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Daily Flat Racing Tips

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  • Couple today for myself:

    Uttoxeter 1:10 Perle Rose 9/2 E/W - Nice comeback run 16 days ago, probably the most promise in a long time. That run suggests a step up would not go amiss, which she gets today, and this is a weak enough affair, even for 12 race maiden.

    Pontefract 2:50 Peggy Sue 8/1 E/W - Seems to a have a slightly better record on turf than the A/W, so the run LTO, at Newcastle, can be taken as a fair effort. Back to a track she is 1/1 at, she'll like the ground. A reliable, likeable type, whose 8/1 price seems a little bit of value to me.

    Comment


    • Originally posted by ComplyOrDie View Post
      Couple today for myself:

      Uttoxeter 1:10 Perle Rose 9/2 E/W - Nice comeback run 16 days ago, probably the most promise in a long time. That run suggests a step up would not go amiss, which she gets today, and this is a weak enough affair, even for 12 race maiden.

      Pontefract 2:50 Peggy Sue 8/1 E/W - Seems to a have a slightly better record on turf than the A/W, so the run LTO, at Newcastle, can be taken as a fair effort. Back to a track she is 1/1 at, she'll like the ground. A reliable, likeable type, whose 8/1 price seems a little bit of value to me.
      One other, sorry.

      Pontefract 2:20 Equipped 11/1 E/W (4 places) - Run twice on turf, readily beaten both times, the first effort was her debut and the latter was an improved effort, but both times the description had 'soft' in somewhere, today there is no such description, and could aid her chances. The latest effort on turf, finishing 9th of 14 she ran well for a long way before folding in the final furlong, again the same happened LTO also, but on this occasion stayed on well to the line for a close up 4th. Down in trip for only the 2nd time in her career today, the first time not finishing a million miles behind the winner back on the A/W. Mick Channon has sent 4 winners to Pontefract from 9 runners in the last 12 months, a win rate of 44%, and I expect this one to go well also.

      Comment


      • As of 23rd July (just shy of 2 months)

        Scooby's free tipping selections have yeilded....


        Total Stakes 110pts
        Profit is +88.47pts
        ROI = 80.43%


        At £20 a point you'd have made +£1769.40







        If I was paying for another tipping service, I'd be cancelling it


        Ridiculous. Hugh Taylor, Pricewise, Andy Holding.... they aren't getting close.

        Comment


        • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
          As of 23rd July (just shy of 2 months)

          Scooby's free tipping selections have yeilded....


          Total Stakes 110pts
          Profit is +88.47pts
          ROI = 80.43%


          At £20 a point you'd have made +£1769.40







          If I was paying for another tipping service, I'd be cancelling it


          Ridiculous. Hugh Taylor, Pricewise, Andy Holding.... they aren't getting close.
          Outstanding work Scooby. To turn out that kind of profit day to day is really impressive. Keep knocking them in!

          Comment


          • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
            As of 23rd July (just shy of 2 months)

            Scooby's free tipping selections have yeilded....


            Total Stakes 110pts
            Profit is +88.47pts
            ROI = 80.43%


            At £20 a point you'd have made +£1769.40







            If I was paying for another tipping service, I'd be cancelling it


            Ridiculous. Hugh Taylor, Pricewise, Andy Holding.... they aren't getting close.
            The guy is a genius

            Comment


            • Two today that look like improvers.

              Roydmoor 12.15 Beverley

              Got the hang of things late on on debut. He looks like he’ll step forward if he’s quicker away at the start.
              Couple of novices are running here under penalties and I always like to oppose those conditions. Roydmoor will do for me 9/2

              Luck on Sunday 4.10 Beverley

              This filly just has to be better than a mark of 65. Related to plenty of top winners. Two good ones over 1 mile 4f so hopefully this step up will see a bit of improvement.

              Comment


              • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
                As of 23rd July (just shy of 2 months)

                Scooby's free tipping selections have yeilded....


                Total Stakes 110pts
                Profit is +88.47pts
                ROI = 80.43%


                At £20 a point you'd have made +£1769.40







                If I was paying for another tipping service, I'd be cancelling it


                Ridiculous. Hugh Taylor, Pricewise, Andy Holding.... they aren't getting close.
                That’s outstanding stuff. Well done!

                Comment


                • Originally posted by Kevloaf View Post
                  As of 23rd July (just shy of 2 months)

                  Scooby's free tipping selections have yeilded....


                  Total Stakes 110pts
                  Profit is +88.47pts
                  ROI = 80.43%


                  At £20 a point you'd have made +£1769.40







                  If I was paying for another tipping service, I'd be cancelling it


                  Ridiculous. Hugh Taylor, Pricewise, Andy Holding.... they aren't getting close.
                  He is doing brilliantly and I’d happily follow him over a cliff but to be fair to HT and AH (don’t monitor Pricewise) they are restricted to putting tips up on the morning of the race. HT has spoken about this a bit recently and thinks it’s the main reason his figures were markedly down last year and not doing great this year. He thinks there are a lot more knowledgeable people now getting the value the night before the race meaning a lot of his potential selections are no longer viable. That said Andy Holding is flying at the moment with roughly 10 of his last 15 2 pointers landing, the only ones I will back, but not sure if this is likely to last as he doesn’t publish profit and loss figures
                  Last edited by Rhinestone_Cowboy; 24 July 2020, 10:46 AM.

                  Comment


                  • Do you think its inevitable that HT might start putting his up the day before?

                    I dont follow AH speed ratings but I seen something about him landing a few from it, not sure how to access it, maybe its restricted? But yeah his naps or 2pts are going well.

                    Tbf to pricewise he puts up alot of ante post in big race meetings, not sure if he puts much more up? Maybe the odd one during week!

                    But not taking anything from Scooby, fair dues to him. Doing a great job. I havent religiously followed him but have a sneak peak now and again and put me on to a few good ones

                    On a side note, I've gone in blind far more than I would have liked to on the flats this season, I've no real love or affection for it especially not as much as the jumps and think boredom and lack of discipline has cost me! Something to consider next season, but blame covid!

                    Comment


                    • Winners at the weekend probably about as easy to predict as the weather. Should be softer than the current going tomorrow but by how much is the question.

                      Gone with four at Ascot:-

                      Chindit EW
                      Ebury EW
                      Evening Sun EW
                      Mascat EW

                      No fantastic prices. In fact I could have got a better price on Chindit if I hadn't backed him ante-post. I liked the style of his debut win and they have chosen this race over the Vintage next week. Sadly, Hannon falls only behind Johnston in being difficult for punters to predict. He never seems to be in form for more than a few days. Could be a big day as he also runs two interesting two-year-olds in the first two races. Ebury is pretty obvious being lightly raced with course form. Any rain shouldn't present a problem. Evening Sun was an easy winner from a horse who has run well since. The step up to mile should be a plus. It is a small field but it wouldn't surprise me if this is more competitive than the betting suggests. Bentley and Beckett are not my favourite combination but Mascat looks nicely treated on last season's form.

                      Comment


                      • In a no bet race the King George.

                        Now there's only three runners, it has to be worth backing Sovereign in the hopes he gets a soft lead.
                        The two big boy jockeys could easily misjudge him. Whilst looking at each other.

                        It wouldn't totally surprise me to see Enable lead but it's really in Buick's hands as to what he does as Frankie won't fight for the lead if he thinks the pace is fine. Unless Buick's under clear instructions to do something completely different, you'd have thought he'd go out in front.

                        Anything around 14/16-1 is worth a point in a three runner race for a fairly unexposed horse who may have not been fully ready first time out this season. And may get the run of the race.

                        Having said all that. Enable ought to win easily enough. Obviously.

                        Comment


                        • Originally posted by Quevega View Post
                          In a no bet race the King George.

                          Now there's only three runners, it has to be worth backing Sovereign in the hopes he gets a soft lead.
                          The two big boy jockeys could easily misjudge him. Whilst looking at each other.

                          It wouldn't totally surprise me to see Enable lead but it's really in Buick's hands as to what he does as Frankie won't fight for the lead if he thinks the pace is fine. Unless Buick's under clear instructions to do something completely different, you'd have thought he'd go out in front.

                          Anything around 14/16-1 is worth a point in a three runner race for a fairly unexposed horse who may have not been fully ready first time out this season. And may get the run of the race.

                          Having said all that. Enable ought to win easily enough. Obviously.
                          If they intended to nick it from the front why not put up Beggy or McNamara? They are the two jocks who have provided the two biggest front running upsets for Coolmore, one on this horse. That's what I would have done.

                          Comment


                          • Originally posted by kinloch brae View Post
                            Winners at the weekend probably about as easy to predict as the weather. Should be softer than the current going tomorrow but by how much is the question.

                            Gone with four at Ascot:-

                            Chindit EW
                            Ebury EW
                            Evening Sun EW
                            Mascat EW

                            No fantastic prices. In fact I could have got a better price on Chindit if I hadn't backed him ante-post. I liked the style of his debut win and they have chosen this race over the Vintage next week. Sadly, Hannon falls only behind Johnston in being difficult for punters to predict. He never seems to be in form for more than a few days. Could be a big day as he also runs two interesting two-year-olds in the first two races. Ebury is pretty obvious being lightly raced with course form. Any rain shouldn't present a problem. Evening Sun was an easy winner from a horse who has run well since. The step up to mile should be a plus. It is a small field but it wouldn't surprise me if this is more competitive than the betting suggests. Bentley and Beckett are not my favourite combination but Mascat looks nicely treated on last season's form.
                            Added Mohawk King EW in the first. Hopefully, he can emulate the dam who I remember bolting up on debut.

                            Comment


                            • Originally posted by Quevega View Post
                              In a no bet race the King George.

                              Now there's only three runners, it has to be worth backing Sovereign in the hopes he gets a soft lead.
                              The two big boy jockeys could easily misjudge him. Whilst looking at each other.

                              It wouldn't totally surprise me to see Enable lead but it's really in Buick's hands as to what he does as Frankie won't fight for the lead if he thinks the pace is fine. Unless Buick's under clear instructions to do something completely different, you'd have thought he'd go out in front.

                              Anything around 14/16-1 is worth a point in a three runner race for a fairly unexposed horse who may have not been fully ready first time out this season. And may get the run of the race.

                              Having said all that. Enable ought to win easily enough. Obviously.
                              If Enable drifted (which is incredibly unlikely as I don't think I've ever seen her go off bigger than her morning price) I'd definitely back her.


                              Japan is being over bet/talked up, considering he was still behind her on her seasonal debut, I don't see why he'd improve more than her, and in a 3 runner race I can't see Frankie being out-thought. He's got too much experience.




                              My automatic thought was it's a no-bet race but I'm considering a double with her today and Magical tomorrow.

                              1.05/1 with Unibet. (Probably better doing in manually to be fair)
                              Last edited by Kevloaf; 25 July 2020, 10:38 AM.

                              Comment


                              • In the 13:15, Zabeel Queen and Light Refrain are the only two who have Graded entries... Might chance those two at 7/1 and 16/1 (or slightly worse with extra places)



                                The 3 Godolphin horses are obviously unexposed and may well be better, but I like this angle and I'm going to back them now.

                                Only 1 horse not making it's debut, so let's hope the entries are not misguided!



                                As usual, the 'without the fav' market for both appeals too.

                                Split stakes all over the place
                                Last edited by Kevloaf; 25 July 2020, 01:07 PM.

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