Day One Festival Yankee: Captain Wayward Lad

[Wayward Lad]

Thanks for the opportunity Kev

So folks, firstly we need to pick the 4 races from the 7 available on the first days racing

With the ‘will she, won’t she’ around BDA for the Mares/Champ H, I’d suggest we look elsewhere with regard to these two races…….let me know if anyone has an alternative view?

That’s leaves us with;
Supreme
Arkle
Ultima
Boodles H
Nat Hunt C

Maybe got for the three handicaps and then either the Supreme or Arkle?

Once we have the 4 races for the Yankee we can compile a short (ish) list for each race.

[Leman14]

At least you have the advantage that you will know declarations before you put up your Yankee...

What are you thinking?

Long shot, EW Yankee?
Win only "banker" yankee?
A mix of the two?

[Wayward Lad]

Any advantage I can get I’ll have it thankyou

Dependent on which races we go for then I’d suggest some nice each way picks which look to have a good chance to get placed, not muggy each ways, but not long odds high risk

[Brooker17]

Is there any situation where we see either KdB or Majborough not win?
For me they are 2 bankers but their odds maybe prohibitive for a Yankee?

[Istabraq]

Is there any situation where we see either KdB or Majborough not win?
For me they are 2 bankers but their odds maybe prohibitive for a Yankee?

I can my friend.
I think the Turners is made for Kopek and the only reason he's heading to the Supreme is because Mullins is desperate to avoid the Bartlett with Final Demand, there are rumours Salvator Munti is working well and if he were to get his head in front I think Mullins will look a little stupid despite having the winner.
His best chance of nailing all 3 G1 novice hurdles is Salvator Supreme, Kopek Turners and Demand Bartlett, but it won't happen...

[Brooker17]

If Willie see's Final Demand as eventually a gold cup horse what's the issue with going straight over 3miles now?
Or will it be the owners against FD going the Albert Bartlett?
Personaly I would rather see KdB in the Turner's also as I have the bigger slips but it's only 2 runs have been over 2 miles so would it still be able to step up the extra furlongs at this stage in it's career?

[DenmanSacre]

Owners don't want FD to go the Bartlett and I'd say there's very very little chance he goes the Bartlett. Each of the owners already have a horse each in that race as well.

[robith]

At least you have the advantage that you will know declarations before you put up your Yankee...

What are you thinking?

Long shot, EW Yankee?
Win only "banker" yankee?
A mix of the two?

This is something I was thinking about that I'm terrible at

That we sometimes try to "theme" our bets, in a way that might not be representative of the shape of the day's racing.

Just cos one race has good each way potential, doesn't mean we have to shoehorn in others?

I guess what I'm saying is, just back winners - put in Con Hill, Majb and a couple of handicap hounds someone makes a good case for

[Wayward Lad]

Is there any situation where we see either KdB or Majborough not win?
For me they are 2 bankers but their odds maybe prohibitive for a Yankee?

I can see Majborough beat my falling, as I thought he stumbled a few times at the DRF on landing. Yes he was going a fair pace up front but I’d rather back each way against him

[ComplyOrDie]

Ultima - Victtorino, Malina Girl, King Turgeon, Henry's Friend & Myretown are where I would be looking, based on current prices. The Changing Man looks to have an obvious chance, but now short enough in the market.

Boodles - Bit of chat going on about horses well in, Quevega mentioned a couple in the Boodles thread, also Total Look, and despite the rating I'm still really keen on Murcia.

NH Chase - Not done much on this race personally, but Transmission seems well thought of, as does Captain Cody, and Now Is The Hour, although, again, he's gone plenty short enough.

[Runragged]

Don't normally contribute much to these as I'm too opinionated. But, if thinking of going the three handicaps as an e/w alternative then I would seriously consider Touch Me Not in the Arkle as a fourth selection. Yes, is held by Majborough, but shouldn't be afraid of one horse and TMN is closely matched with L'Eau Du Sud, especially when you consider TMN made an absolute howler of an error when walking through a fence when the pair raced each other (L'EDS finished 3 3/4 lengths ahead) at Sandown. He should be a single figure price in my book so anything 10/1+ is good.

[ComplyOrDie]

Don't normally contribute much to these as I'm too opinionated.

Don't ever get put off for being too opinionated, even if others don't agree with you. It's what forums are about.

As long as we all play nice, I, for one, welcome strong opinions.

[IstabraqBarRegular]

Can't see Haiti Couleurs not winning

[Istabraq]

Can't see Haiti Couleurs not winning

Big shout that.
Handicap now, adds a different dynamic.
30 furlongs for novices, none of whom will have been this far previously.
I actually think this more than any festival race is set up for a complete rag…

[Wayward Lad]

Can't see Haiti Couleurs not winning

Some rationale to support the confidence would be welcomed