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2025 Antepost flat racing

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  • #46
    Originally posted by ComplyOrDie View Post
    Back fresh off holiday and getting stuck into Opera Ballo @ 11/2 with William Hill for the Craven.

    Not bothered about jockey bookings, with Buick being on the other one. I really fancied Opera Ballo for the 2k Guineas, and the Craven is a weaker race, so no reason not to go max bet for me now in a weaker race.
    Only 16/1 on Betfair exchanges but still 25/1 with skybet for the 2000 guineas…….. won’t be there for long, they are mostly 9 points bigger than everyone else!

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    • #47
      Originally posted by ComplyOrDie View Post
      Back fresh off holiday and getting stuck into Opera Ballo @ 11/2 with William Hill for the Craven.

      Not bothered about jockey bookings, with Buick being on the other one. I really fancied Opera Ballo for the 2k Guineas, and the Craven is a weaker race, so no reason not to go max bet for me now in a weaker race.
      Looks a half decent roll up opportunity too. I've doubled him up with Croix Du Nord for the Japanese 2000 Guineas on Sunday.

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      • #48
        Originally posted by ComplyOrDie View Post
        Back fresh off holiday and getting stuck into Opera Ballo @ 11/2 with William Hill for the Craven.

        Not bothered about jockey bookings, with Buick being on the other one. I really fancied Opera Ballo for the 2k Guineas, and the Craven is a weaker race, so no reason not to go max bet for me now in a weaker race.
        Bitterly disappointing, that. Gave himself no chance by being way too keen through that first 4f.

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        • #49
          The winner was impressive

          He looks to have trained on nicely

          See he's favourite for the guineas now. Bit short for my liking

          The distance he beat Wimbledon hawkeye and aomori city puts him at a similar level to hotazhell and scorthy champ

          Has appleby said anything about shadow of light?

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          • #50
            Originally posted by FinalFurlong91 View Post
            The winner was impressive

            He looks to have trained on nicely

            See he's favourite for the guineas now. Bit short for my liking

            The distance he beat Wimbledon hawkeye and aomori city puts him at a similar level to hotazhell and scorthy champ

            Has appleby said anything about shadow of light?
            I don’t know a lot about the flat…..but to me Shadow Of Light looks absolutely tailor made to the Commonwealth Cup! Not sure if the mile would stretch him a bit, if I’m remembering the Dewhurst correctly he was all out to repel the late challenges.

            It’s just when to play him. I’m holding off just now as if he goes Guineas and is beaten he’ll drift.

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            • #51
              Originally posted by FinalFurlong91 View Post
              The winner was impressive

              He looks to have trained on nicely

              See he's favourite for the guineas now. Bit short for my liking

              The distance he beat Wimbledon hawkeye and aomori city puts him at a similar level to hotazhell and scorthy champ

              Has appleby said anything about shadow of light?
              He has today and there's a video of his gallop.



              Charlie Appleby is confident leading Betfred 2000 Guineas contender Shadow Of Light will have no problems seeing out the mile on his return to action in the opening Classic of the season at Newmarket next month.

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              • #52
                Originally posted by Craigy14 View Post

                I don’t know a lot about the flat…..but to me Shadow Of Light looks absolutely tailor made to the Commonwealth Cup! Not sure if the mile would stretch him a bit, if I’m remembering the Dewhurst correctly he was all out to repel the late challenges.

                It’s just when to play him. I’m holding off just now as if he goes Guineas and is beaten he’ll drift.
                I'd agree before the dewhurst but he did extremely well to win that having raced on the wrong side of the track

                I usually avoid the speedy ones but they are normally quite short and the will they stay isn't taken into account in their price

                8/1 on the dewhurst winner is big imo

                Agree if he loses lump on for the commonwealth cup as he trounced them in the middle park

                Gonna re watch the dewhurst then decide. It'll all be about whether buick can get him to settle.

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                • #53
                  Just watched the dewhurst back and I definitely wouldn't say he was all out to repel late challenges

                  He was the one who made the late challenge having raced away from the 2nd/3rd

                  Looked like those two were a few lengths in front at the 2 pole and he made up the ground running by himself with no company.

                  I'm happy to take the 8s on what I feel is by some distance the most talented horse in the race

                  If he stays he wins, if he doesn't stay i took 8s so haven't lost much

                  The dewhurst is almost always the best 2yo race

                  Doesn't always produce the winner of this (you wouldn't expect it too) but the recent winners

                  City of troy, derby winner top class 3yo
                  Chaldean, guineas winner
                  native trail, guineas 2nd, irish guineas winner
                  St marks basilica, french guineas winner top class 3yo
                  Pinatubo, not as good at 3 but won prix jean prat
                  too darn hot, missed guineas with set back won prix jean prat and sussex stakes
                  US Navy flag, 2nd in Irish guineas won July cup
                  Churchill, dual guineas winner

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                  • #54
                    Crocetti @ 33/1 e/w NRNB The Quokka

                    Group 1 winner in NZ has his first race in Australia.
                    Came 2nd to Alabama Lass LTO who went on to win in Aus.
                    It's a very tough race but 33/1 looks an e/w chance

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