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It's a really odd take that she didn't get home last year. She was beaten half a length and was never nearer than at the line. Probably worth watching a replay...
I've watched it millions of times Benjy. She was ridden like a non stayer and didn't get up to beat a horse that she was rated way ahead of on the day. She should have been winning that easy but wasn't good enough because 2 1/2m was just beyond her around Cheltenham. Big error not to run her in the CC. She'd have won that the form she was in last season. All hindsight though.
Looks a different horse this year and she'll not be winning anything again imo. I'll definitely be looking elsewhere on the day. At least she'll keep the prices good on the other horses.
I've watched it millions of times Benjy. She was ridden like a non stayer and didn't get up to beat a horse that she was rated way ahead of on the day. She should have been winning that easy but wasn't good enough because 2 1/2m was just beyond her around Cheltenham. Big error not to run her in the CC. She'd have won that the form she was in last season. All hindsight though.
Looks a different horse this year and she'll not be winning anything again imo. I'll definitely be looking elsewhere on the day. At least she'll keep the prices good on the other horses.
You don’t just put it down to ground? Haven’t seen the race for a while but it was pretty soft wasn’t it? I know we don’t know this years weather but on normal Cheltenham ground if their is such a thing nowadays I would have had that result reversed. Limerick Lace was having a great season as well and if I recall she was very well backed when the weather turned.
You don’t just put it down to ground? Haven’t seen the race for a while but it was pretty soft wasn’t it? I know we don’t know this years weather but on normal Cheltenham ground if their is such a thing nowadays I would have had that result reversed. Limerick Lace was having a great season as well and if I recall she was very well backed when the weather turned.
No. She's a Soft ground 2m horse. Just have to look at her record. Can't be hoping we'll get a Spring Ground Fez just for her to get home. Big line through her from me. JP will win it with one of his others. Not a race that gets me that excited though.....
Bioluminescence is on course for a crack at the Mrs Paddy Power Mares’ Chase at the Cheltenham Festival following a fine effort in defeat at Naas yesterday afternoon.
I've watched it millions of times Benjy. She was ridden like a non stayer and didn't get up to beat a horse that she was rated way ahead of on the day. She should have been winning that easy but wasn't good enough because 2 1/2m was just beyond her around Cheltenham. Big error not to run her in the CC. She'd have won that the form she was in last season. All hindsight though.
Looks a different horse this year and she'll not be winning anything again imo. I'll definitely be looking elsewhere on the day. At least she'll keep the prices good on the other horses.
Fair enough. I agree she was ridden quiet to try help her stay. But I think she had no problem staying and would've actually won with a more positive ride. She's struggling to make up the ground quick enough in those conditions would be my take. I don't see how the actual running could be seen as not staying on the day.
Her first run this season was better than her first run last season on ratings also. It's one run you're judging her on, which was a disappointing one for a lot of runners in that race to be honest. I'd be willing to draw a line through it.
Be interesting to know what the finishing speeds were for Dinoblue & Limerick Lace if anyone has them, would’ve thought that would give a fair idea to whether she stayed or not.
Be interesting to know what the finishing speeds were for Dinoblue & Limerick Lace if anyone has them, would’ve thought that would give a fair idea to whether she stayed or not.
Limerick lace 104.69%
dinoblue 104.75%
Dinoblue ran the final furlong quicker than anything else in the race. Quicker by 0.29 seconds than the winner.
The final 6f overall Limerick lace was 0.1secs quicker than dinoblue.
Simon Rowlands analysis
DINOBLUE (c151+ here, 158 previously) was not quite at her best but seemed to get the trip in testing conditions and might have managed to force her head in front ridden with similar enterprise to the winner, improving from the rear 3 out but 2 to 3 lengths down after the next and never quite getting closer than the three quarters of a length by which she was beaten
Be interesting to know what the finishing speeds were for Dinoblue & Limerick Lace if anyone has them, would’ve thought that would give a fair idea to whether she stayed or not.
Just for future reference for yourself/anyone else, a large number of races are available on attheraces.
I've recently started loooking into those finishing speeds as a simple measure of how much of a staying test a race was. No idea how accurate I'll be when using them as haven't placed a bet off them, but it's interesting none the less
Dinoblue ran the final furlong quicker than anything else in the race. Quicker by 0.29 seconds than the winner.
The final 6f overall Limerick lace was 0.1secs quicker than dinoblue.
Simon Rowlands analysis
DINOBLUE (c151+ here, 158 previously) was not quite at her best but seemed to get the trip in testing conditions and might have managed to force her head in front ridden with similar enterprise to the winner, improving from the rear 3 out but 2 to 3 lengths down after the next and never quite getting closer than the three quarters of a length by which she was beaten
That's a lot of effort to demonstrate Lobos is talking bollocks.
Anyone can see watching the race that she stayed on just fine, just got done on the day by a better positioned horse who stayed on just well enough to win.
That is racing.
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