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2024 Antepost Flat Racing

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  • Originally posted by Morley Street View Post
    Great racing all round last night, including the Frankie factor! and a very impressive performance from Sierra Leone…
    so how do folks see the Derby picture now IF the real Fierceness turns up? Potentially a great clash of the tortoise and the hare… I think I’d have to slightly favour Fierceness on the basis you’ll know your fate early, whereas with SL he’ll need a smooth passage?
    For my bank balance, Sierra Leone! I do wonder what the fractions will be, if fierceness goes off fast, he'll have to complete with track phantom who will want the lead no matter what and it could be a suicidal pace which would be like the last 2 derbies and set it up for a closer like Sierra Leone just like for Rich strike and Mage

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    • Originally posted by Morley Street View Post
      Great racing all round last night, including the Frankie factor! and a very impressive performance from Sierra Leone…
      so how do folks see the Derby picture now IF the real Fierceness turns up? Potentially a great clash of the tortoise and the hare… I think I’d have to slightly favour Fierceness on the basis you’ll know your fate early, whereas with SL he’ll need a smooth passage?

      Sierra Leone won that with ease, the further they went the easier it was for him and still looked to have plenty left in the tank

      Fierceness = 110 Beyer - No one's got close to that
      ​​​​
      I still like the look of Forever Young, versatility is his asset as he has shown he can stay up with the leaders or close and has the heart of a lion

      Stronghold must be in the frame now. Never out of the top two. Beat Imagination who gave Maymun a good run for his money

      Special mention for Just a Touch who was well beaten by Sierra Leone. The K Derby might still come too soon for him but yesterday's brave effort in the Blue Grass was only his third race

      Looking to be an open Derby with plenty of quirky runners
      Last edited by parimutuel; 7 April 2024, 10:31 PM.

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      • Originally posted by parimutuel View Post


        Sierra Leone won that with ease, the further they went the easier it was for him and still looked to have plenty left in the tank

        Fierceness = 110 Beyer - No one's got close to that
        ​​​​
        I still like the look of Forever Young, versatility is his asset as he has shown he can stay up with the leaders or close and has the heart of a lion

        Stronghold must be in the frame now. Never out of the top two. Beat Imagination who gave Maymun a good run for his money

        Looking to be an open Derby with plenty of quirky runners
        98 Beyer for Sierra Leone, I've just done some research and I've gone as far back as 2015 but that 110 figure from Fierceness is the highest in a decade going into the derby, Justify being 2nd at 107. Whilst they are closer on equibase figures with Sierra Leone getting 107 whilst Fierceness got a 110 there also

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        • Can someone help a fellow FJ out and ask to get Delius priced up for the arc? I've been rejected by 365 but they seem to decline to price everything up for me

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          • Originally posted by Zachx02 View Post

            98 Beyer for Sierra Leone, I've just done some research and I've gone as far back as 2015 but that 110 figure from Fierceness is the highest in a decade going into the derby, Justify being 2nd at 107. Whilst they are closer on equibase figures with Sierra Leone getting 107 whilst Fierceness got a 110 there also
            Equibase figures are like RPR's, no? so what are Beyer figures?

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            • Originally posted by HoldenTheReins View Post

              Equibase figures are like RPR's, no? so what are Beyer figures?
              Beyer figures are a pure representation of speed over any distance but at a particular track… whereas, whilst Equibase is also predominantly a speed rating, it factors in performances across different tracks and includes variables such as race conditions, pace, class of race etc.
              So, in simple terms, a Beyer rating tells you who has run the fastest full stop and an Equibase rating adjusts the picture based on a number of different variables. Both are useful in context imo.

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              • Delius - 20/1 Prix Du Jockey Club

                “Delius is a nice horse, who will develop into a good middle-distance prospect,” commented trainer Jean-Claude Rouget. “The more we advance through the season, the better he will be. He quickened really nicely and won well, so that is most encouraging.”

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                • Originally posted by Zachx02 View Post
                  Delius - 20/1 Prix Du Jockey Club

                  “Delius is a nice horse, who will develop into a good middle-distance prospect,” commented trainer Jean-Claude Rouget. “The more we advance through the season, the better he will be. He quickened really nicely and won well, so that is most encouraging.”

                  https://twitter.com/AtTheRaces/statu...44449433592310
                  Scrap that, he isnt in the early entries stage so would need to be supplemented

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                  • Beauvatier turned over by a race fit Ramadan but he should be beating him really if he was to win a French guineas, 11/4 on Henry longfellow right now will look big come the day of the race

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                    • Originally posted by Zachx02 View Post
                      Beauvatier turned over by a race fit Ramadan but he should be beating him really if he was to win a French guineas, 11/4 on Henry longfellow right now will look big come the day of the race
                      Agree Zach… do you know if he’s been committed to the race… I know they were strongly leaning that way but the Irish Guineas was also mentioned and I haven’t seen any comments since the gallop the other day?

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                      • Originally posted by Morley Street View Post

                        Agree Zach… do you know if he’s been committed to the race… I know they were strongly leaning that way but the Irish Guineas was also mentioned and I haven’t seen any comments since the gallop the other day?
                        I don't think they've fully committed to it MS, but its been the talk for a good while so I'm happy to chance it

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                        • The Zedan-CDI case over if muth can run verdict is today i believe, if they rule in favour of Zedan and I think they will, he's 25/1 on sky. I will post about the verdict as soon as I see it and if he is allowed to run, that will be a big big price.

                          Edit: my bad, looking like Wednesday but you'll hear it first here!
                          Last edited by Zachx02; 15 April 2024, 08:25 PM.

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                          • A Blue Point 2nd fav for the 2000 guineas is interesting, anyone think the trip will be too far?

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                            • Originally posted by HoldenTheReins View Post
                              A Blue Point 2nd fav for the 2000 guineas is interesting, anyone think the trip will be too far?
                              Blue point was bred to be a miler so I'd imagine a lot of his progeny will revert to that norm

                              And rosallions dam sire is new approach

                              If it's good ground or quicker can see him giving the fav plenty to do.

                              He's a lot better than any of the horses city of troy has beaten so far. His bare form is modest.

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                              • Doesn't sound like One Look is coming over for the English Guineas - https://www.racingtv.com/news/twomey...-talented-trio

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