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In the King George V h'cap
Possibles: Nagano, Sir William Bruce, First Light, Sure Fire, Soapy Stevens, Tashkan
Preference for the two at the bottom of the handicap: Soapy and Tash
In the King George V h'cap
Possibles: Nagano, Sir William Bruce, First Light, Sure Fire, Soapy Stevens, Tashkan
Preference for the two at the bottom of the handicap: Soapy and Tash
Surefire5/1
Sir Lamorak4/1F
Parachute16/1
Siskany15/2
ended up level on that one - rough in the closing stages - Nagano unlucky
Have 2 antepost doubles and a single rolling onto campanelle
She will be fine with some rain but not sure if it gets proper testing so have had a few quid on suesa at 4/1.
Like prettiest in the albany, she will relish the step up to 6f and hoping for a big run
Then have snow lantern and my main fancy pretty gorgeous running in the coronation stakes. Hoping that pretty gorgeous comes on plenty for her run in the Irish guineas when she tired late on after travelling well.
Cooperation 40-1 2pts ew -
looks reasonably well handicapped for a pacey horse that has been running over further, by Mehmas who ran well on soft here - trainer also in form and looks to be drawn well enough.
If you ignore the run at Southwell and look at his 2 runs either side, particularly his second to spycatcher off level weights who's now rated over 100. Although he was well beaten that day he looked quick enough over the first 5. Soft ground may benefit him tomorrow too, as you may need to stay further, so could rule out some of the headcases.
Fucking nightmare of a race though to be fair.
If the ground goes softer then I think
A Case Of You 3pts ew 16-1 (skybet 6 places) in the commonwealth is worth a stab, looks drawn well again, and should get taken into the race by the quicker types drawn high and should have more stamina for the last 50yards or so. Fingers crossed anyway.
Oodnadata 66-1 is an interesting entry, first time up this season and is not too far behind the best of these based on the run in the moyglare. At the prices anyway. Jessie has won this race 2 of the last three years, and had no runner in the 2019 renewal.
And finally for the big priced yankee.
Tyson Fury, who is drawn well and you have to ignore his last run here, but he may have had an excuse as it looked like he just went too fast in the ground, in the middle part of the race, and was eased as the held up horses came past in the straight, in what turned out to be a very hot listed race.
He's a handicapper and probably weighted about right, so something should be improving past him, but the ones that look most likely have been pushed up plenty for the last wins, so you never know. The draw should help his keenness and he really ought to get into mid division from the widest draw and unless trapped wide then he ought to settle better and have a better finish to his race.
A Pinstickers yankee (with a bit of thought)
Which sums up Ascot this year.
Massive fields - but massive value on some really decent horses.
Having a really good week at Ascot for a change and would have been even better had Ryan Moore not managed to get beat on MC Muldoon and Sir Lamorak (missing the break on Cadomosto didn't help either) Mardy little nob ed he is.
Have 2 antepost doubles and a single rolling onto campanelle
She will be fine with some rain but not sure if it gets proper testing so have had a few quid on suesa at 4/1.
Like prettiest in the albany, she will relish the step up to 6f and hoping for a big run
Then have snow lantern and my main fancy pretty gorgeous running in the coronation stakes. Hoping that pretty gorgeous comes on plenty for her run in the Irish guineas when she tired late on after travelling well.
I'm looking to give Snow Lantern another chance myself although I disregarded the 2000 guineas form by ignoring Poetic Flare earlier in the week and I'm loathe to do it again with Mother Earth. A guineas 1st and French guineas 2nd is the best form on offer here.
One thing I also noticed looking back at Snow Lanterns last run, Kestenna finished a quarter length ahead of divine light in same race off level weights. She's now B365 8/1 fav for the Sandringham whereas divine light is 25/1 and 3 lb lighter. Have found boosted price of 28/1 6 places on Betfair as surely that's overpriced in comparison with the fav
I'm having a terrible Royal Ascot so far. 3 seconds didn't help today. Let's hope for better luck tomorrow.
Date
Meeting
Time
Horse
Friday
Royal Ascot
15.05
Alenquer
Friday
Royal Ascot
15.40
Suesa
Friday
Royal Ascot
15,40
Supremacy
Friday
Royal Ascot
17.00
Divine Light
Friday
Royal Ascot
17.00
Prado
Friday
Royal Ascot
17.35
Quickthorn
Friday
Royal Ascot
17.35
Tritonic
Friday
Royal Ascot
18.10
Popmaster
Friday
Royal Ascot
18.10
Get It
Friday
Royal Ascot
18.10
Significantly
I think Divine Light is overpriced at 25s. She's drawn 31, will handle soft and hopefully a strong pace in this cavalry charge will help her settle. She's also 3lbs better off with Kestenna who only beat her a neck but is now 9/1 favourite in places.
Main bets for me tomorrow will be in the last and I really like both Popmaster and Significantly which conveniently means I will have one on each side of the track. Both these have some seriously good form, have been targeted at the race, are well handicapped and won't mind the soft imo.
Two bets for Royal Ascot on Saturday I have placed late this evening complete my portfolio for the week.
Fresh 1pt @ 15/1 Wokingham Stakes
When James Fanshawe lines up a 6F sprinter at Royal Ascot you just have to take notice.
it’s 10 years since he won the Wokingham with Deacon Blues, but thee are some similarities between his runner this year, and that Wokingham winner.
Deacon Blues and Fresh both ran in the same prep race at Ascot in mid-May.
Deacon Blues
ran off 95 in that Ascot mid-May prep race and finished a photo 2nd
posting a career best RPR of 105 (by 6lb)
and a career best Topspeed of 95 (by 10lb)
He was raised 3lb to 98 and won off that rating in the Wokingham, improving 7lb on RPR and 11lb on Topspeed to do so.
Fresh
ran off 91in that Ascot mid-May prep race and won it,
posting a career best RPR of 101 (by 5lb),
and a career best Topspeed of 93 (better by 11lbs).
He was raised 5lb to 96, and will run off that mark in the Wokingham.
An interesting comparison though ten years apart.
Trainers can be creatures of habit, and it’s interesting to see James Fanshawe try the same prep plan 10 years later, with horses of similar ability, who improved a similar amount to hit personal bests on speed and ratings in the same race.
It’s nine years since James Fanshawe had a runner in the Wokingham, and that didn’t tread the same path as Deacon Blues in his penultimate race.
Can Fresh provide the stable with a Wokingham runner for the first time since 2012 , and repeat their uncannily similar prep, and win in 2021 (as they did in 2011)?
Final Song 1pt @ 25/1 Golden Jubilee
Similar to Indie Angle earlier in the week, one of Frankie’s rides at big odds, in a big race, has come in for support this evening.
Final Song is bred to be a sprinter and set out that way as a two year old.
Last season she was stretched out to 8F, and though she was consistent she didn’t look like a Grade 1 filly.
Saeed Bin Suroor has switched her back to sprinting this season at Meydan, and it’s looked to be the making of her.
A Grade 3 win over 6F was followed by a half length second to Extravagant Kid in the Grade 1 Turf Sprint on the big race day of the Festival.
The US horse went close, in third in the Kings Stand on Tuesday so the Group 1 form holds up well.
Final Song’s comeback race in the UK was in the Duke of York Stakes when she finished tamely. she was checked out Post-race at the track, but no abnormality found.
The money late on Thursday night suggests that maybe she is back on song, whatever ailed her there.
Hopefully Frankie can find another bit of improvement from a 4yo mare, on straight course, and rather can run like Indie Angel did on Wednesday.
She is still 25/1 with Sky and 20/1 with William Hill as I type this.
Two bets for Royal Ascot on Saturday I have placed late this evening complete my portfolio for the week.
Fresh 1pt @ 15/1 Wokingham Stakes
When James Fanshawe lines up a 6F sprinter at Royal Ascot you just have to take notice.
it’s 10 years since he won the Wokingham with Deacon Blues, but thee are some similarities between his runner this year, and that Wokingham winner.
Deacon Blues and Fresh both ran in the same prep race at Ascot in mid-May.
Deacon Blues
ran off 95 in that Ascot mid-May prep race and finished a photo 2nd
posting a career best RPR of 105 (by 6lb)
and a career best Topspeed of 95 (by 10lb)
He was raised 3lb to 98 and won off that rating in the Wokingham, improving 7lb on RPR and 11lb on Topspeed to do so.
Fresh
ran off 91in that Ascot mid-May prep race and won it,
posting a career best RPR of 101 (by 5lb),
and a career best Topspeed of 93 (better by 11lbs).
He was raised 5lb to 96, and will run off that mark in the Wokingham.
An interesting comparison though ten years apart.
Trainers can be creatures of habit, and it’s interesting to see James Fanshawe try the same prep plan 10 years later, with horses of similar ability, who improved a similar amount to hit personal bests on speed and ratings in the same race.
It’s nine years since James Fanshawe had a runner in the Wokingham, and that didn’t tread the same path as Deacon Blues in his penultimate race.
Can Fresh provide the stable with a Wokingham runner for the first time since 2012 , and repeat their uncannily similar prep, and win in 2021 (as they did in 2011)?
Final Song 1pt @ 25/1 Golden Jubilee
Similar to Indie Angle earlier in the week, one of Frankie’s rides at big odds, in a big race, has come in for support this evening.
Final Song is bred to be a sprinter and set out that way as a two year old.
Last season she was stretched out to 8F, and though she was consistent she didn’t look like a Grade 1 filly.
Saeed Bin Suroor has switched her back to sprinting this season at Meydan, and it’s looked to be the making of her.
A Grade 3 win over 6F was followed by a half length second to Extravagant Kid in the Grade 1 Turf Sprint on the big race day of the Festival.
The US horse went close, in third in the Kings Stand on Tuesday so the Group 1 form holds up well.
Final Song’s comeback race in the UK was in the Duke of York Stakes when she finished tamely. she was checked out Post-race at the track, but no abnormality found.
The money late on Thursday night suggests that maybe she is back on song, whatever ailed her there.
Hopefully Frankie can find another bit of improvement from a 4yo mare, on straight course, and rather can run like Indie Angel did on Wednesday.
She is still 25/1 with Sky and 20/1 with William Hill as I type this.
Fair play Saxon. Great studying and write ups. Hope that plenty have followed you this week as they'll be quids in. Punters normally have to pay for info like this so to get it for free they should count their blessings ! I'll be watching these with great interest
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