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St Leger 2021

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  • #16
    10 entries now: Racing Post BETTING FORECAST
    8/11 Hurricane Lane, 13/2 Ottoman Emperor, 7/1 High Definition, 15/2 Mojo Star, 12/1 Interpretation, 14/1 Sir Lucan, 18/1 The Mediterranean, 22/1 Youth Spirit, 50/1 Fernando Vichi, Scope.

    The odd thing about this race (in general) is that the main "trials": the English and Irish Derbys, the Gt Voltigeur and the Gordon are all run over 1m4f so it's often the case that the horses with the best form have never run beyond 1m4f and this is the case this year as well. So there is the usual question about staying the trip.
    The best group form is clearly the odds on Hurricane Lane and after that the less experienced Mojo Star. Is Mojo Star a horse that makes his own bad luck? The much bigger price is a big plus.

    In the tennis we had the unexposed type in Raducanu who had run up a sequence of comfortable wins against the group one winner in Bencic.

    Interpretation and Ottoman Emperor are the Raducanu types here and Interpretation has form over the trip. From Goodwood it looked like Sir Lucan would stay the longer trip better than Ottoman Emperor and has won over 1m5f.

    So looking for some value against the form horse (HL) and the Dettori horse (HD) my 3 for the race are:

    Mojo Star, Interpretation, Sir Lucan

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    • #17
      My remaining antepost ticket is The Mediterranean at 33/1.

      I had Wordsworth who is out, and I perhaps foolishly cashed out my antepost ticket (albeit for a slight profit) on Hurricane Lane after he won in France, with my thinking being he would be primed for the Arc instead.

      Couldn't be having High Definition given the evidence on the track, it's a pity Ryan Moore hasn't got to pick one so we'd know which one to steer clear of .
      ​​​​​

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      • #18
        High Definition should be 33/1 hes looked like a complete yak since the dante

        Would be delighted if he won though having backed him ages ago

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        • #19
          Originally posted by That Horse View Post
          My remaining antepost ticket is The Mediterranean at 33/1.
          .
          ​​​​​
          Different tactics for The Mediterranean today but same result, pleased with the place.

          Really couldn't understand the drift in price today and how he was greater odds than the likes of Sir Lucan as The Med consistently runs his races. Hopefully he'll be a decent price for the Ascot gold cup next year. Mojo Star obviously another to consider for that.

          High Definition probably needs to try another sport

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          • #20
            The Epsom Derby form stood up but Hurricane Lane has clearly improved. How does he compare to Adayar now?
            Mojo Star may be aimed at the long distance cup races next season. Tarnawa could still be a force in the Arc based on today's good run in the Irish Champion..
            If Snowfall runs as well it's looking like a hot Arc. The Med proved his consistency again. Horses at the back did not figure in the finish.
            Last edited by Supermaster; 11 September 2021, 04:00 PM.

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            • #21
              Originally posted by Supermaster View Post
              The Epsom Derby form stood up
              So pleased it has, the Derby has suffered in recent years with winners going nowhere and there was even talk of pushing it back a month or so to allow horses to develop more and try longer distances.

              I had two of my biggest bets since Cheltenham yesterday, one was Mojo Star ew and 3 and 4 places, it just seemed insane I could back him at 1.9 to finish in first three, he looked to be coming back to the winner at the line too but clearly Hurricane Lane is too good over 12/14 furlongs, he will be very interesting when stepped up to 16+ furlongs, I wonder if Hannon has any schooling hurdles down there in Wiltshere…

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