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You think so?
If BDA turned up I would be hoping for my money back!!
Oops think I misunderstood
If so ignore me
I just meant that if BDA ran, she'd probably be 4/9. And Jade De Grugy would probably be second fav and the bookies wouldn't want to give you an EW bet - it'd be a dangerous "shot to nothing" if they did. So she would probably be 4/1 on the day.
If BDA doesn't run, then Jade would probably be a 5/2 fav. Maybe ...
I wouldn't want 4/1 (now best 3/1) for Jade De Grugy if she was up against BDA
The NRNB doesn't help... as she'd run and be shorter, or the same price
Bit OTT IMO
Obviously backed her aaaaaages ago myself so not complaining but 3/1 NRNB as of right now is just, meh? Unless you strongly feed BDa doesn't run
Positives are she's at least got out prior to chelt, and won well enough on testing enough ground giving weight away, but she did beat a bunch of 3 milers in 2nd and 3rd.
If the big '2' don't come here, then yeah the 3/1 looks good, but wouldn't be dismissing July Flower, she's definitely a quicker horse than Jade imo and sometimes the Mares is won with a bit of speed.
mighty potter 0-2 Cheltenham
French dynamite 0-2 Cheltenham
Caldwell potter 0-1 Cheltenham
Might be nothing but maybe they just don't like the track. Mighty potter definitely didnt. French dynamite did run 2 of his best races there and caldwell is a donkey so probably can be ignored. Probably.
Might be nothing, might get ignored.
But worth mentioning imo
mighty potter 0-2 Cheltenham
French dynamite 0-2 Cheltenham
Caldwell potter 0-1 Cheltenham
Might be nothing but maybe they just don't like the track. Mighty potter definitely didnt. French dynamite did run 2 of his best races there and caldwell is a donkey so probably can be ignored. Probably.
What evidence over the track and trip would they fear to want your money back?
Both underperformed in the mares novice imo over 2m1f. Jade actually finished the season higher rated beating mares than BDA did beating the boys.
BDA showed a massive jump at Xmas with championship pace…..at 2m. Absolutely no way she adopts those tactics over 2m4f if she came this way imo. The toll it could take on her future wouldn’t be worth the risk imo.
Just think BDA is a better horse this season and has shown it.
Think she will be in the CH anyway, and so she should be
Just To add…..Imo she’s the second best at 2miles and the best at 2 and half.
I think she would absolutely piss the Mares.
You think so?
If BDA turned up I would be hoping for my money back!!
Oops think I misunderstood
If so ignore me
What evidence over the track and trip would they fear to want your money back?
Both underperformed in the mares novice imo over 2m1f. Jade actually finished the season higher rated beating mares than BDA did beating the boys.
BDA showed a massive jump at Xmas with championship pace…..at 2m. Absolutely no way she adopts those tactics over 2m4f if she came this way imo. The toll it could take on her future wouldn’t be worth the risk imo.
Very happy with that. I backed her at 20/1 for this last year before she won at Fairyhouse, was fairly sure the bet was dead a few weeks ago but I think she'll be fav on the day. The other two will go Champion and Townend will ride her. Makes me a bit gutted I've lost my Antepost double of Sir Gino 10/1 for Arkle and JDG 20/1 for Mares but we move on!
Got a feeling this might also punt Kargese to the County but Alexander has ran 2 in the mares on more than one occasion I think?
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