Day One Festival Yankee: Captain Wayward Lad

[Wayward Lad]

Ultima - Victtorino, Malina Girl, King Turgeon, Henry's Friend & Myretown are where I would be looking, based on current prices. The Changing Man looks to have an obvious chance, but now short enough in the market.

Boodles - Bit of chat going on about horses well in, Quevega mentioned a couple in the Boodles thread, also Total Look, and despite the rating I'm still really keen on Murcia.

NH Chase - Not done much on this race personally, but Transmission seems well thought of, as does Captain Cody, and Now Is The Hour, although, again, he's gone plenty short enough.

Myretown trainer knows how to win an Ultima methinks

Lots of positive talk on the forum about Total Look today after the weights were announced

Bit of a story with Captain Cody as the owner (Caldwell) is running it in respect of Michael O’Sullivan

[Eudipe]

Kopek Des Bordes & Majborough look hard to oppose. I quite like William Munny & Touch Me Not as EW angles but realistically I think something would have to go wrong for the FAVs to fail.

If willing to gamble on the big two skipping the Mares Hurdle, I'd rate Kaka Conti as a good value EW selection particularly in relation to July Flower with whom she is closely matched on their latest runs.

I'd be willing to take on both Constitution Hill (yes he's been the greatest but he has yet to prove he's capable of hitting those heights after his various documented issues) and Brighterdaysahead (on her likely run style being put under pressure over this C&D) with Lossiemouth who I think (as connections stated) was below par when a reasonably close second to Constitution Hill and she has excelled on both courses at Cheltenham. The obvious caveats are that she could switch (though connections have remained firm in this '2 year' aim) and it has to be taken on trust how she bounces back from her fall last time (which may have had the silver lining of protecting her from a particularly grueling race last month given the strong pace she went).

British tax should ensure Beyond Your Dreams gets in on a nice weight in the Fred Winter and I'd also rate Liam Swagger as a decent EW option there. Beyond Your Dreams looks well treated in relation to Total Look & Wendrock though her hurdling has lacked fluency. Liam Swagger has looked very professional, not ground dependent and fairly treated directly/indirectly with the likes of Static, Torrent, Teriferma and Total Look.

Now Is The Hour looks an obvious plot for the NH Chase and I can't believe (given his clear non-trying imo) how the British h'capper has treated him relative to Captain Cody but I'd still much prefer the latter as a better value EW angle in the race.

[Carnage at Taunton]

Any advantage I can get I’ll have it thankyou

Dependent on which races we go for then I’d suggest some nice each way picks which look to have a good chance to get placed, not muggy each ways, but not long odds high risk

Makes sense to me with the make up in particular of the graded races.
I think going for the handicaps with a view to finding e/w value is the way to go, and personally I would look at the Arkle for my other.Yes a deserved fav but imo there are a few at e/w prices that could win and 2m nov chasers can be vulnerable.
JB, TMN and if she turns up OBN all
look capable of big runs to me.