Originally posted by parimutuel
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York Ebor Meeting
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Day 1 - horrible day for me (betting wise) but we go again today.
Keeping my powder relatively dry with only one bet - Umm Kulthum in the Lowther @ 8/1 (NAP).
I thought her debut win at Thirsk was really very impressive. Everything went wrong - missed the kick, met traffic, was greener than grass, had to switch across but managed to get up to win with plenty in hand IMO. You could argue that wasn't the deepest race but the 4th and 5th have won since so there's some substance there. She was smashed up from 9's to 5/2 that day and is being well supported again today for Fahey who has an excellent record at his local track. I don't like the favourite at 15/8. Sacred has to prove she stays 6f on softer ground and IMO that price is too short to find out so I'll be taking her on.
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I'll try these today and have another go at the placepot. 5/6 on my perm yesterday really hurt!
1.45 York- Hala Hala Hala
2.15 York- Tinochio
2.45 York- Firmament
3.15 York- Love
3.45 York- Sea Of Faith
4.20 York- Bonnyrigg
4.50 York- Entrancing
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Originally posted by jack1092 View PostShe did win nice at Ascot, but that form would still leave her short here- she needs to improve from Ascot again you'd think if Love is anywhere near her best?
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Albaflora for me at 3.45pm.
Got 8/1 on Albaflora when the betting opened, and the two I have her Trixied with have both price-crashed for Saturdays racing (Beringer 20/1 to 11/1 in the Strensall Stakes, and Alright Sunshine 40/1 to 18/1 for the Ebor)."Journeys to Glory, breathing in his head".
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Had a long look at the Strensall stakes, the opening race on saturday.
Risky having a decent bet on a horse that don't win very often but have staked 5pts ew on Beringer.
Would have been all at 16's but PP limit my stakes so rest on B365 @ 14's.
If it's bigger at any stage between now and then I'll probably back it again.
I watched it's comeback run at Pontefract and he was unlucky to get baulked and held up at a crucial stage but ran on very nicely and it looked a very encouraging reappearance behind Dark Vision (whose formlines this year are very strong)
The race is competitive enough and the pace should come from the filly Miss O'connor and maybe Pogo.
Hopefully Beringer can track Dark Vision and should not be too far away from him at the finish based on previous form.
Opposition,
Fingers crossed that Lord Glitters doesn't mow them both down. I'm hoping his best days are behind him.
Pogo would be a worry.
Zabeel Prince would also concern me if back to his best, but he has a bit to prove, having ran poorly in his last four starts.
I'd be surprised if Miss O'connor can outlast this field.
Prince Eiji is probably not good enough either and has had four goes this season.
Certain Lad has been well beaten by Pogo and Dark Vision more than once.
And fuck knows how to weigh the form of Epic Hero. But it don't look good enough anyway.
9 furlongs on a fast track might just be the perfect fit for this horse when you look through his form.
Some really solid performances in behind very good horses might explain his poor win record, and he may just have ran into several over the years, and over too far a trip mostly, as I don't think it's his attitude.
I'd have Beringer a single figure price at least. And probably fourth or fifth in the betting behind Lord Glitters, Pogo & Dark Vision at least.
So had to back accordingly.
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Bit of a Shocker yesterday - .
Today's Lucky 15 is ..........................
.................................................. .... 1.- Restorer - 1-45.
2.- Nayef road - 2-15.
3.- Angel power - 4-15.
4.- Cold front - 4-50.
best of Luck , I'm gonna need it !.
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