Originally posted by Monty's Pass
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Kentucky/Guineas Yankee
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Not been much activity here so I'm gonna put one up for probably the hardest one as we don't really hear anything about it on these shores unless you follow US racing very in depth
LIFE TALK - KY Oaks
Her win at Aqueduct a few weeks ago should qualify her for the race, Irad was quite positive in post race comments and shouldn't be any issues getting to the race
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Originally posted by Zachx02 View PostNot been much activity here so I'm gonna put one up for probably the hardest one as we don't really hear anything about it on these shores unless you follow US racing very in depth
LIFE TALK - KY Oaks
Her win at Aqueduct a few weeks ago should qualify her for the race, Irad was quite positive in post race comments and shouldn't be any issues getting to the race
I had El Capi priced up with a couple of bookies for the KD (40/1) as was impressed by his debut at Aqueduct. Be keen to see where he goes next but you'd think the trainer would be itching for a KD win and if this fella can step up in grade and win then there's a bit of e/w value Imo.
Gun runner stakes next weekend could see Nash and a couple of other nice types put in a performance.
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Originally posted by Monty's Pass View PostGoing on holiday tomorrow for a couple of weeks so going to put this up a few days early.
Not too much to go off this month which is understable given how far out we are.
Decided on the below,
2000 Guineas
ROSALLION
As Morley mentioned the market is dominated by City of Troy but he's not a yankee proposition at that price this far out, Rosallion makes a suitable selection at around 12/1 for the Hannon team and looked good in France when last seen, arguably unlucky not to be undefeated and with a winter under his belt the son of Blue Point could have a big say come May 4th.
1000 Guineas
SEE THE FIRE
Tough call between the selection and One Look, I'm sure the latter will make it into one of these when we see an entry.
As FinalFurlong said she was green in the fillies mile and just hung left under pressure but ran a great race only going down late on to Ylang Ylang. The 20/1 available for See The Fire looks very fair considering her narrow conquerer in the Fillies Mile is half the price. Connections will know what it takes having had Alcohol Free go off joint fav for the 2021 edition and she could well be steered by Oisin Murphy on May 5th.
Kentucky Oaks
CANDIED
I don't have a strong opinion on this race at the moment but liked the way the Pletcher runner stayed on for 3rd in the Juvenile Fillie's after having to go wide around the bend. Would have liked a little bigger than 12/1. She should be on the premises come Oaks day.
Kentucky Derby
LOCKED
I'm a big fan of Fierceness and I think 12/1 is very fair after his dominant win at the Breeder's Cup but I thought it was a good opportunity to get his stable mate and more fancied runner on the day in this Yankee at 25/1.
Didn't show great speed out of the gate in that race and ate a lot of kick back as a consequence when he had to settle at the rear and come wide to make his bid, made up a fair amount of ground albeit in vain as the winner was long gone. The 2nd horse Muth also ran very well being up with the pace throughout but just couldn't live with Fierceness' turn of foot off the bend. All in all an extremely difficult race to find the winner of on the day let alone 6 months out but I like the price and expect Locked and Fierceness not to meet again until Kentucky Derby day so he could well head there unbeaten in his 3yr old season.
All odds with PP.
November Yankee
ROSALLION 12/1
SEE THE FIRE 20/1
CANDIED 12/1
LOCKED 25/1
I'm sure everyone is aware but best to check the max payout for international antepost/future bets with whichever bookie you use. I'll be putting on a win and e/w yankee for this month. Good luck all.
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Originally posted by Monty's Pass View Post
Good stuff Kev fancy anything for any of the races? Think we'll be needing a 2000 guineas pick this month..
So I'm no help!
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Yeah it's hard to completely ignore those kind of comments from Aidan, presumably he'll head to Newmarket without a run so you'd hope he won't go any shorter.. that is until Aidan confirms he's alive and well and says something like "he looks a picture" then he'll be 1/2
Will probably have to get him in at least one of these Yankees come end of Feb/March as he could end up being an impressive winner but evens doesn't appeal this far out and they've had a bit of a dry spell in recent years.
7 of the last 10 winners went there without a run (8 if you include Chaldean) so although there's a couple in behind City Of Troy in the betting that have shown promise there doesn't seem to be too many to get overly excited about as of now.
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Originally posted by Monty's Pass View Post
Will he take in both races? I do really like him tbf. Looks like he'll be a proper miler even though he should get further. If it came up soft in May I'd back him regardless of who Ryan picks.
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Originally posted by HoldenTheReins View Post
I remember reading or hearing that they are going to split City Of Troy and Henry Longfellow if they are both well. City Of Troy going for the English classics and Henry down the French classics.
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