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Yeah, I wish Crowley wasn't on it though, I'm just going through a spell when every time I back one he's riding, they run badly, It's probably not him, but he reminds me of the way Ryan Moore has become (lacking hunger, cos he has a good retainer) They both seem to want the horse to take them there, and if it doesn't they just go through the motions. Lack of dynamism is probably the best description.
Doubt either would go for a gap unless it's safe to do so.
The drift on Uncle Bryn to 11-1 makes that a possible bet for me now also.
Might put that in a multiple.
Agree with the 11s on Uncle Bryn and this is now a big price imo.
I like Indeed. I thought he ran a really eyecatching race lto when he looked the winner and will strip fitter today with this possibly being a long term target(I hope). I would be really confident if it wasn't for the low draw.
Royal Lodge (only 7 runners)
I was going to tip Masekela for this since Bayside Boy won the Champagne Stakes, but having looked at the race I thought he might not stay the extra furlong and I was more impressed by Royal Patronage though he won a lesser race. Howth is a good price for this who was squeezed for room in the KPMG
edit1: That's more like it after yesterday's blank slate - didn't handle the dip but ran on like a real stayer! RP wins 7/2
Cruyff Turn for the 2.05 at Haydock
edit: Sweated and ran too free
Last edited by Supermaster; 25 September 2021, 02:13 PM.
Cheveley Park
Sacred Bridge has looked very good but so has Zain Claudette
Have a good day may have been unlucky in the Morny and Eve Lodge could run better than her price
Selection: Zain Claudette
Ousiders: Have a Good Day, Eve Lodge
edit:
Damn missed the O'Brien dark horse at 14/1 - grinds teeth
Good run by Flotus
High draw helped
Last edited by Supermaster; 25 September 2021, 02:34 PM.
All the fancied runners drawn high in the abbaye which I think is away from the rail so might be worth backing a few low drawn outsiders as there is usually a big draw bias in that race
The horse that stands out today is Epona Plays in the Sun Chariot @ 20/1 with 5 places.
Lost nothing in defeat LTO in a bunched finish behind Mother Earth who she was giving 5lbs to and it was a solid performance under tactics that wouldn't have suited. She wants to front run and ran a blinder in the Pretty Polly doing just that, before the last 2f stretched her.
I think she has a big chance back at a mile. If she can hit the dip out in front I think she'll be hard to peg back and 20/1 EW with 5 places massively underestimates her chances. The rain about is a plus not negative, and in a race thats wide open IMO, I think at the prices, she'e the one.
The Tattersalls has a proper 'hope and pray' feel about it with 30 runners and loads of potential winners but I have gone with Stubble Field EW @ 12/1. Doesn't have sext connections or too much form to go on, but ran a blinder at Ascot and left a few winners in behind and carries a super low weight.
Two outsiders in the early races:
Newmarket 1.10 Fabiosa
Chepstow 1.15 Forever Forward
edit: Forever Forward was Forever Backward today!
Fabiosa nearly ran into a place - better than 66/1!
Last edited by Supermaster; 9 October 2021, 01:39 PM.
GM lost his chance with a novicey last fence
Valentino Dancer just collared on the line
Assuming Allmankind is being readied for fences
The other 3 in the first 4 should be worh following this year - winner Master's Legacy 11/1
Last edited by Supermaster; 9 October 2021, 02:15 PM.
Dewhurst Berkshire Shadow, Bayside Boy dangers to Native Trail
edit: Native Trail wins comfortably with Dubawi Legend 2nd
all form lines point to Royal Patronage
Fidelio Vallis should like the good ground at Chepstow
edit: FV jumped well but just failed to get home - will probably stick to 2 miles from now on
Tea Clipper looks a good prospect over 2m4f
Last edited by Supermaster; 9 October 2021, 03:38 PM.
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