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Newbury 15.35 - Modus
Was beaten at Taunton over Christmas but there were excused as some of ours were not firing at the time, the ground was as bad as I've known it at Taunton and he was carrying a double penalty.
Modus has really thrived since then as I've stepped up his training routine and is the best I've ever had him. No question.
I can understand why Barry Geraghty has chosen to ride Blazer as Modus may not have given him a great feel at Taunton under such a big weight.
But he is a different horse now, without a shadow of a doubt and has a massive chance in this valuable handicap. He stays, he wants a fast run race, has a great racing weight, is in terrific order and looks fabulous at the moment.
I'm delighted that Nick Scholfield has the ride on Modus as he has done all the schooling on him from day one and really believes in him.Comment
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Ruby
Had I gone to Newbury I would have had the choice of four of Willie’s five runners in the Betfair and, honestly, I’m not sure which one I would have chosen.
I was disappointed with Buiseness Sivola last time and would find that hard to forgive, so probably wouldn’t have gone with him. Dicosimo won well at Limerick but he has a lot of weight to carry.
Kalkir ran a blinder in the Coral Hurdle, and David Mullins takes off a handy 3lbs, but he’s a lot worse off with Ivan Grozny now. The latter ran better than his placing suggests, having pulled hard for much of the journey, and should be suited by this stronger race. I see he’s about 40-1, and that could offer a little each-way value.
But Blazer is clearly the strongest of Willie’s quintet, as he’s 7bs well-in having been put up 12lb for his win at Leopardstown last weekend. To my eye, he looked to have at least 12lb in hand and really should win this – provided it doesn’t come too soon.
Barry (Geraghty) fancies him, but the horse raced on Sunday, was ridden out during the week, and headed to Newbury on Thursday. To my mind, he’ll either win well or run a long way below himself, I can’t see an in-between for him.Comment
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Ground doesnt look that heavy at Newbury.
Modus 2pts ew.
Kalkir 1pt ewComment
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20/1 winner. Well done sir.Originally posted by Old Vic View PostBrillant tipping Istabraq.
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Turned an ultra competitive handicap into a precession and had plenty left at the end.
Was 137 before yesterday, that probably becomes 147 now which is likely to see the horse carry 11st 10lb or thereabouts for the County if that's where they head and despite being progressive he could then be vulnerable to an unexposed type, perhaps Affaire D'honneur who connections think highly of and (with the help of Pricewise) was smashed into a single digit price yesterday....Comment
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One to keep onside from this race is definitely Affair D'honneur.
When they first walked in he was primed for a front running position, when they took a turn he found himself at the back of the field when the tapes went up with just the one horse behind, he looked to have been caught a little flat footed to me and when a confirmed front runner finds himself 15l off the pace and behind 20 horses he is always going to be up against it, I'd suggest he has actually run a cracking race to get into the places from that starting point.
If he heads to the County off a similar mark he can be a big player....Comment
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I think Starchitect warrants being watched, shouldn't move much in the weights and the stable will have a better idea how to ride him next time following the switch from McCain, made a little bit too much use of him yesterdayComment
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Great work Ista
A nice form boost for Yorkhill tooComment
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