Daily Flat Racing Tips

[parimutuel]

Close finish but a nice place

Wasn't sure how she would handle the ground today HTR but 16/1 (drifted to 18's) seemed way too big to me and she did alright. This little filly packs a punch!

[parimutuel]

ILLUMINATION @ 14/1 e/w Saturday - Test Stakes - Saratoga Race 8

Started brightly enough then someone turned the dimmer switch on!

[Supermaster]

The Shergar Cup has nice fields of 10 and decent prize money at least ?20k each race - though complicated by the fact that the races aren't as independent from each other as normal.
I wonder if relatively unknown French jockey Mickaelle Michel may add some value, So Call My Bluff may be good value in the 1.25 though Uber Cool looks just the form horse.
Reshoun and Island Brave are live outsiders

[Supermaster]

1 Just Hubert 11/1 (refused to race LTO!)
2 Call My Bluff 7/1
3 Uber Cool 3/1 (too late to challenge?)
4 Island Brave

[Supermaster]

2.0 C'est No Mour/Group One Power/Graphite

[Supermaster]

1 Graphite 18/1 (had good French form inc narrow defeat by The Revenant in a group 3 race)
2 HMS President 9/2
3 Restorer 28/1

[Supermaster]

2.35 Dashing Roger/Ouzo

[Supermaster]

1 Dashing Roger 5/1
2 Young Fire 12/1
3 Raising Sand 5/1

[Supermaster]

3.10 State of Bliss/Contact

[Supermaster]

1 State of Bliss 9/2 - another good ride by Nicola Currie
2 Annandale 6/1
3 Star Caliber 100/30

[Supermaster]

3-y-os 1st and 2nd in the Rose of Lancaster. More evidence about the quality of this year's 3-y-os.

[parimutuel]

EVOCATIVE SPARK @ 14/1 ew 3 places. Yarmouth 1.30

Hugo Palmer's 2 yos are 9/33 this season so worth a shot.

Finished 4th, no threat to the front three but maybe one for the future. The winner, Aeonian a 25/1 shot by Ulysses had another winner a little later at Beverley, Implore 5/1...one brings two eh.

Hugo Palmer did win the very next race at Yarmouth with a 3 y/o filly by Olympic Glory. For anyone who didn't hear the commentary she was named Queenie Newall, after the GB archer who won gold in the 1908 Olympics at the the age of 53.

[Quevega]

At York all week so have been looking at early markets and races on the Wednesday.
Couple of speculative ones I've picked so far.
Must say, of course I have no inside knowledge that they are intended runners. Although Balding did mention his in the Ebor stable tour with the handsome lad.

Tarboosh 25-1 PP&BFSB - Skybet symphony handicap 1-50

Interesting antepost race as a few of the fancied runners in the current betting (I got bored counting after half a dozen) are running today, and whilst some will run again Wednesday, not all of them will, and any that win will have a penalty.
So the market will likely shake up a bit before the off.

Tarboosh looks over priced having ran well in this race the last 2 years, finishing third last year off a mark of 105, and 2 lengths 8th the year before off a mark of 104. Arguably drawn on the wrong side both times also, when drawn high on both occasions. He was priced 50-1 and 33-1.
His only other run at the track was in a listed race when he finished a close, unlucky fourth in a hot race for that class.

His last run which was likely a prep for this race, as they have probably had this race in mind again. Was encouraging as it was a small runner field so he was keen but finished in a line with 3 horses rated 100+ and he was giving them all 6 or 7lbs.

Running off 100 on Wednesday, if declared and given a favourable draw, or with pace to tow him along. I'd be surprised if he's not fighting out the finish.

PP are stand out at 25-1.
This may be available on the day I suppose but a lot already have him at 12's or thereabouts, so I've took the risk now.

Youth Spirit 14-1 PP & BFSB - Great Voltigeur.

A bit if an each way gamble to be fair as the form of the favourite isn;t that good (through Wordsworth), but he did win well, and is still the likeliest winner if he progresses again (Kemari).

Scope is a dark horse if it runs as we haven't seen it since the lingfield derby trial, but looks held on ratings from what we have seen so far.

O'Brien has four entered, and surely will not run them all. He could even only run the one.

So PP paying 3 places antepost on this race looks worth a punt as it may well be lower than 8 that run on the day.
The other runners entered all ran at Goodwood (along with Sir Lucan of O'Briens, and Wordsworth) and aside from Yibir (well beaten) all finished a length or two off the winner, but Youth Spirit was carrying a small 3lb penalty vs the field.
I thought this horse lacked stamina after watching the Derby, but he still has a Leger entry and is bred to stay.
I'll more than likely back the O'brien first choice on the day I reckon, but if it does cut up and only 6 or 7 run then I'll be pleased to have this horse at 14-1 (3 places)

[parimutuel]

Haggas has just had some hour

[Quevega]

Took the forty's for Justanotherbottle, just in case he runs again on Wednesday.
With a good claimer to offset the penalty then he may be close to 10-1.