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backed definitely red in that race, but only for sake of having a bet really.
In Breeders cup tomorrow, I like the price of WOW CAT in the distaff at 11pm.
4pts ew at 22-1.
will be on my eighth pint by then i reckon so hopefully it spurs me on.
Was second last year and has been beaten by the 6/5 favourite once or twice but I'm taking a gamble that if it can get a good sit in behind the pace then if they go too quick, he could pick up the pieces. fingers crossed anyway.
backed definitely red in that race, but only for sake of having a bet really.
In Breeders cup tomorrow, I like the price of WOW CAT in the distaff at 11pm.
4pts ew at 22-1.
will be on my eighth pint by then i reckon so hopefully it spurs me on.
Was second last year and has been beaten by the 6/5 favourite once or twice but I'm taking a gamble that if it can get a good sit in behind the pace then if they go too quick, he could pick up the pieces. fingers crossed anyway.
Only 8 pints by 11pm Q? You can't be watching the rugby in the pub tomorrow morning!
He’s the one I was worried about upsetting the favs apple cart Q. Fitness edge usually goes well this time of the season & trainer has been in great form. Reckon Clan Des Obeaux will need the run to strip fit. He definitely did last year. Hoping Delta Work has too much class for Snow Falcon.
We're weeks into this national hunt season, with very little racing done. No, I can not be confident. All I can do is go with on paper right now, and how I think things will pan out and then look at the price on offer and decide whether it's fair.
Earlier on in the week, 5/1 looked more than fair for the Charlie Hall, and 16/1 for the KG was too aswell.
No, I can not be confident. I haven't see her in person, I haven't ridden her. Like yourself, you take a look at what you have seen a translate that into an opinion.
It appears that you've taken her last two races, and come to the conclusion that she's burnt out. I thought that too initially, but went back through her form... which is similar to that of Apple Jade's where she's best up to January before going into her 'Cycle', and this may explain Le Bague average performance at Aintree back in April. Prior to this, she's 10 out of 10 between Oct - Dec, then she's 2-2 up to March, following this she's 2 out of 6! How likely this explains her performances during the back end of the season, well... not sure, only time will tell.
Take out Cheltenham, a track I doesn't she like, and take out her runs at Aintree and Punc towards the end of the season... her form reads 11111111111111
Taking the rest of the field... I'm struggling to find anything that I fancy to beat her
Elegant Escape - wants further than this, and had a very tough season, expecting that to have left a mark
Black Corton - Nichols factor, peaked at the start of last season. Not much to offer her
Aso - No more than a very good handicap horse
Ballyoptic - won a terrible race last time out. Lacking in class to win this
Definitely Red - Trainer form is sign high at the moment, but not all concerned about this one repeating last years win
Vinnidaction -
Top Ville Ben - Will set the pace, has great form around her and been running at the track - tracker has targeted this race. Think he'll place well
Out of all of them I'd have to side with Definitely Red to be the main danger but would be greatly disappointed if that beat a horse who I feel could run very very well in the KG
We both have opinions, for me I like to stick to mine and learn the hard way. If I'm wrong, then oh well... learn from it and move on.
At 5/1, I'm happy with that. If she wins... and wins well... then I'm happy with my bet for the KG. She could be a donkey this weekend... which means, bye bye to both bets but thats gambling for ya
A lot of talk telling me i'm wrong and backing your opinions when we're both on at 5/1
I hope we're right but I still think she'll be out classed in a King George.
You'll (hopefully) get 8 weeks of me worrying about that 40/1 double before we find out after she wins tomorrow.
Last edited by Kevloaf; 1 November 2019, 11:09 PM.
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