2025 Triumph Hurdle

[Quevega]

Nah I've made my thoughts clear on him and stick by them, would I back him at 10s now even? I wouldn't.

From what Lulamba did on debut, think he's really special, and don't even see any of the DRF juve entrants troubling him.

Like I've said previous, the only ones that would worry me from left field now would be Larzac and Live Conti

Can you cash Lulamba bet ?

[darlojim]

Can you cash Lulamba bet ?

Majority of my stake on him yeah..

29.5pts return off a 2.5 stake

[Benjy23]

Can't be having this much confidence behind Lulamba (or any triumph horse) myself but fair play. And GL to you..

Although talk of not backing East India Dock at 10s now is a bit daft

[darlojim]

Can't be having this much confidence behind Lulamba (or any triumph horse) myself but fair play. And GL to you..

Although talk of not backing East India Dock at 10s now is a bit daft

I wouldn't (barring the obvious caveat that I could lay him for guaranteed profit blah blah)

[Quevega]

Majority of my stake on him yeah..

29.5pts return off a 2.5 stake

I cashed.
I had 1pt to return 34, and cashed at 13pts just under.

I'd only need to get 15/8 to get same return.

He looks underpriced right now and should one of the Irish ones in behind (in the beting) win well on Saturday then I'd be certain you'd get that nearer the day.
And we also have others to come out in the adonis and Fairyhouse etc

Obviously I could be wrong and they could all look average and bunched on Saturday, and East India could get an injury and nothing else comes out and looks flash and then Lulamba goes off odds on

But Lulamba could also get injured or 0.1% goes supreme.
But if he's going straight there the odds are in favour of his odds drifting more than the other way IMO.

You can get 200 on exchange right now at over 9/4.

Who said I over thought stuff ?

[darlojim]

I cashed.
I had 1pt to return 34, and cashed at 13pts just under.

I'd only need to get 15/8 to get same return.

He looks underpriced right now and should one of the Irish ones in behind (in the beting) win well on Saturday then I'd be certain you'd get that nearer the day.
And we also have others to come out in the adonis and Fairyhouse etc

Obviously I could be wrong and they could all look average and bunched on Saturday, and East India could get an injury and nothing else comes out and looks flash and then Lulamba goes off odds on

But Lulamba could also get injured or 0.1% goes supreme.
But if he's going straight there the odds are in favour of his odds drifting more than the other way IMO.

You can get 200 on exchange right now at over 9/4.

Who said I over thought stuff ?

fair play like, yeah seen you could profit that bit more cashing and re-backing on BFX, but then that takes away ur cashout angle which could come into play

I've a feeling the drf will result in a bit of a bunch finish so could see a case both Lulamba and EID tighten up a little bit, but its a bit of a guess as to how the market will actually go.

[Quevega]

fair play like, yeah seen you could profit that bit more cashing and re-backing on BFX, but then that takes away ur cashout angle which could come into play

I've a feeling the drf will result in a bit of a bunch finish so could see a case both Lulamba and EID tighten up a little bit, but its a bit of a guess as to how the market will actually go.

But you know they are already too tight by about 20%+ right ?
The only risk is absentees really.

[darlojim]

But you know they are already too tight by about 20%+ right ?
The only risk is absentees really.

That be taking in account NRNB no?

[Quevega]

That be taking in account NRNB no?

Basically yeah, they have to gauge against non runners.
Your risk is obviously yours being a non runner when you let a bet ride, and miss cashing out.

The positive is if others prominent in the market don't line up of course.
But after the Dublin race your main rivals are unlikely to run again so risk of injury just at home.

With the triumph there's added risk as the race often has flyers arriving late on the scene, unlike other races. Even after Dublin. As you know.

I think in this instance the odds are more in favour of the safety first route.
The exchange price which has been steady backs that up. It's more of an indication of the real prices, assuming no absentees or flyers.

[Quevega]

Obviously now I've mentioned this on here, some might follow suit and cash out is greyed out for everyone
So apologies for that.

[darlojim]

Obviously now I've mentioned this on here, some might follow suit and cash out is greyed out for everyone
So apologies for that.

Nah fuck the cashout!

Space hopper time

[Lobos]

Can't be having this much confidence behind Lulamba (or any triumph horse) myself but fair play. And GL to you..

Although talk of not backing East India Dock at 10s now is a bit daft

Yeah, that's something I'd come up with...

[Kevloaf]

Road To Cheltenhan making darlojim look a bit silly here

10/1? You sureeee

[Exar Essay]

Road To Cheltenhan making darlojim look a bit silly here

10/1? You sureeee

I knew he was a good jumper but that data shows him to be very good!

Lovely new rostrums for Lydia and Ruby too

[darlojim]

Road To Cheltenhan making darlojim look a bit silly here

10/1? You sureeee

You lads keep backing him