Originally posted by parimutuel
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2022 Flat Racing Antepost thread
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I was thinking about some horses for the Arc de Triomphe ....
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State of Rest ..... Bay Bridge ..... Luxembourg ..... Alenquer .
Teona ..... Grand Glory .
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......... Penny for your thoughts / prospects for any of these ??.
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Originally posted by BigChaang View PostI was thinking about some horses for the Arc de Triomphe ....
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State of Rest ..... Bay Bridge ..... Luxembourg ..... Alenquer .
Teona ..... Grand Glory .
--------------------------
......... Penny for your thoughts / prospects for any of these ??.
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Originally posted by BigChaang View PostI was thinking about some horses for the Arc de Triomphe ....
--------------------------------------
State of Rest ..... Bay Bridge ..... Luxembourg ..... Alenquer .
Teona ..... Grand Glory .
--------------------------
......... Penny for your thoughts / prospects for any of these ??.
seems to be a mare on the incline and has been racking up the wins since last season, beating Love at the Curragh at the end of last season before winning the pretty polly stakes on her seasonal debut a few weeks ago beating My astra.
What makes those wins even more impressive is im personally convinced that they were achieved over a trip short of her best. She needed every yard of 1m 2f to get up on the line to beat Love, and then looked like she was going to be picked up by My astra last time over the same trip before finding again in the last furlong hold on for the win.
The step up to 1m 4f would be right up her street imo, she has no issue with soft ground which is a big plus when backing for the arc, and the race has been earmarked by paddy twomey as a target, I think she’s still available at around 25/1 which looks very good to me.
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Originally posted by BigChaang View PostI was thinking about some horses for the Arc de Triomphe ....
--------------------------------------
State of Rest ..... Bay Bridge ..... Luxembourg ..... Alenquer .
Teona ..... Grand Glory .
--------------------------
......... Penny for your thoughts / prospects for any of these ??.
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Originally posted by Benjy23 View PostI'm not convinced the 3 year olds are actually better than the older horses in the King George. Is there any form that actually suggests this year's middle distance 3 year olds are particularly strong?
Mishriff is better over 10f and doesn't seem at his best at ascot (needs flatter track like York and meydan?)
torquator tasso surely needs softer ground
Broome and pyledriver just don't look good enough
So the two 3yos have everything in their favour
Though I'm likely biased as I backed westover ante post and got lucky with desert crown getting pulled out
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Fair play and interesting thoughts, agree with most of it. Thought Mishriff ran well in last year's renewal though. Although was behind the Derby winner then.
Pace angle the other question mark. Can see Broome or Pyledrive trying to steal it. But you're right they'd be disappointing quality winners.
Sounds like you've got a good price on the most likely winner though so you're well placed. I probably won't have a bet now to be honest because nothing is appealing to me that much.
TT actually the most interesting at the prices imo but you're right his worst form seems to be on good ground. And it's basically just the Arc form that stands out. Tarnawa
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Originally posted by Benjy23 View PostFair play and interesting thoughts, agree with most of it. Thought Mishriff ran well in last year's renewal though. Although was behind the Derby winner then.
Pace angle the other question mark. Can see Broome or Pyledrive trying to steal it. But you're right they'd be disappointing quality winners.
Sounds like you've got a good price on the most likely winner though so you're well placed. I probably won't have a bet now to be honest because nothing is appealing to me that much.
TT actually the most interesting at the prices imo but you're right his worst form seems to be on good ground. And it's basically just the Arc form that stands out. Tarnawa
Tarnawa would've won half the track on decent ground
Way I see the King George is Broome sets the pace with pyledriver and Westover sitting just off him ensuring he sets a good gallop
Then the two gosden horses sitting just off them
If they go slow and it turns into a sprint mishriff surely wins as he's definitely got the best turn of foot of these
If they go a good pace I can see Colin Keane picking it up nice and early from Broome on westover and using his long stride to gallop the rest into the ground up the stiff ascot finish
Should be an interesting race, I may have a saver on mishriff in case Ryan tries to stack them up on broome
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At this time of year the older horses still have an advantage over the 3yo's hence the WFA allowance. Older horses do have a very decent record in the King George. Broome exceeded expectations at RA and could do so again. An AOB/Ryan Moore horse at 20/1 in a 6 runner G1 field just jumps out of the page. Super race to watch though.
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Sounds very much like my fav flat horse Trueshan will run in the Goodwood Cup on Tuesday. Track has been watered extensively and thunderstorms are currently hitting the course. Fingers crossed the best Stayer in Europe will take his chance. If he does he'll surely go off favourite.
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