The GLENFARCLAS CROSS COUNTRY CHASE (A LIMITED HANDICAP)

[Irish Rugby]

Given the weather it not being able to be watered seems more of a factor

Just over a week out with a dry forecast and some rain due over the weekend, if it's currently soft, you'd be confident of fair jumping ground. Not extreme, one way or another.

[Eggs]

….Elliott;

We’ll run seven here. Now that it’s turned into a handicap, every horse has a chance. Galvin, if the ground dried up, would have a great chance. I know you’ll laugh at me, because he slipped early and never took to it the last day [he ran in a cross country race], but Conflated has been brilliant jumping them at home, and we’ve had him over to Cheltenham and he’s class. It wouldn’t shock me if he ran a big race. We’ve also got Chemical Energy, Coko Beach, The Goffer, Gevrey and Minella Crooner.

[ComplyOrDie]

Mister Coffey top 5 finish 6/4 - I think this is a great bet.

Mister Coffey rarely wins and has never won a chase, but what he does do is runs his race, near enough every time, and is good for a place.

His record under rules is 22 runs, 3 wins & 13 place efforts (finishing 2nd or 3rd).

I looked into his form, his two heaviest defeats have been at Aintree on the Grand National course, so I am choosing to ignore these, as this type of track is not for everyone and he's clearly got a dislike for it. He's also had two 4th placed finishes. So I'm taking his record as 20 runs, 3 wins and 15 placed efforts (using the 4th places, as we are getting 5 places here), that's a 90% win/place strike rate. His other two runs where he failed to place he finished 6th of 18 and 7th of 23, so it's not as if he was a million miles away from hitting a 5th place finish in those races either.

Mister Coffey's Cheltenham record is actually very good too, with a view to this bet at least, it reads 2-3-4-2-2, a 100% strike rate finishing in the top 5. He seems to have taken a liking for extreme distances too, not surprising being by Authorized. His form over 3m5f+ at Cheltenham reads 3-2-2.

Barring any accidents during the race I think he'll be on the premises again so anything above even money is fair, IMO.

He's 8/1 to win the race, but he struggles to get his head in front, so backing that E/W makes little sense to me. You'll effectively be getting 1/2 should he not win and only place backing him that way, and given his win record, you'd have to imagine it's highly unlikely he'll stick his head in front on the day that matters most.

[ComplyOrDie]

Stumptown (IRE)
Conflated (IRE)
Galvin (IRE)
Coko Beach (FR)
Iwilldoit
French Dynamite (FR)
Vanillier (FR)
Minella Crooner (IRE)
Roi Mage (FR)
Latenightpass
Chemical Energy (IRE)
Mister Coffey (FR)
Busselton (FR)
Gevrey (FR)
The Goffer (IRE)
Escaria Ten (FR)
Chambard (FR)
Slipway (IRE)
Iceo Madrik (FR)
Deise Aba (IRE)
Unanswered Prayers (IRE)
Three By Two (IRE)
Enjoy d'Allen (FR)
Back On The Lash

[punterorplonker]

Am I right that 3 have to come out for Iceo Madrik to get in ? Bit confused

[Eggs]

Am I right that 3 have to come out for Iceo Madrik to get in ? Bit confused

….according to RP, maximum field size is 16.

[EnvoiAlien]

Mister Coffey top 5 finish 6/4 - I think this is a great bet.

Mister Coffey rarely wins and has never won a chase, but what he does do is runs his race, near enough every time, and is good for a place.

His record under rules is 22 runs, 3 wins & 13 place efforts (finishing 2nd or 3rd).

I looked into his form, his two heaviest defeats have been at Aintree on the Grand National course, so I am choosing to ignore these, as this type of track is not for everyone and he's clearly got a dislike for it. He's also had two 4th placed finishes. So I'm taking his record as 20 runs, 3 wins and 15 placed efforts (using the 4th places, as we are getting 5 places here), that's a 90% win/place strike rate. His other two runs where he failed to place he finished 6th of 18 and 7th of 23, so it's not as if he was a million miles away from hitting a 5th place finish in those races either.

Mister Coffey's Cheltenham record is actually very good too, with a view to this bet at least, it reads 2-3-4-2-2, a 100% strike rate finishing in the top 5. He seems to have taken a liking for extreme distances too, not surprising being by Authorized. His form over 3m5f+ at Cheltenham reads 3-2-2.

Barring any accidents during the race I think he'll be on the premises again so anything above even money is fair, IMO.

He's 8/1 to win the race, but he struggles to get his head in front, so backing that E/W makes little sense to me. You'll effectively be getting 1/2 should he not win and only place backing him that way, and given his win record, you'd have to imagine it's highly unlikely he'll stick his head in front on the day that matters most.

Who's this with CoD ?
Stonking good find of a bet,could cover a fair chunk of the weeks outlay if this isn't one of those max stake bets.

[ComplyOrDie]

Who's this with CoD ?
Stonking good find of a bet,could cover a fair chunk of the weeks outlay if this isn't one of those max stake bets.

Was with SkyBet, they've taken the 'To place' market down now though. They are paying 5 places. Will be intrigued to see what price he is when the market re-appears as I'd like to get more on. Should be back up tomorrow as the Tuesday place markets have returned.

[EnvoiAlien]

ComplyOrDie thanks for the reply, seems like I'll be opening a Sky account in the next few days then.

[Istabraq]

ComplyOrDie thanks for the reply, seems like I'll be opening a Sky account in the next few days then.

Every chance you'll be restricted by the time the Cross Country tapes are up...

[EnvoiAlien]

Every chance you'll be restricted by the time the Cross Country tapes are up...

The way my lucks been of late I'll probably be getting comped by Gold Cup day.

[ComplyOrDie]

Every chance you'll be restricted by the time the Cross Country tapes are up...

Yeah, big problem with SkyBet, unfortunately.