Ayr Scottish National 2015

[Old Vic]

Here are your entries - 93 of them

According To Trev (IRE)	David Bridgwater	9
Across The Bay (IRE)	Donald McCain	11
Adrenalin Flight (IRE)	Seamus Mullins	9
Al Co (FR)	Peter Bowen	10
Algernon Pazham (IRE)	Nigel Twiston-Davies	6
Alpha Victor (IRE)	William Kinsey	10
Alvarado (IRE)	Fergal O'Brien	10
Amigo (FR)	David Pipe	8
Are Ya Right Chief (IRE)	W. P. Mullins, Ireland	10
Baileys Concerto (IRE)	Dianne Sayer	9
Balthazar King (IRE)	Philip Hobbs	11
Band of Blood (IRE)	M. F. Morris, Ireland	7
Benbens (IRE)	Nigel Twiston-Davies	10
Benvolio (IRE)	Paul Nicholls	8
Bless The Wings (IRE)	Gordon Elliott, Ireland	10
Bose Ikard (IRE)	Noel Meade, Ireland	7
Broadway Buffalo (IRE)	David Pipe	7
Cantlow (IRE)	Paul Webber	10
Cape Tribulation	Malcolm Jefferson	11
Carli King (IRE)	Caroline Bailey	9
Carlito Brigante (IRE)	Karen McLintock	9
Carrigdhoun (IRE)	Maurice Barnes	10
Catching On (IRE)	Jonjo O'Neill	7
Cause of Causes (USA)	Gordon Elliott, Ireland	7
Cogry	Nigel Twiston-Davies	6
Corrin Wood (IRE)	Donald McCain	8
Drop Out Joe	Charlie Longsdon	7
Duke of Lucca (IRE)	Philip Hobbs	10
Edmund Kean (IRE)	Peter Bowen	8
Embracing Change (IRE)	Robert Tyner, Ireland	10
Fill The Power (IRE)	Sue Smith	9
Full Jack (FR)	Pauline Robson	8
Gallant Oscar (IRE)	A. J. Martin, Ireland	9
Gas Line Boy (IRE)	Philip Hobbs	9
Gentle George	Steve Flook	12
Glenquest (IRE)	Stuart Crawford, Northern Ireland	12
Global Power (IRE)	Oliver Sherwood	9
Godsmejudge (IRE)	Alan King	9
Goonyella (IRE)	J. T. R. Dreaper, Ireland	8
Guess Again (IRE)	A. J. Martin, Ireland	10
Hada Men (USA)	Venetia Williams	10
Hadrian's Approach (IRE)	Nicky Henderson	8
Harry The Viking	Sandy Thomson	10
Heaney (IRE)	Tom J. Taaffe, Ireland	8
Heathfield (IRE)	A. J. Martin, Ireland	8
Houblon des Obeaux (FR)	Venetia Williams	8
If In Doubt (IRE)	Philip Hobbs	7
Ikorodu Road	Graeme McPherson	12
Indian Castle (IRE)	Ian Williams	7
Just A Par (IRE)	Paul Nicholls	8
Lie Forrit (IRE)	Lucinda Russell	11
Lost Legend (IRE)	Jonjo O'Neill	8
Maggio (FR)	Patrick Griffin, Ireland	10
Major Malarkey (IRE)	Nigel Twiston-Davies	12
Man With Van (IRE)	Stuart Crawford, Northern Ireland	9
Milborough (IRE)	Ian Duncan	9
Mountainous (IRE)	Richard Lee	10
Neptune Equester	Sandy Thomson	12
No Secrets (IRE)	A. J. Martin, Ireland	11
On His Own (IRE)	W. P. Mullins, Ireland	11
Pantxoa (FR)	Alan King	8
Perfect Gentleman (IRE)	W. P. Mullins, Ireland	10
Pineau de Re (FR)	Dr Richard Newland	12
Presenting Junior (IRE)	Martin Todhunter	8
Raz de Maree (FR)	Ms Sandra Hughes, Ireland	10
Rigadin de Beauchene (FR)	Venetia Williams	10
Rivage d'Or (FR)	A. J. Martin, Ireland	10
Rocky Creek (IRE)	Paul Nicholls	9
Rogue Angel (IRE)	M. F. Morris, Ireland	7
Rose of The Moon (IRE)	David O'Meara	10
Royale Knight	Dr Richard Newland	9
Royal Player	Philip Hobbs	6
Samingarry (FR)	Nigel Hawke	8
Samstown	Alistair Whillans	8
Sam Winner (FR)	Paul Nicholls	8
Sego Success (IRE)	Alan King	7
Sharney Sike	Stuart Coltherd	9
Sire Collonges (FR)	Paul Nicholls	9
Soll	David Pipe	10
Standing Ovation (IRE)	David Pipe	8
Summery Justice (IRE)	Venetia Williams	11
The Last Samuri (IRE)	Donald McCain	7
The Package	David Pipe	12
Trustan Times (IRE)	Tim Easterby	9
Unioniste (FR)	Paul Nicholls	7
Velator	Peter Bowen	8
Vintage Star (IRE)	Sue Smith	9
Wayward Prince	Hilary Parrott	11
Wicklow Lad	N. W. Alexander	11
Wiesentraum (GER)	Lucy Wadham	9
William Money (IRE)	Chris Grant	8
Woodford County	Philip Hobbs	8
Yes Tom (IRE)	Stuart Crawford, Northern Ireland	10

[Old Vic]

Scottish Grand National Odds table

and Scottish Grand National Odds

[mayo]

What is the overground on that show ?

[MrMcGoldrick]

I always back a Sue Smith runner each way in this, usually along with something else looking for an ew angle again, I nearly always stick to double digit prices where possible, I think, strangely enough, highly weighted horses have a much better record in this than the English version

[Old Vic]

The Ditcheat trainer tweeted this morning: "Sam Winner is not running in the Grand National Saturday but going to Ayr on (the) 18th for Scottish Grand National."

[MrMcGoldrick]

The Ditcheat trainer tweeted this morning: "Sam Winner is not running in the Grand National Saturday but going to Ayr on (the) 18th for Scottish Grand National."

That must be significant surely, he's very keen on Sam Winner

[Morning Glory]

That must be significant surely, he's very keen on Sam Winner

Yes. For chances in both races imo.Must thinnk he has the Aintree race covered.

[Old Vic]

2014 race won by Al Co

[Istabraq]

I did some work on this race earlier today (a slow work day !).
There have been a couple of established, older weight carrying performances but generally the profile needed for this race is very similar to the Irish National with unexposed lightweights (preferably novices) the place to look.

Of the established horses Al Co 16/1 (if he takes part) and Houblon Des Obeaux 25/1 appeal most, but the progressive Sego Success 14/1, Broadway Buffalo 12/1 and The Last Samuri 16/1 are where I will focus.

Good ground suits this bunch too.

Raz De Maree 33/1 is also an interesting runner.....

[Morning Glory]

Can't disagree with your shortlist Istabraq - market looks more or less right.

At a bigger price I wondered if the Wayward Prince revival might continue ?

[Istabraq]

MG - I think he's 11 now, can we trust an exposed 11yo against younger rivals ?
I'm not sure.

Must admit I had to look twice at the age of Houblon Des Obeaux, that horse seems to have been around for years and I had to check two sources to confirm he was only 8, I was convinced he was around 10.
His Hennessy form looks decent now....

[Faugheen_Machine]

I've backed a couple that you mention Istabraq. It looks like Al Co will have perfect conditions and unseating at the first last week isn't much of a negative. I also like Broadway Buffalo (took 12/1) and Sego Success as they look progressive and the marathon trip should suit.

[loveracing]

I've backed a couple that you mention Istabraq. It looks like Al Co will have perfect conditions and unseating at the first last week isn't much of a negative. I also like Broadway Buffalo (took 12/1) and Sego Success as they look progressive and the marathon trip should suit.

Cause of Causes ran well in the National so can't see why Broadway Buffalo won't run well with an extra week rest.

[Old Vic]

I have HDO down as an early season soft ground horse and he has been good to me on that basis.hennessy form looks very solid so might need to have another look.

Looking at AP - Nichols horse as main bet.

[Istabraq]

I have HDO down as an early season soft ground horse and he has been good to me on that basis.hennessy form looks very solid so might need to have another look.

Looking at AP - Nichols horse as main bet.

The ground argument could be right, I just think he's a genuine horse who goes on any surface.

I put a line through him initially when I looked at his post Cheltenham form over the years which is, to say the least, disappointing, but on closer inspection Venetia has been running him 7 and 8 times a season so by the time April comes along the horse is probably ready for the field, for whatever reason she has only sent him to the racecourse 4 times this year so will arrive at Ayr reasonably fresh.
I could be way off here but it could just be that Cheltenham exertions empty the horse but I'm keener now he's only raced 4 times before this.

I know connections were very keen on his chances in Lord Windermere's Gold Cup, he may have kicked off 50/1 but he was quietly fancied and any horse with the expected ability to run into a GC place should go very very close in this.
His Denman form also looks good....