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2022 Flat Racing Antepost thread

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  • Luxembourg was the slight unknown then

    And Mishriff the each way bet to nothing that finished 4th

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    • Taken some of the 25's with Coral for Tahirya for the 1000 guineas.

      Straight from a maiden and into a group 1, she was well backed on her maiden and won very well.

      Obviously a tougher test today, ground could go making it a tougher test of stamina which I think Meditate won't like due to breeding.

      If she wins she'll be near enough favourite.

      The downside is the trainer of course not really targeting English classics.

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      • Very taking run there HTR. I followed you in earlier with a punt

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        • Originally posted by KickOnMyCockers View Post
          Very taking run there HTR. I followed you in earlier with a punt
          Has to go guineas after that, surely. Very impressive, on her 2nd start also.

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          • Aye, she looks lovely. Like Tarnawa

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            • Originally posted by Benjy23 View Post
              Aye, she looks lovely. Like Tarnawa
              Love Tarnawa. Tarana is some mare. Got a colt with Frankel for next year, should be interesting.

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              • Originally posted by HoldenTheReins View Post

                Has to go guineas after that, surely. Very impressive, on her 2nd start also.
                Probably but not for definite

                Weld isn't like obrein he won't rush things with her

                If she doesn't come to hand early in her 3yo campaign he will just be patient and wait (this tactic paid off in spades with her half sister who flourished as a 4yo)

                she looked exceptional today, very very rare to win a group 1 on second start, especially in such convincing fashion

                Has the same withering turn of foot tarnawa had
                Last edited by FinalFurlong91; 11 September 2022, 07:51 PM.

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                • Originally posted by FinalFurlong91 View Post

                  Probably but not for definite

                  Weld isn't like obrein he won't rush things with her

                  If she doesn't come to hand early in her 3yo campaign he will just be patient and wait (this tactic paid off in spades with her half sister who flourished as a 4yo)

                  she looked exceptional today, very very rare to win a group 1 on second start, especially in such convincing fashion

                  Has the same withering turn of foot tarnawa had
                  I know it's all hypothetical at the moment but I'd prefer a price for the Arc 2023 than the 1000 Guineas given how the trainer operates with a good one

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                  • They'll target the guineas like but wouldn't be surprised if it was the Irish or French rather than English. Lovely price though like

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                    • Originally posted by Benjy23 View Post
                      They'll target the guineas like but wouldn't be surprised if it was the Irish or French rather than English. Lovely price though like
                      That is the concern for sure but I've got a good price. French and English guineas are the same prize pool with the Irish one a little less I think. Not sure he cares for that though.

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                      • Yea, hope they come to Newmarket but wouldn't think they'll be hugely influenced by the prize pot. Irish likely the easiest option without travel. But French could also make sense with connections, and a possible run in the Arc. Hard to call.

                        Speaking of French racing... Been looking to find a bet in the Abbaye as it sounds like the top two in the market are going to be non runners. Appreciate its not priced to a great percentage still but there has to be some value. Been reading some trainer quotes and seen a couple state they've got entries in the Abbaye. Anyone got any ideas where I can actually find the entries though?

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                        • Originally posted by Benjy23 View Post
                          Yea, hope they come to Newmarket but wouldn't think they'll be hugely influenced by the prize pot. Irish likely the easiest option without travel. But French could also make sense with connections, and a possible run in the Arc. Hard to call.

                          Speaking of French racing... Been looking to find a bet in the Abbaye as it sounds like the top two in the market are going to be non runners. Appreciate its not priced to a great percentage still but there has to be some value. Been reading some trainer quotes and seen a couple state they've got entries in the Abbaye. Anyone got any ideas where I can actually find the entries though?
                          When it's soft ground at longchamp the sprint track has a huge draw bias to low numbers

                          you basically have to be drawn near the far rail to have a chance when it gets very soft

                          Makes antepost betting in the race very tricky

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                          • Aye, fairly unpredictable ground and the draw make it slightly speculative even by usual antepost standards. Just think they'll be something in the 20 to 25/1 range that'll be comfortable single figure when the field is actually known.

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                            • Prix de la foret
                              Kinross 4/1

                              Breeders cup turf sprint
                              Golden pal 4/1

                              Ascot champion sprint
                              Creative Force 6/1

                              3 iv had for the end of the flat season

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                              • You seen anything (ideally from the weekend) confirming Kinross to be targeting the Foret? Agree he'd definitely be the one to beat if he was. And it'd be the right race to target for them imo. Just had couple of fairly quick runs hasn't he, in comparison to last year at least.

                                Think Kyprios will go for the Cadran? Arc option, or waiting for Champions Day rather than taking in both. Sounds like Trueshan won't be there, so there's potentially one to be found lower down there as well.

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