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2022 Flat Racing Antepost thread

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  • Originally posted by ComplyOrDie View Post
    Really like the look of Aikhal for the Great Voltigeur tomorrow (currently 7/2), and potentially going forward for the Arc (although has other entries, like the St. Leger, so could go that route), of which he's a 40/1 poke with Bet365 currently.

    I think the step up in trip again will help him massively, as it seemed to do LTO, where he won a Group 3 at the Curragh by 4 1/2, his best work most definitely happening in the final furlong, and the way he was ridden from the front in his maidens suggests they believe he has stamina.
    I’m on Aikhal tomorrow too… 25/1 special with Hills to win tomorrow & the Leger

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    • Frankel was 1/10 when he won his renewal. Mad that... Even after knowing he won 7 lengths

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      • Does anyone on here know how much it's raining in York? There was a threat of storms.
        Last edited by parimutuel; 16 August 2022, 09:46 PM.

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        • Baaeed should've probably been about 1/10 as well...

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          • Originally posted by Benjy23 View Post
            Baaeed should've probably been about 1/10 as well...
            Should be going Arc instead of Champions Stakes imo. Very impressive today.

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            • Agreed. Winning the Arc would put him ahead of Frankel imo.

              And it looks a very winnable Arc.

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              • Originally posted by Benjy23 View Post
                Agreed. Winning the Arc would put him ahead of Frankel imo.

                And it looks a very winnable Arc.
                Hed need to win the Arc by 10 lengths to get to frankels 140 level

                He's not even close to frankel at this stage
                Last edited by FinalFurlong91; 17 August 2022, 04:33 PM.

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                • Originally posted by HoldenTheReins View Post

                  Should be going Arc instead of Champions Stakes imo. Very impressive today.
                  Agree with this

                  Though they definitely won't want him to lose now as winning over 10f will have bumped up that stallion fee a good bit

                  That unbeaten record is an excellent commercial selling point at stud

                  Shadwell will be hoping they have a new flagship stallion on their hands

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                  • Won't be going to Arc according to William Haggas, it's the champion stakes at Ascot for his last race
                    EDIT - can't help but think it reflects badly on the whole stallion thing that Baeed would somehow lose value if trying 1m4f and got beaten, which is by no means a certainty. He's still the best currently at 1m and 1m2f so just don't send him any mares if you're looking to breed a long distance runner.

                    It's like a boxer padding out the record from this point onward and not taking up the big fight.
                    Last edited by That Horse; 17 August 2022, 04:44 PM.

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                    • Originally posted by FinalFurlong91 View Post

                      Hed need to win the Arc by 10 lengths to get to frankels 140 level

                      He's not even close to frankel at this stage

                      I literally meant imo, rather than on OR. Like I'd personally hold him in higher regard. Not sure you can dispute that tbh pal but as you were.

                      ​​​​​​​

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                      • Originally posted by FinalFurlong91 View Post

                        Hed need to win the Arc by 10 lengths to get to frankels 140 level

                        He's not even close to frankel at this stage
                        Speaking of Frankel, and his (quite rightly) lofty post career reputation, I’m surprised Sea the Stars doesn’t get even more kudos than he does.

                        2000 Guineas, Derby, Eclipse, Juddmonte, Irish Champion Stakes, Arc…… in the same season??

                        I’d be fairly confident no horse will never do this in my lifetime again.

                        Put simply, it’s an extraordinary feat.

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                        • Originally posted by Bollinger View Post

                          Speaking of Frankel, and his (quite rightly) lofty post career reputation, I’m surprised Sea the Stars doesn’t get even more kudos than he does.

                          2000 Guineas, Derby, Eclipse, Juddmonte, Irish Champion Stakes, Arc…… in the same season??

                          I’d be fairly confident no horse will never do this in my lifetime again.

                          Put simply, it’s an extraordinary feat.
                          They very likely won't win the races that he did in his 3yo career

                          But it's about quality of performance not which races they won and frankel beat better horses and beat them more convincingly

                          Enable has a better CV than Sea The Stars

                          2 arcs, 3 King George's etc etc

                          Frankel Is the best iv seen

                          Sea the Stars and baaeed probably the 2nd and 3rd
                          Last edited by FinalFurlong91; 17 August 2022, 08:25 PM.

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                          • Originally posted by FinalFurlong91 View Post

                            They very likely won't win the races that he did in his 3yo career

                            But it's about quality of performance not which races they won and frankel beat better horses and beat them more convincingly

                            Enable has a better CV than Sea The Stars

                            2 arcs, 3 King George's etc etc

                            Frankel Is the best iv seen

                            Sea the Stars and baaeed probably the 2nd and 3rd
                            As 3 year old seasons go, Sea the Stars was exceptional and will probably never be surpassed.
                            I think it's fair to say he was probably the best 3 year old ever.
                            Who knows what he might have done as a four year old ?

                            Frankel is IMO the best horse ever, although I'm not convinced he beat better horses (just beat similar horses easier). Horses like Farhh, Excellebration and Cirrus des aigles were probably not as good as their rating suggests and the first 2 probably earnt theirs in relation to vs Frankel and not so much without him.


                            Baaed being a son of sea the stars and looking better than ever over more than a mile today certainly helps Sea the Stars credentials.
                            His win today was as impressive as some of Frankels wins.

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                            • Originally posted by ComplyOrDie View Post

                              I expect marked improvement from Baaeed for the step up in trip. Infact, I think he's been crying out for it. Yes, he's unbeaten over 1m, but his breeding suggests he'll get plenty further, and I believe this step up in trip will be right up his street.

                              I wouldn't be surprised at all if he beats the lot tomorrow further than he's been beating horses over 1m, and then cue all the 'he's a monster', 'best we've seen' talk appear....again. I'd still have Frankel to beat him over 1m, easily.
                              Not much of a surprise to see Baaeed do what he did over an extended trip than what he had been used to. It looked on the cards.

                              As I said, I'd have Frankel beat Baaeed every time over 1m, but anything 1m2f+ I think it would be a different story. I believe Frankel's form, and the horses in behind, were a lot more solid than those Baaeed has beat.

                              I can totally understand why they would head to the Champion Stakes, rather than stretch him out further in the Arc, after just one run over 1m2f.

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                              • Sounds like Irish Champion Stakes could be on the cards.

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