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Just pressed some Perfect Candidate and had some 66/1 Bishops Road NRNB.
The latter sneaks in down the bottom and has run well against some good yardsticks this year, notably Bristol de Mai, Otago Train and Definitely Red giving weight to them all, gets in 7lb lower than his opening season mark....
Great minds Ista - I had BR in with a double the other day but he fell at the last, so I had to back him singly.
Doubles with USD@ 7/2
Bless The Wings 100/1
Ballynagour 80/1
Maggio 50/1
Vicente 25/1
Just A Par 40/1
Cause Of Causes 33/1
Rogue Angel 40/1
Perfect Candidate 40/1
Others:-
Cause Of Causes 8/1 & Ucello Conti 20/1
Last edited by loveracing; 21 March 2017, 12:59 PM.
Many of these have Irish National entries too, I'd say that those who went to Cheltenham as triers are more likely to be held over for Fairyhouse.
You'll always get one or two nervous trainers who aren't sure whether they'll get in who take the Topham option just in case so 49 has every chance of making the cut...
Obviously it's possible to get lost in the trends but a Q
Placing in the national last year seems to be the kiss of death, but I can't find anything on finishers/unplaced runners.
Basically trying to figure out if you want a horse that is totally new or not
I haven't gone way back, but here's what I have found:
2010 - Don't Push It (Won), Black Apalachi (2nd), State Of Play (3rd), Big Fella Thanks (4th), Hello Bud (5th).
2011 - Ballabriggs, Oscar Time, Don't Push It (3rd), State Of Play (4th), Niche Market. Big Fella Thanks finished 7th and Hello Bud was pulled up, the other did not run.
2012 - Neptune Collonges, Sunnyhillboy, Seabass, Cappa Bleu, In Compliance. Ballabriggs finished 6th, Hello Bud 7th, the others did not run.
2013 - Aurora's Encore, Cappa Bleu (2nd), Teaforthree, Oscar Time (4th), Rare Bob. Seabass finished 13th, Big Fella Thanks & Sunnyhillboy U/R & Ballabriggs P/U, the others did not run.
2014 - Pineau De Re, Balthazar King, Double Seven, Alvarado, Rocky Creek. Teaforthree U/R, the others did not run.
2015 - Many Clouds, Saint Are, Monbeg Dude, Alvarado (4th), Shutthefrontdoor. Pineau De Re 12th, Oscar Time 15th & Balthazar King fell, the others did not run.
2016 - Rule The World, The Last Samuri, Vics Canvas, Gilgamboa, Goonyella. Shutthefrontdoor 9th, Many Clouds 16th & Saint Are P/U, the others did not run.
Amazingly, none of Ballabriggs, Neptune Collonges, Auroras Encore or Rule The World had any Aintree Chase experience at all before winning their respective races. Pineau De Re had only fallen at the course over fences but had not completed a race there either before winning it.
Only Don't Push It had won at the course (chasing), prior to winning the race.
Looking solely at the past 7 years it doesn't bode well for horses returning to the race as win prospects, but there is always a time for a change
Doubles with USD@ 7/2
Bless The Wings 100/1
Ballynagour 80/1
Maggio 50/1
Vicente 25/1
Just A Par 40/1
Cause Of Causes 33/1
Rogue Angel 40/1
Perfect Candidate 40/1
Others:-
8/1 win & Ucello Conti 20/1
10/3 win & Thunder And Roses 25/1
5/2 win & Raz De Maree 40/1 x2
5/2 win & The Young Master 20/1 x2
5/2 win & Measureofmydreams 50/1
5/2 win & Highland Lodge 33/1 x2
5/1 win & Wonderful Charm 66/1
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