Having a go on a couple today, both at Southwell:
5:10 Bold Decision 15/2 E/W - Yet to win on the all-weather, but ran a good race at Kempton on his most recent A/W run, before never getting close in a race back on turf at Leicester (over 7f). No Southwell experience, but nothing to suggest he couldn't go well on it, his Dam was a winner at Dundalk. The field is a very inconsistent bunch with no previous course winner, despite some having attempts. Kraka would be the danger for me.
6:45 Hammer Gun 8/1 E/W - This horse absolutely loves Southwell, with a 44.44% career win record at the track, and a 66.67% Win/Place record as well as numerous 4th place finishes. He does seem to be slightly better over 1m, but he has dropped to a mark of 67 (won off a high of 84 over c&d in 2018) now after some poor efforts on turf, and 7f should be of little inconvenience to him. He'd be my E/W bet of the day. He will need to break better than in recent efforts.
5:10 Bold Decision 15/2 E/W - Yet to win on the all-weather, but ran a good race at Kempton on his most recent A/W run, before never getting close in a race back on turf at Leicester (over 7f). No Southwell experience, but nothing to suggest he couldn't go well on it, his Dam was a winner at Dundalk. The field is a very inconsistent bunch with no previous course winner, despite some having attempts. Kraka would be the danger for me.
6:45 Hammer Gun 8/1 E/W - This horse absolutely loves Southwell, with a 44.44% career win record at the track, and a 66.67% Win/Place record as well as numerous 4th place finishes. He does seem to be slightly better over 1m, but he has dropped to a mark of 67 (won off a high of 84 over c&d in 2018) now after some poor efforts on turf, and 7f should be of little inconvenience to him. He'd be my E/W bet of the day. He will need to break better than in recent efforts.
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