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Daily Flat Racing Tips

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  • Lingfield 2.00 Millions Memories 66/1 E/W looks overpriced to me based on his form over the distance. He's gone close on numerous occasions at 1m3f+. The worry would be being upped in class, but I'm hoping the featherweight he has means they will try and bounce him out and make all.

    I've had a nice enough bet at 66's and have done a couple of festival roll ups on him too.​

    Comment


    • Originally posted by ComplyOrDie View Post
      Lingfield 2.00 Millions Memories 66/1 E/W looks overpriced to me based on his form over the distance. He's gone close on numerous occasions at 1m3f+. The worry would be being upped in class, but I'm hoping the featherweight he has means they will try and bounce him out and make all.

      I've had a nice enough bet at 66's and have done a couple of festival roll ups on him too.​
      Ran an OK race, the step up in class showed in the end though, and got swamped by plenty. Still not beat real far though.

      Comment


      • Duke Of Firenze 16/1 E/W - Certainly one of my old cliff horses, but feel he's going to go real close tonight. He's a proper old timer, now 13 years of age, however ran well enough the last twice to suggest it won't be long before he can get his head in front maybe for one last time. He was backed LTO at Lingfield but just got going too late. I think Wolverhampton will suit. He ran well at Wolverhampton two runs back, off 2lbs higher, in a 0-60, tonights race in a 0-55. He has yet to win at Wolverhampton, but has gone close, including being beat by a nose back in July off a mark of 59 (now rated 48) in a 0-65. This is a horse, who at his peak was rated 107, he's a hardy type, who just needs things to fall right, and I'm hoping tonight is that night.

        Comment


        • Lingfield 12:20 Militry Decoration 15/2 E/W - On paper looks a fairly inconsistent type, but since joining new connections back in 2020 has won or placed 12 times from 19 runs, which equates to a 63% place strike rate. His win rate is less impressive at a little over 10%, but it's not for the want of trying, finishing 2nd a further 5 times. For me, for his newest connections he's been pretty consistent, all things considered. He's run at Lingfield for his latest trainer 3 times, finishing 2nd, 3rd & 5th, but never at the course over todays trip. He is still unexposed over todays trip, his run last time out was his first try over 2m, and ultimately he should have gone close to winning but found an untold amount of trouble in running, and the winner and second were already in full flow when he was able to run on in to a never nearer 3rd. Today is now only a 6 runner field, so there shouldn't be much chance of finding too much trouble. My only two real concerns for him today are that firstly it's an apprentice race, and I don't know much about apprentices in general, but he's got Sam Fielden on board, who I believe is a relation to trainer Julia Fielden, but can't confirm. The other worry is that it is only a hands and heels race, however, he was running on well under pressure at Kempton mostly to a hands and heels ride that day, so hopefully won't be a major concern.

          He'll do for me in a race that hopefully won't take much winning.

          I may also use him in a couple of roll ups for the festival too.

          Comment


          • Kempton 8:15 Divine Messenger 40/1 E/W (4 places) - Coming into the race off a hefty lay off, however he's absolutely tumbled down the weights and not without some consistent enough performances thrown in. He's back down to 7f today, his c&d form reads 2nd & 5th both times finishing never nearer, those races he was racing off 70 & 74 and now races off 53 and into a lower class of race. He has run well off the back of a long break before. He's been in one of my trackers for some time, I've been waiting for him to drop back down to 7f and today is the day, so I'm hoping he's on a going day. The one thing he does have a tendency to do is start slowly, so I'm hoping this obviously isn't the case tonight. 40/1 looks too big a E/W price not to get involved in, given his previous c&d form and his lowly rating now.

            Comment


            • Originally posted by ComplyOrDie View Post
              Lingfield 12:20 Militry Decoration 15/2 E/W - On paper looks a fairly inconsistent type, but since joining new connections back in 2020 has won or placed 12 times from 19 runs, which equates to a 63% place strike rate. His win rate is less impressive at a little over 10%, but it's not for the want of trying, finishing 2nd a further 5 times. For me, for his newest connections he's been pretty consistent, all things considered. He's run at Lingfield for his latest trainer 3 times, finishing 2nd, 3rd & 5th, but never at the course over todays trip. He is still unexposed over todays trip, his run last time out was his first try over 2m, and ultimately he should have gone close to winning but found an untold amount of trouble in running, and the winner and second were already in full flow when he was able to run on in to a never nearer 3rd. Today is now only a 6 runner field, so there shouldn't be much chance of finding too much trouble. My only two real concerns for him today are that firstly it's an apprentice race, and I don't know much about apprentices in general, but he's got Sam Fielden on board, who I believe is a relation to trainer Julia Fielden, but can't confirm. The other worry is that it is only a hands and heels race, however, he was running on well under pressure at Kempton mostly to a hands and heels ride that day, so hopefully won't be a major concern.

              He'll do for me in a race that hopefully won't take much winning.

              I may also use him in a couple of roll ups for the festival too.
              If anyone kept the faith in him he's just bolted up @ Southwell, was 14/1.

              Of course, it's after timing (for today), but I didn't let him go unbacked. He should have won at Kempton 2 races back, as I noted, but didn't manage to get up, and unfortunately Lingfield didn't go to plan LTO, so I'm glad he's done the business today.

              Comment


              • Price has all but gone now, but like Aced It 11/2 E/W in the last at Kempton tonight.

                Back at Kempton, after running at Lingfield off of a break, his better form is at the track and now being stepped right up in trip, hopefully shout suit also. I don't like to after time but I got some last night prices, but he's seemingly blue across the board this early afternoon. I have used him in some roll ups too.

                Comment


                • Originally posted by ComplyOrDie View Post
                  Price has all but gone now, but like Aced It 11/2 E/W in the last at Kempton tonight.

                  Back at Kempton, after running at Lingfield off of a break, his better form is at the track and now being stepped right up in trip, hopefully shout suit also. I don't like to after time but I got some last night prices, but he's seemingly blue across the board this early afternoon. I have used him in some roll ups too.

                  Comment


                  • Kempton 8.30 Gokotta 66/1 E/W - 4 places with SkyBet - Wasn't beaten far (6L) on return to racing off of a huge break, in a race that was slightly better than this (0-55, today is 0-50) should be suited by a slower track like Kempton, as opposed to the quicker, Lingfield, which she ran at LTO. Her running style suggests this extra furlong will help too, and the yard have done well recently when stepping horses up in trip, including going close with a 66/1 shot a couple of months back.

                    I've used her in some roll ups for the festival.

                    Comment


                    • Originally posted by ComplyOrDie View Post
                      Kempton 8.30 Gokotta 66/1 E/W - 4 places with SkyBet - Wasn't beaten far (6L) on return to racing off of a huge break, in a race that was slightly better than this (0-55, today is 0-50) should be suited by a slower track like Kempton, as opposed to the quicker, Lingfield, which she ran at LTO. Her running style suggests this extra furlong will help too, and the yard have done well recently when stepping horses up in trip, including going close with a 66/1 shot a couple of months back.

                      I've used her in some roll ups for the festival.
                      Good luck with this one mate!

                      Comment


                      • Karaka Million 3YO Classic R6 Pukekohe

                        This could be the race of year so far if it lives up to the hype. Legarto and Wild Night both unbeaten lining up against each other with some other very talented horses in the lineup.

                        Here's the taster




                        Edit : Rotten Tomatoes 13 per cent


                        Last edited by parimutuel; 22 January 2023, 04:01 PM.

                        Comment


                        • Originally posted by parimutuel View Post
                          Karaka Million 3YO Classic R6 Pukekohe

                          This could be the race of year so far if it lives up to the hype. Legarto and Wild Night both unbeaten lining up against each other with some other very talented horses in the lineup.

                          Here's the taster





                          That was exciting. No idea who is favourite but my guess is Legarto - she looks sensational

                          What time's it on?

                          Comment


                          • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post

                            That was exciting. No idea who is favourite but my guess is Legarto - she looks sensational

                            What time's it on?
                            High revving BPM's at 06.28 Kev. I'm well psyched. I've backed her in a few multiples and done the reverse forecast too.
                            Last edited by parimutuel; 20 January 2023, 06:13 PM.

                            Comment


                            • Auspicious @ 11/10 R1 Ascot (Australia) Saturday.

                              Edit : I've been looking forward to her race debut since her trial in September so hope she's worth the wait.
                              Last edited by parimutuel; 9 February 2023, 09:43 AM.

                              Comment


                              • IMELDA MAYHEM @ 13/10 b365 Race 1 Benalla tomorrow

                                3 y/o filly making her race debut after a smart trial win...I would back her just on her name alone

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