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Bet 365 (Whitbread) Chase - early thoughts

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  • #16
    Originally posted by loveracing View Post
    Good spot there Ista. He is clearly in form and his previous form wasn't great around Chelts anyway, so last months race was good a cracker for his standard. He's now weighted better off with a couple of potentials rivals here. 40/1 is way over priced!
    I'm not convinced Chelt suits the horse either, all his best performances look to have come around right handed tracks and after last years win we know he acts at Sandown.
    I'll wait for tomorrows decs and climb in again if his name appears....

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    • #17
      Got to love the form the Hobbs yard are in right now too....

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      • #18
        Great reasoning behind Brother Tedd Ista - you've convinced me so I've took some 40's.

        Why isn't the B365 48hr decs?

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        • #19
          Originally posted by Faugheen_Machine View Post
          Great reasoning behind Brother Tedd Ista - you've convinced me so I've took some 40's.

          Why isn't the B365 48hr decs?
          Celebration Chase a Grade 1 now so think that has precedence.

          Doubled Ziga and Tedd. Will owe Ista a few if it comes off.

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          • #20
            I'm at haydock on Saturday but all my attention will be on Sandown. I'll probably do a placepot at haydock for a little bit of interest but it's far too early for the flat.

            Some of my mates are at Perth this week and have been speaking to Sarah Hobbs. If I'd read this earlier I'd have got them to ask her about their entries at Sandown.

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            • #21
              Originally posted by Old Vic View Post
              Doubled Ziga and Tedd. Will owe Ista a few if it comes off.
              If that double copps OV you could buy both horses, you can donate me a leg of each if you like....
              Last edited by Istabraq; 21 April 2016, 08:51 PM.

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              • #22
                Just a personal view but I always like to look for unconventional angles at this time of year.
                Most decent horses are aimed at Cheltenham, or Aintree, or both, I don't believe any horse starts the season with the intention of doing those two and Sandown, that would be three of the most competitive races the horse will face in his/her lifetime inside 5 weeks, so I'm looking for a horse that avoided Aintree and the stats from this meeting support that.
                14 races (in the 2 years since it became NH only) of which 11 of those winners avoided Aintree.
                Not often you'd look at 40/1 and 25/1 shots and give them a real chance but for me these are exceptions.

                I'm at Sandown Sat so if I don't get in here in the morning I wish you all a good weekend stacked full of winners !
                FM - enjoy Haydock.
                Good luck all

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                • #23
                  Originally posted by Istabraq View Post
                  Just a personal view but I always like to look for unconventional angles at this time of year.
                  Most decent horses are aimed at Cheltenham, or Aintree, or both, I don't believe any horse starts the season with the intention of doing those two and Sandown, that would be three of the most competitive races the horse will face in his/her lifetime inside 5 weeks, so I'm looking for a horse that avoided Aintree and the stats from this meeting support that.
                  14 races (in the 2 years since it became NH only) of which 11 of those winners avoided Aintree.
                  Not often you'd look at 40/1 and 25/1 shots and give them a real chance but for me these are exceptions.

                  I'm at Sandown Sat so if I don't get in here in the morning I wish you all a good weekend stacked full of winners !
                  FM - enjoy Haydock.
                  Good luck all
                  Ista - like your style. Hope both run for you now.

                  I think Mullins chasing the championship in UK will throw up a few surprises in Punchestown. Elliott is s shrewd operator - he held onto a few that might have gone to Aintree or Perth.
                  Last edited by Guest; 22 April 2016, 04:58 AM.

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                  • #24
                    Hoping that Dynaste performs on Saturday as have always liked the horse - will combine him with Brother Tedd in my Saturday e/w double

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                    • #25
                      BT not entered.

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                      • #26
                        Originally posted by loveracing View Post
                        BT not entered.
                        never mind losers but hate them not running. Price explained I guess.

                        Might chance Ubak in that now on the Gary Moore Sandown angle.

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                        • #27
                          Has to be one of the most spectacularly bad ante post investments I've ever made.
                          As sorry as I've feeling for myself there's an army of punters out there who backed Paint the Clouds for the big one forcing him into 10s yesterday, only for him not to be declared today....

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                          • #28
                            The non runners are part of the game. Vaniteux is the overpriced one now. 8s an ew to nothing.

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                            • #29
                              Anthony ? Think Mayo put him up last time he won ?

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                              • #30
                                Originally posted by Yeehaa View Post
                                The non runners are part of the game. Vaniteux is the overpriced one now. 8s an ew to nothing.
                                Vaniteux was one I also had my eye on. He was serving it up to Douvan when coming down and has good hurdle form. Shame its only 7 runner 2 places otherwise would def be a bet to nothing, though I still think he can beat VVM.

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