Daily Flat Racing Tips

[Quevega]

Looked electric on debut obviously, but worth noting it was only a Auction maiden! So i'd have him down as short

Took Masen + Charterhouse (e/w) as i think that maiden's much stronger. Blue For You has come out and won at Galway to help it a little anyway.



Thought Peregrine Run was a decent price tomorrow. Given too much to do last time by a 7pd claimer, 2nd won nicely off 117 at Galway over hurdles + we know Chosen Mates useful. Even his run before that on the flat where he drifted, Penny Out has franked the form somewhat being close at Galway.

Surely he's better than 76 even forgetting Coen's claim!

Yep, Cadillac is too short, but did look awesome first time out. The way he waited and then went round the front two was exciting enough.
I've backed charterhouse each way also (33-1) is too big in comparison with Masen, so if that form does end up being better I thought it worth a punt.

[Quevega]

Saver each way double on the two bolger horses also.
Both improved loads for their last run.

[kinloch brae]

PRETTY GORGEOUS is the biggest price in the antepost market tomorrow, c/w all of her opponents that have a Guineas quote.

The owner splashed 525,000 Guineas to get her and house her with Joseph.

I'm coming round to thinking that with Coolmore controlling AOB's string almost completely, that Joseph and Donnacha attract a much wider ownership structure wanting a piece of the O'Brien magic.

It will be interesting if the two sons win a few classics with non-Coolmore horses and owners.
- I'm not sure how "the lads" would take that.

I also think that their horses, particularly the non-Coolmore ones could be less noticed in the classic betting markets than their dads horses.

I do like NICEST in the early Oaks market, trained by Donnacha, and am looking for her to be declared in a 1M Group race soon.
Her form ties in with Pretty Gorgeous, they both beat the same horse into 2nd.

525,000 looks an awful lot for a Lawman out of a Compton Place mare who won one race and was probably fortunate to be rated 105. I think most people would rather have been the seller.

Had she been sold Snowfall would surely have gone for far more than 525,000.

[Saxon Warrior]

525,000 looks an awful lot for a Lawman out of a Compton Place mare who won one race and was probably fortunate to be rated 105. I think most people would rather have been the seller.

Had she been sold Snowfall would surely have gone for far more than 525,000.

She was the most expensive Lawman through the sales ring, which is pretty good for a filly.

[Kevloaf]

Yep Tyros, more tricky Aidan normally schools it, but not sure on his 2yos yet- they always will have some good ones so he'll probably manage to win it somehow. Hoping they open Charterhouse bigger than he deserves.

Charterhouse was so close to winning for me at 100/1 in that race behind Masen. (didn't put it up on here but I'd have changed my avatar and name if it'd have gotten up that day)

Outsider of the lot tomorrow, I'll definitely play him in the without markets if he stays that way tomorrow.

I do like Mac Swiney too having followed his runs quite closely and given he beat Wembley, who was 2nd to a horse from the Chaterhouse Maiden, he's not that far away collaterally.



Easy to take on the favourite at that price isn't it... as good as he looked.



I've just repeated a lot there





In the 'without' Cadillac market, Charterhouse is surely going to be a massive price considering Masen will be the market leader?

Definitely something to look out for anyway.

[Stormy Antarctic]

4.10 Bath. Alfie’s watch

This is just one that looks desperate for an extra furlong, which he’ll get today. He ran well last time on good to firm so should handle the fast conditions well.

[Rhinestone_Cowboy]

The 7F Group 3 Silver Flash for Fillies is the first of the triumvirate of races that usually throws up the classic fillies for next year.

Group 3 Silver Flash Stakes 7F
Group 2 Debutante Stakes 7F
Group 1 Moyglare Stud Stakes 7F

There will be many Irish fillies in recent years, that took in these races prior to Newmarket and Epsom runs the following year.

Watching the videos back there are some impressive winners in the race tomorrow (1pm).

The standout for me is PRETTY GORGEOUS.
She debuted over a Mile, but had the race won at 6F and 7F before breezing in over the last 1/2F.

I've backed her for tomorrow, and also taken the 66/1 Bet365 for the 1000 Guineas too.

She looked half a size bigger than the other fillies she ran against on debut and ran all over them, with a rating none of her opponents tomorrow, could match on their debut.

Its not like Joseph to win many with 1st time out 2yo's so she could be a good one.

Hugh Taylor 2 pointer, I’ve had a bit of that 66/1

[Saxon Warrior]

Hugh Taylor 2 pointer, I’ve had a bit of that 66/1

Quite often when Hugh Taylor picks horses for the bigger races (which isnt that often!) he ends up following me in.
Its then, that I am grateful for my regular strategy of betting as soon as possible after the market opens, on horses I fancy, as Hugh regularly shortens the market price in a heartbeat.

[kinloch brae]

I made a note of Pretty Gorgeous, A Ma Chere and Snowfall last time so strict discipline would suggest a watching brief is the right strategy.

That said sometimes sense goes out the window and I have gone with Snowfall EW. She is the only one of three I have backed for the 1,000 Guineas.

None of the form has really been franked so it is very much down to visual interpretation. Snowfall needs to step up markedly on that maiden win but I just felt there was something very likeable about that performance even though the margin was a narrow one. A Ma Chere showed a good attitude on debut but the dam has yet to produce anything near to her own ability. Perhaps this is the one but it has to be a negative that Weld has really struggled to find a decent horse over the last few seasons. I might cover if she goes double figures. Joseph's filly was just too short.

Disappointing the 25p Rule 4 with two coming out I didn't fancy. Ignored the market weakness and added A Ma Chere EW.

[kinloch brae]

Quite often when Hugh Taylor picks horses for the bigger races (which isnt that often!) he ends up following me in.
Its then, that I am grateful for my regular strategy of betting as soon as possible after the market opens, on horses I fancy, as Hugh regularly shortens the market price in a heartbeat.

Disappointing for everyone who thought it was his own work. Maybe you should apply for his job?

[Rhinestone_Cowboy]

Quite often when Hugh Taylor picks horses for the bigger races (which isnt that often!) he ends up following me in.
Its then, that I am grateful for my regular strategy of betting as soon as possible after the market opens, on horses I fancy, as Hugh regularly shortens the market price in a heartbeat.

I’d already followed you in last night SW as your antepost analysis is excellent but topped up what I could this morning without breaching referral limits which I’m consciously not trying to go over

[jack1092]

Disappointing for everyone who thought it was his own work. Maybe you should apply for his job?

Lol, i thought this too KB

[ComplyOrDie]

Backed Military Style (16/1) E/W in the Tyros.

[Saxon Warrior]

The front two Shale and Pretty Gorgeous looked a class apart there.

Happy to retain 66/1 on PG for the 1000 Guineas, she looked a bit gawky when asked to come out of cruise mode and go on.

I am thinking the first two will go on to the Group 2 Debutante Stakes next, and we can see if the placing stay the same again.

Shale biggest 1000 Guineas price post race 33/1, Pretty Gorgeous 50/1.

Front running horses have stayed on to win those two Group 3’s, I think the 2 Fillies are the ones to take out of those juvenile races, one for Joseph and one for Donnacha.

[jack1092]

My two ran well there, Charterhouse annoyingly ran out of the places in the end.

Not sure on that race from first viewing...Masen and Van Gogh probably the two to improve the most from that?