race has started so he's a no bet option in my mind now. He was so destructive in the Kauto Star and RSA that season, I feel they're over compensating for his 'madness' by not letting him stride on.
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Desperate to have a bet in this as it's the King George, but I've no firm opinion.
Native River is likely to lead them and might be my bet at the prices, 7-1 for a gold cup winner who also ran ok at haydock.
Johnson almost certain to take the rail and try and go from front. If they let him do that then he'd have a right chance but I think Might Bite and Twiston's horse may want to lead also.
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Originally posted by SeanRock View PostShattered Love is declared for the King George!
Last edited by archie; 20 December 2018, 06:29 PM.
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Originally posted by archie View PostNo Sean, they've left her in this and the Savills. Declarations are, I think, on Monday but today was just the 5 day forfeit stage.
https://www.racingpost.com/news/late...s-chase/358319
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