The one note I’d add to the bumper thread, is that experience is usually a huge advantage. Jalon d’oudaries should not be underestimated
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Champion Bumper ‘25
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Originally posted by Imperial Commander View PostDifferent races but it terms of 2025 & 2026 Festival doubles, I quite like the 40-1 about East India Dock for the 2025 Triumph Hurdle & 2026 Champion Hurdle. At 9-4 for the Triumph, I make that about 11.6-1 for next year's Champion Hurdle, if he's already won this year's Triumph.
Yes it's the "difficult 5 year old season" but I'm thinking his slick hurdling technique means there's no need to send him over fences so it looks decent to me.
Price is with PP/BFSB
Constitutiin Hill, Lossiemouth and Brighterdaysahead are three reasons I don't like it, he may not even be the best horse to contest the Triumph, throw in any stars that may come from this years novices which at this stage seem a strong bunch, then add the usual dangers of form, injury, target etc, I'm not seeing it.
I'd be interested to see a straight 2026 Champion Hurdle market, I'm not sure EID would be shorter than 16/1 right now....
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Originally posted by Istabraq View Post
I couldn't criticise anyone for throwing a 40/1 dart but if, as your calculations suggest, he's just shy of 12/1 for the 2026 Champion Hurdle I'd make that poor value.
Constitutiin Hill, Lossiemouth and Brighterdaysahead are three reasons I don't like it, he may not even be the best horse to contest the Triumph, throw in any stars that may come from this years novices which at this stage seem a strong bunch, then add the usual dangers of form, injury, target etc, I'm not seeing it.
I'd be interested to see a straight 2026 Champion Hurdle market, I'm not sure EID would be shorter than 16/1 right now....
As it's a related double, the odds for the 2nd half of the bet though would be to win the Champion Hurdle having already won the Triumph Hurdle, so the odds would naturally be shorter than any Champion Hurdle odds would be now.
It's good to see the occasional Special Double price that's interests me as there aren't usually that many!
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Originally posted by Imperial Commander View Post
Yes, I'd be interested to see a 2026 Champion Hurdle market too, maybe one will appear in the next week or two. Of course there are all the usual ante post dangers, as you say.
As it's a related double, the odds for the 2nd half of the bet though would be to win the Champion Hurdle having already won the Triumph Hurdle, so the odds would naturally be shorter than any Champion Hurdle odds would be now.
It's good to see the occasional Special Double price that's interests me as there aren't usually that many!
It's worth keeping your eyes peeled, I'd like to think something will appear soon, hopefully this side of the Triumph !
Best of luck...
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Originally posted by Istabraq View Post
Yeah it's a shame, there was a time multiple bookies would price up the following years championship races before the upcoming renewals, just another example of how risk adverse they've become.
It's worth keeping your eyes peeled, I'd like to think something will appear soon, hopefully this side of the Triumph !
Best of luck...
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